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Bo Yoder
3.5K posts
Bo Yoder
@bo_yoder
Helping RIAs Optimize Investment Strategies In The Volatile Age of AI | 25+ Years Proven Market Forecasting Experience | 2 X McGraw-Hill Author
BoYoder.com → شامل ہوئے Haziran 2016
419 فالونگ2.5K فالوورز
Watch this and remember it of things get hairy in the next month or so.
A generation of traders have never seen or experienced a market experiencing truly fast market conditions.
Once you have seen it you’ll never forget.
Mike@MarketMike
Turn your volume up for this one. This is real audio from the S&P 500 futures pit at the CME during the Flash Crash of 2010. On May 6, 2010, markets were already having a rough day, down over 300 points on worries about the Greece debt crisis. Later, the bottom fell out. The Dow dropped another 600 points in about 5 minutes. Nearly 1,000 points gone on the day. About 9%, kaboom. Then 20 minutes later, most of it came right back. This clip never gets old.
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Narratives often follow the classic story arcs we are familiar with from movies and tv.
This is why sometimes life feels like a movie.
I’ve talked about the “running, screaming with hair on fire” phase and we are there now.
The narrative points I see are all doom.
Iran a disaster
Israel going to nuke the world.
Administration and maga in shambles
Oil and gas production gone for five years
Famine
Death of the dollar
Etc…
Now…
Before you go cry into your beer look at the classic three act structure.
We are at the point in the movie where the hero has been shot and stabbed, is tied to a chair being tortured and is about to die a slow and incredibly technically complicated death.
In the movies what happens next?
Miraculously the hero escapes, kills the bad guys and rides into the sunset with the find the girl the crystal skull etc.
Like in a market narrative you can’t have redemption without catastrophe.
So don’t freak out…that’s the goal of the narrative this summer.
The last 20 minute action sequence of this movie we are living in is the midterms.
Doesn’t it make sense that the great escape would happen late summer into early fall?
Watch and learn.
We are having a global “experience” in my view.
And it’s being crafted.
So expect a nightmare summer leading to some of the best longs you can imagine.
Pain without fear is just another sensation.
Get hard and stay the course.
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MSTR Update:
After a near perfect daily LPT Ping Pong we are rallying up again after the bear side liquidity harvest.
Gap fill will be an important trend test to see if there is any interest in releasing from the range.
(search lesson index for the detailed lessons on this LPT pattern.)
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I’m grateful to the market for being boring and giving me a lot of uninterrupted time with my children.
I’m also grateful that this endless chop is winding the string for a once in a 3-5 year move which is likely to make this a superb year for active trading.
Russia TV@Urgent_RussiaTV
Speaking about the deep contradictions in human nature, Japanese actor Hiroyuki Sanada said: “Some people dream of having a swimming pool at home, while those who have one barely use it. Those who have lost a loved one feel a profound sense of loss, while others often complain about the relatives still in their lives. Those without a partner long for one, while those who have a partner often fail to appreciate them. The hungry would give anything for a meal, while the full complain about the taste of their food. Those without a car dream of owning one, while those who have a car are always looking for a better one. The key to happiness is gratitude—to truly see and value what we already have, and to understand that somewhere, someone would give everything for what we take for granted.”
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Bitcoin Update:
I’ve been quiet because there is literally nothing to talk about.
War?
Meh.
Israeli prime minister dead or not?
Meh.
Housing market, energy disruption, private lending, bank bailouts?
Meh.
Nobody home to knee jerk react to news or perceived shifts in economic factors.
Go back to sleep, you’ll need to be recharged and on point when things pop off.
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Data fogging.
You need to know what this is.
ESPECIALLY in the era of AI
Heart@heart_
UAE literally invented “Dubai Chocolate” to poison search results about defecation on instagram models 👌🏻
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This will be an interesting case study.
Monthly chart of ERII.
See the liquidity farm at $6?
Lots of inventory there if The Syndicate wanted to accumulate size.
If you want me to follow and forecast this over the next few months, you have to answer this question.
Why would The Syndicate want to bother with a stock that trades 400k a day?
What’s special about this equity?
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@AGratefulApe Go find my lessons in the lesson index about “timeframe arbitrage” and that’ll lay it out much more succinctly and clearly.
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@bo_yoder So 1k in value goes to 2500 ie expected 2.5 RR and you take 2k leaving $500 as a runner in case it goes further ie breaks the range and starts to trend?
1 min liquidity ie on the 1 min chart?
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The farmed the war gap in Nasdaq. We are likely to see a LPT Ping Pong back to harvest the high above the gap (double yellow) then death dive or rush for 26,050.
Still a ton of disaster risk, insurance issues causing oil shocks, Iran sleeper cells, more coalition drama.
I don’t see an edge for now.
Going to stay flat for a bit until things clear.
Motivated to put back my yen, bond and index shorts but not until I can feel confident my stops will hold.
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Big domino falling.
QatarEnergy@qatarenergy
QatarEnergy declares Force Majeure Further to the announcement by QatarEnergy to stop production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and associated products, QatarEnergy has declared Force Majeure to its affected buyers. QatarEnergy values its relationships with all of its stakeholders and will continue to communicate the latest available information. #QatarEnergy #Qatar
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Sometimes you can have confidence based on a deeper timeframe set of behavioral patterns…
Most of the time you don’t know and so you’re fishing…
I call these financed trades.
Let’s say I risk $1000 on a one minute set up that I think is going to go to a profit of $2500 based on a one minute liquidity farm that I have identified. When it hits that scalp objective I’ll take off $1500 thus guaranteeing a $500 game and let the rest ride with a wide stop as a “freebie“ to see if it can hit a much larger and often deeper timeframe objective.
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@bo_yoder How do you know when the farming is done ie ranging is complete and they are ready to trend in a direction?
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@AGratefulApe I would assume they are harvesting inventory premarket to service their market on open orders which are resting on the books and therefore known.
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@bo_yoder I noticed they tend to farm after hours (like going above 25,383) is this to keep the options locked or some other reason?
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Another textbook cycle to learn from.
Last three daily bars.
They farmed NQ lows.
Rallied to the small daily gap to grab inventory at a premium.
Dumped to harvest the farm.
If this chart and my description is confusing to you, go back and study my “updates” posts.
When it clicks into clarity for you your ability to see the likely next step for the markets will be vastly improved.
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@AGratefulApe Think of it like a trucking company… Drive your truck to the warehouse and buy cheap items in bulk, then you drive them across town and distribute them to a convenience store and a hefty markup.
Rinse and repeat
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