Rick Snyder

@Chartfest1 If you’re shorting semis, don’t get out now. Not sure we’ll see much selling until May starts, but a good round of profit taking and some rotation should be upon us soon.

In 2000 the SOX nearly doubled in the final six weeks from late January to early March.

@StockXcapital Boo!

bulls in control above 7140 we can rip towards 7160 POSS $SPX

@RyanDetrick And people don’t need to freak out when there are some valleys along the way. But we all will anyway though.

Yes, the worst six months are coming up soon (May - October). But these six months have been lower only once the past decade and last year was the greatest Sell in May return ever (+22.8%). We are expecting another strong return this year.

@StockXcapital We are due for some good old fashioned sell the news action and some massive profit taking, but I’m not counting on it. This market has simply left me in the dust.

$spx popped right off the news on Pakistan talks & netyahou’s nuts 🥜 news.. Looks like we may not get that sell off I tried to call out 😔 All good , today I will be trading live in voice chat with the free discord

The Indiana Fever announced that all 44 of their games will be on national television, and on the promo, they had Kelsey Mitchell front and center instead of Caitlin Clark. This is intentional—the WNBA continues to kill Caitlin with paper cuts rather than embrace her.

@StockXcapital Are semiconductors about ready to see some profit taking anytime soon?

$dow ratio is really weak relative to $ndx due to strong semiconductor s . Other techs are weak .. Small caps also weak . Risk assets also have issues .

@TheRonnieVShow Hope you feel better!

Have been sick and without a voice this week. Gonna call it an early weekend and rest up. Much love friends.

@RevShark This headline from a few years ago that Dusty May was going to Louisville is a good reminder for when the media reports breaking news. Take it with a grain of salt.

Insane volatility. There is no easy way to trade that sort of movement.

@RevShark Lots of people riding the rally with one foot out the door. Every news flash gets attention.

@TheRonnieVShow Might have an ugly close today. Forgot what one of those feels like.

Wow, I think this market is a tad bi-polar.

@TheRonnieVShow Iran parliamentary negotiator resigned from negotiating team because the Revolutionary Guard is involved. Apparently the radicals are winning the day there.

What just happened?

@alphaticaio Gone heavily short here. No puts. Just index shorts. Looking for up to 5% pullback and then get out. Also looking to get in some names I’ve got on my shopping list at better entry points. Might not get much selling until the first week of May though.

S&P 100 Index top 100 stocks, SPY and QQQ. They are buying. Buy Blocks: $4,724,991,670 Sell Blocks: $1,487,180,265 Net Flow: $+3,237,811,405 $SPX $SPY $QQQ

@alphaticaio Not sure the attraction to chase here unless it’s just institutional money that doesn’t care about entry points.

Bill Clinton: “I killed myself trying to give the Palestinians a state. I had a deal they turned down that would have given them all of Gaza and 97% of the West Bank. You name it. They turned it down.” The Palestinians never wanted peace. This must be shared every single day.

Socialists call capitalism “immoral” for allowing some to become super rich while others are poor. They have it backwards. Capitalism has made nearly everyone more prosperous than our ancestors could even imagine:

@philrosenn @JC_ParetsX Does it change the numbers any if you only take into account midterms on a second term president’s watch? Just wondering.

Midterms are the worst year of the cycle for stocks. But the S&P 500 averages a 50% move from midterm lows to the peak in pre-election years. @JC_ParetsX explains

@Chartfest1 Time to sell

Add Adam Parker to the converted (to bullish)

@commonsenseplay @NoLimitGains This is the most bazar rally I’ve ever seen in my years of trading and investing. I honestly don’t know what to do with it. It never lets me in.

@cbusrick @NoLimitGains yes Rick, better to be aware and have an exit strategy then just continue blindly with blinkers on

I actually agree with @NoLimitGains here. Consumer sentiment is near lows while the S&P 500 is near highs. That gap usually closes. Consumers drive about 70% of the U.S. Economy (GDP) - if they pull back, earnings will follow. Watch the knock-on: Slower growth will lead to weaker earnings which will put pressure on equities. $TLT could work if this turns into a growth scare. But if it’s stagflation (slow growth and sticky inflation), both stocks and bonds get hit. Something’s off here, you know it.

