Happy Sunny Britain 🍽️🍺🍾🇬🇧💕🇫🇷

@WSJ Trump-America now needs brown soldier cannon fodder for the Middle East ... about turn, reverse ferret. ♻️

Trump has privately told his inner circle that some of his administration’s deportation policies have gone too far on.wsj.com/4blPduX

@CityAM The Bank should be put under full government control again, tasked to primarily deliver wellbeing of the British people, not always keeping to a narrow bunch of KPI ranges that benefit bankers.

Bank of England’s Bailey: Interest rate cuts not on the horizon bit.ly/3PNDJYF

@BBCWorld What's the point of the Commonwealth if we don't help Kenya with drought resistance and national resilience planning? The state of former British colonies is a stain, we should be investing, developing, advising and helping.

Desperate for food drought-stricken Kenyans turn to the gingerbread tree bbc.in/4bGnRPj

🇪🇸Spanish PM Pedro Sánchez : "My stand is clear, i can't support war, and i am with people of Gaza & Iran. I am getting letters from across the world praising the stand of Spain. "

@WeTheBrandon Ahem, Iran has about 31 million resourceful healthy young men with attitude who've been trained for belligerence. The ladies can be feisty too. It might not end well for invaders ;)

We are 💯% invading. Apparently the United States has no Congress...?

@PeterZeihan Governments should urgently start collecting people's urine to extract urea. Make urine valuable again. Liquid gold. #Dubai #Iran #Gulf #Hormuz #TrumpAmerica #OrangeDonald 🇺🇸💩 youtube.com/watch?v=UJQ--T…

The real problem is nitrogen-based fertilizers, which are, as a rule, derived from oil-based naphtha or natural gas. Currently, Qatar takes natural gas produced at its South Pars gas field, which was recently struck by Iran, to make ammonia and convert it into urea. Urea is a natural gas-based fertilizer made primarily of nitrogen that you can spread in physical form, whether pellets or ground powder. This one facility in Qatar is responsible for about 11% of global urea production, the primary method that people use to apply nitrogen. Collectively, the Persian Gulf is responsible for between 30 and 35% of global ammonia production. And all of that has now gone to zero. Now, of the three primary fertilizer nutrients (nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium), nitrogen is the one I am least concerned with in the short term, because it can be derived from either natural gas itself or oil. Here in the United States, we are a net oil exporter, have scads of natural gas, and can produce pretty much all the nitrogen we need. But now, due to recent attacks on Persian Gulf infrastructure, a large majority of the globe cannot do the same. In the short term - in the U.S. - we're likely to avoid massive shortages of nitrogen-based fertilizers. Yes, prices will rise, but we won't have actual shortages. But if you fast forward one, two, three, ten, or twenty years, the rest of the world will be in chronic nitrogen deficit. That's before you consider shortages of the other materials that are likely to manifest in the years to come. So, prepare for an environment where global food production stalls...and then crashes. #agriculture #farming #fertilizer #geopolitics

Salmon farms release record levels of cancer-causing chemical into lochs “Salmon-farming firms use formaldehyde as a disinfectant to rid fish of parasites, fungi, and bacteria, but the chemical was classified as a carcinogen in 2016 by the UK Government” There is no upside to salmon farming - bad for salmon, our health and the environment thenational.scot/news/25948420.…

@robprogressive Modern Monetary Theory ... tax doesn't fund the government, the government (having a sovereign currency) can fund itself ... we need to properly tax the overpaid rich in order to maintain the value of the money in our pockets which would be blown away by inflation otherwise.

The top 12% of earners in the U.K now pay 70% of the total income tax ‘Tax the rich more’ they say, but how is this fair? And now all the rich are leaving, they 70% income tax will have to be paid by everyone else Do you know what that means? More tax rises

@mattwridley Wait until cloud power is unleashed, the untapped energy of grey clouds will make us an energy superpower.

Not even arctic Canada is as deprived of sunlight as northern Britain. No wonder the world bank concluded we were the second least suitable country for solar power after Ireland.

@UrantiaBookGems I'm afraid you and the religionistas are wrong, the universe exists because it mathemically CAN and for no other reason than that. 'God' is an attempt by low IQ people and antiquated cultures to cope with difficult scientific concepts by creating a parent substitute. Grow up ;)

The Universe Is Not Self-Existent The sovereignty of God is unlimited. It is the fundamental fact of all creation. The universe was not inevitable. The universe is not an accident. Neither is it self-existent. The universe is a work of creation— and therefore wholly subject to the will of the Creator. The Urantia Book 3:6.2

@nw_nicholas Britain is in a very strong position to neuter America, what a bargaining chip to hold, one little snip & America is downsized & unable to poke and project its power into the Middle East, no more messing around, game over ... you'd think Trump would show the UK some respect ;)

US bombers leaving UK en route to Iran avoid European airspace

@EuropeanPowell World War 1, which did so much to create the current lamentable Middle Eastern map, was supposed to be "over by Christmas" - the world still hasn't recovered from that calamity which fed into WW2 & the Cold War. The current Middle East war also stems from WW1 aftermath issues.

The first and second world wars spiraled out of control, Arch Duke Ferdinand’s assassination, invasion of Poland. Each step seemed containable until it wasn’t. The logic of escalation has its own gravity. I think the situation with Iran being illegally attacked by the US and Israel will expand as infrastructure continues to be targeted. China are sitting back watching the West make absolute fools of themselves at the behest of far right despots. The US may well greenlight Israel into nuking Iran.

