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Carlos
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Carlos
@bluecirclehead
I like coffee. A lot. Economist. DC has the worst restaurants in the world
Washington, DC شامل ہوئے Mart 2008
2.8K فالونگ481 فالوورز
Carlos ری ٹویٹ کیا

@mtkonczal @DavidBeckworth I hate this tweet because it’s so perfect 😂🥂
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@DavidBeckworth I don't typing DSGE equations into the black box of LLMs can replace the graduate learning experience of typing DSGE equations into the black box of Dynare.
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@JesusFerna7026 Una foto de uno de los mejores quesos que he tomado alguna vez: El Teyedu, de Pepe Bada. Cabrales, madurado en las cuevas de Tielve:

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Carlos ری ٹویٹ کیا

🎓 Today I delivered the final lecture of @Penn_Exchange’s Foundations of Economic Thought summer course by focusing on the evolution of macroeconomics from 1970 to 2000:
🔗 sites.google.com/view/foundatio…
🧠 Unsurprisingly, @UMN_Econ features prominently in the story (although @penneconomics also shows up quite a few times).
📑 You can find the slide deck here:
sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/ET_5_…

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@bennpeifert Would you allocate time in your teams for asset pricing research that models not only predictability but causal relationships?
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The latest Odd Lots episode with your truly is out. Thanks to @tracyalloway and @TheStalwart for inviting me again, and for the lovely live audience. Abstract below and link in reply.

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some exciting news if you go to this page and search "Bayes" :)
econometricsociety.org/publications/e…
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workflow of the past 24 hours...
* start a convo w/GPT-o3 about math research idea [X]
* it gives 7 good potential ideas; pick one & ask to develop
* feed -o3 output to gemini-2.5-pro; it finds errors & writes feedback
* paste feedback into -o3 and say asses & respond
* paste response into gemini; it finds more problems
* iterate until convergence
* feed the consensus idea w/detailed report to grok-3
* grok finds gaping error, fixes by taking things in different direction (!!!)
* gemini agrees: big problems, now ameliorated
* output final consensus report
* paste into claude-3.7 and ask it to outline a paper
* approve outline; request latex following my style/notation conventions
* claude outputs 30 pages of dense latex, section by section, one-shot (!)
====
is this correct/watertight? (surely not)
is this genuinely novel? (pretty sure yes)
is this the future? (no, it's the present)
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everybody underestimates not only what is coming but what can currently be done w/existing tools.
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This piece would have sparked a major political scandal in normal times.
Not anymore. Nothing will happen, but at least we have a record of this.
wapo.st/3YV66G2
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Carlos ری ٹویٹ کیا
Carlos ری ٹویٹ کیا

Noah is right here.
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion
If the world decides they've had enough of the idiot in the White House, and pulls their money out of America, we'll see a recession, followed by the collapse of the U.S.-led global financial system. But that might not even be the worst of it. noahpinion.blog/p/this-is-call…
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Carlos ری ٹویٹ کیا
Carlos ری ٹویٹ کیا

Defunding NSF and other government support for research would be an unusually large self-own
Pieter Abbeel@pabbeel
Founders who were PhD or post-doc in my lab at Berkeley, **largely funded by NSF / DoD grants**, start-up, market cap (collected by OpenAI Deep Research)
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