@alphaticaio In the last 30 days WTI settled or traded above $90 on 20 separate days. Over $100 for 12 days. Well within your study’s limitations. Started following you about a week ago. Enjoying your posts and expertise!

@cbusrick Take a look at the research we published on X about this topic: x.com/alphaticaio/st…

SPY OPEN | Wednesday April 22 $710.37. Up 0.89%. New 30-day high. The ceasefire was extended. The snap-back we mapped played out overnight. Our Composite Score: +26.1 [Lean Bullish] The receipts: Yesterday at 2 PM we published: "If talks produce even a framework for an extension, the snap-back looks like this: vol crushes, vanna forces dealer buying, $710 magnet pulls. The move could be +2-3% in a session." Yesterday at 3 PM we published: "$710 magnet at +$107M is the only thing between price and the accelerator chain below." Yesterday at the close we published: "The after-hours move is hope, not resolution." Here's what happened: Trump extended the ceasefire indefinitely, "until such time as their leaders and representatives can come up with a unified proposal." That's not a 24-hour extension. That's an open-ended pause on hostilities. The Wednesday evening deadline is gone. The market did exactly what the structure said it would: IV crushed from 18.8% to 16.7%. A 2.1-point drop overnight. Vanna is positive at +17.5K, meaning that vol drop forced dealer buying. The mechanic fired. GEX flipped from -$628M to +$463M. A $1.09B swing. Negative gamma to positive gamma overnight. Dealers went from amplifying moves to suppressing them. The regime changed back. Composite swung from -5.7 to +26.1. A 32-point reversal. The largest positive composite swing of the cycle. Larger than the original ceasefire announcement on April 8. $710 magnet at +$222M pulled price right to it. We're sitting at $710.37. The magnet called the level to the dollar. Dealer short delta rebuilt from 83M to 126M. The forced-buying engine restarted. Not at the 215M peak, but back to levels that support the grind. Daily flow: +794K shares long. Barely positive. The move happened on the headline and the vol crush, not on aggressive new buying. That's important. This is mechanical, not conviction. The same distinction we made during the rally. What's different this time: The extension is open-ended but the blockade remains. Iran called the blockade an "act of war." An Iranian gunboat fired on a container ship near Hormuz AFTER the extension was announced. The ceasefire is extended but the Strait is still closed. Vance's trip was cancelled. No Round 2 talks are scheduled. Iran hasn't confirmed it will negotiate. A senior adviser to Ghalibaf called the extension a "ploy to buy time." So the market got what it wanted (no bombs) without getting what it needs (a deal, Hormuz open, talks scheduled). IV skew: +0.18%. Flat. The market is pricing calm. Perhaps too calm given that the blockade is active, Hormuz is closed, and Iran is still refusing to talk. The structure above: $710: +$222M 🧲 (at price) $715: +$100M 🧲 $720: +$98M 🧲 $725: +$91M 🧲 $730: +$64M 🧲 Accelerators below still exist: $703: -$73M (1.0% below) $700: -$77M (1.5% below) $680: -$73M (4.3% below) The magnets are pulling but the trapdoors haven't been removed. They're just further away. The bottom line: The ceasefire extension removed the immediate binary risk. The structure snapped back exactly as mapped. Vol crushed. GEX flipped positive. Dealers are buying again. $710 magnet held. But the underlying issues are unresolved. Hormuz is closed. The blockade continues. Iran isn't talking. The extension bought time, not peace. The market will grind higher on the absence of bad news. The magnets support $715, $720, $725. But the next headline that breaks the fragile status quo has accelerators waiting below. We're back to the same trade from the first two weeks: ride the mechanics, respect the headline risk, stay hedged. $710 is the pin. $720 is the target. $700 is the trapdoor. The ceasefire clock stopped. The Hormuz clock didn't. $SPY $QQQ $VIX