Seven clocks are running. None of them negotiable. All of them counting down to the same weeks. The planting clock. Mid-April is the biological deadline for corn and soybean planting across the US Midwest. Every day that passes without nitrogen becoming affordable and available narrows the window for corn. USDA projects corn falling to 94 million acres from 98.8 million. Soybeans rising to 85 million from 81.2 million. The seeds that go into the ground in the next three weeks determine America’s grain harvest in October. The decision is irreversible. The USDA clock. March 31. Prospective Plantings. The report that converts farmer intentions into official data. Every acreage number, every corn-soy ratio, every nitrogen-dependent calculation becomes a published fact that traders, governments, and food agencies will use to model global supply for the next twelve months. The number arrives in twelve days. The FAO clock. April 3. The Food Price Index. The first global reading that captures post-Hormuz commodity prices across cereals, vegetable oils, dairy, meat, and sugar. The 2022 peak was 159.7 in March 2022 after Ukraine. This reading will incorporate oil above $100, urea at $610, LNG halted, packaging repriced, and freight surcharges of $500 to $1,500 per container. The number that determines whether the UN declares a food emergency arrives in fifteen days. The pharmaceutical clock. India’s API inventory buffers are two to three months, measured from the war’s onset on February 28. Late May is the depletion window. Methanol at 87.7 percent Hormuz exposure feeds the solvent chain for paracetamol, ibuprofen, metformin, and antibiotics. Once buffers deplete, the shortage becomes a patient access crisis for the 47 percent of US generics that originate in India. The China crude clock. FGE NexantECA confirmed China is drawing commercial reserves at up to one million barrels per day. The draw sustains refinery operations for four to six weeks from March 19. Mid-April to late April is the exhaustion window. After that, China faces three options: accelerate Russian pipeline imports, reroute at massive premium, or crack open the strategic petroleum reserve. The third option reprices every commodity on the planet. The helium clock. SK Hynix and Samsung hold two to three months of helium inventory. Late May to early June is the depletion window. South Korea imports 64.7 percent of its helium from Qatar. Ras Laffan is offline. If helium buffers deplete before alternative supply arrives, semiconductor fabrication faces rationing. The AI hardware supply chain hits a physical wall measured in months, not quarters. The insurance clock. Solvency II requires 30 to 60 days of zero incidents before P&I clubs can reinstate war risk coverage. Even after a ceasefire, the insurance normalisation takes six to sixteen months based on the Red Sea precedent of 26 months and counting. The logistics system lags the financial relief rally by the longest duration of any clock in this crisis. Seven clocks. The shortest expires in twelve days. The longest runs for over a year. The planting window, the USDA report, the FAO index, the drug buffers, the Chinese crude draw, the helium inventory, and the insurance cycle are all counting down simultaneously. None of them pause for diplomacy. None of them respond to presidential directives. None of them read sealed packets. The calendar is the only actor in this war that has never lost a negotiation. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

🇲🇽🇨🇺 BREAKING: Mexico will send oil to Cuba. Trump's blockade has fallen. 60 years of embargo. 60 years of trying to starve an island. Now Mexico breaks the siege. Oil shipments. Solidarity. Sovereignty. The US can sanction. Can threaten. Can block. But neighbors help. Neighbors deliver. Neighbors don't forget. Cuba has been alone too long. Mexico just changed that. The blockade isn't gone. But it's cracked. And cracks spread. Mexico sends oil. The world watches. The empire fumes. Solidarity wins. Every time.

@ProudSocialist It would be the end of America if he did, sanctions all over, US companies sanctioned to oblivion, impoverishment for the USA, lawsuits for generations, disproportionate force, The Hague for a war of aggression, ignominy, shame without end, pariah USA, they would never recover.

🚨 Trump just threatened to nuke Iran: “The power of some of this weaponry is unthinkable. You don't even want to know about it. You could end this thing in 2 seconds if you wanted to.” Enough is enough. This is the second time he has threatened to use nukes. REMOVE HIM NOW!!!

Oil crisis Gas crisis Thousands dead in Iran, Lebanon US servicemen dead Infrastructure burning Millions displaced And this imbecile says: ‘Our ungrateful allies in Europe should be saying one thing to President Trump: thank you’

ANDREW NEIL: there’s a list of reasons as long as your arm why the NATO allies should not join Trump’s war mol.im/a/15658861

Oil is the real root cause of all the geopolitical trouble. Time to go 💯 Electric.

@NinaDSchick The British royal visit to the USA needs to be called off, Trump-America is a deranged pariah state. America's 250th birthday will ring hollow, what a sad way to fade.

Very bad for Britain, which is uniquely susceptible. 1/ The Iran war sent British wholesale gas prices surging — up nearly 90% in a month. This hits Britain with unique force because the nation remains 75% dependent on fossil fuels for its primary energy needs. 2/ As gas sets the marginal price for all electricity, a spike in the Middle East becomes an immediate, unavoidable tax on every British business and household. 3/ The reality is crushing. Analysts warn of household bills hitting £2,500 if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for more than six weeks. 4/ As energy-driven inflation surges, hopes for interest rate cuts have vanished. Britain is now servicing a £2.9 trillion debt mountain with £114 billion of interest expected to be paid this year. That’s nearly double the nation’s entire core defense budget. 5/To make matters worse, Britain has no supply buffer. Westminster based its storage needs on optimistic assumptions of frictionless global markets. It has a maximum gas storage capacity of just twelve days. Compare that to Germany’s 89 days, France’s 103, or the Netherlands’ 123. 6/ Unable to stockpile, Britain is forced to buy gas at the worst possible moment. European gas futures have already surged above €60 per megawatt-hour, roughly six times the US price. 7/Britain’s main gas provider, Norway, is at maximum capacity, and Qatar (the UK’s swing supplier) had already declared force majeure, halting shipping after the unprecedented shutdown at Ras Laffan. Now, missile attacks on Ras Laffan, and threats by Trump to pull out of the Strait of Hormuz.

The Iran war is going so bad for Trump right now he might need to release The Epstein Files as a distraction.