eric
27 posts
Just your usual reminder the reason your longs didn't work is because $SPY $QQQ are BELOW the daily emas.
This means bearish and the pops will get sold
aka you buy calls and stop out
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@BullTradeFinder Wednesday cpi makes sense. Buy that dip into spcx and Iran deal. Trump wants win win win and win more u will be tired of winning but then u will keep winning MORE
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$SPY Rip it higher to 745ish, dip it into Wednesday into 725-727 and then possibility to pin it around 735-740 by end of week.
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The AI supercycle is in year 3 of 15. You didn't miss it.
You'd make millions by knowing whats coming and buying dips until 2030+
Pay attention, we just finished Phase 1 2023-2025
chips · memory · connectivity
$NVDA → Designs the GPUs every AI model trains and runs on.
$MU → Makes high-bandwidth memory inside every AI server.
$COHR → Moves data at light speed between GPUs optically.
$MRVL → Custom silicon connecting every chip in a hyperscaler's cluster.
$AVGO → Builds Google's, Meta's, and Apple's custom AI chips quietly.
$AMD → Only credible GPU rival to NVDA for AI training.
PHASE 2 — The grid gets built (2026–2027)
power · cooling · networking
$IREN → AI-native data centers built to scale compute and power.
$WULF → Energy-efficient infrastructure hosting the world's most power-hungry AI workloads.
$VRT → Cooling and power systems keeping AI data centers running.
$ETN → Electrical gear powering every hyperscale AI facility being built.
$CEG → Nuclear energy feeding AI's insatiable around-the-clock power demands.
$ANET → High-speed switches moving massive AI workloads across GPU networks.
$GEV → Gas turbines physically delivering power to data centers.
$SMCI → Liquid-cooled GPU server racks — pick-and-shovel for AI density.
PHASE 3 — The massive bottleneck (2027–2029)
materials · space · autonomy
$MP → Mines rare earth materials used in AI hardware and defense.
$USAR → Domestic minerals securing U.S. AI manufacturing independence.
$ASTS → Satellites delivering AI connectivity to every corner of Earth.
$RKLB → Low-cost rockets launching satellites powering AI communication networks.
$KTOS → AI-driven autonomous weapons systems entering mass military deployment now.
$TSLA → Leads real-world AI through robotics, autonomy, and manufacturing.
$SYM → AI-powered warehouse robots automating global logistics at scale.
$ALAB → Chip packaging bottleneck — critical past 100K GPU nodes.
$PLTR → Software turning AI compute into defense and enterprise decisions.
PHASE 4 — Full automation (2030+)
platforms · agents · quantum
$MSFT → Deploys AI agents across every enterprise software product it sells.
$GOOGL → Controls AI search, cloud, and consumer distribution globally.
$META → AI assistants across 3 billion users in social and commerce.
$CRM → AI agents inside enterprise sales — 150K customer moat.
$NOW → AI workflow OS for Fortune 500 enterprises.
Quantum
$IONQ $RGTI $QUBT — next-gen compute unlocking exponential AI breakthroughs.
♻️ RESHARE this post and make 1 comment, I'll share when to add these stocks in June.
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@eric04716641 I’m adding you to the $SPY challenge, Reply “OK” if you’re up for it.
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eric ری ٹویٹ کیا
I AM OFFICIALLY RESTARTING THE $1,000 TO $1,000,000 $SPX 2026 SUMMER CHALLENGE NEXT MONDAY! 💸🏖️
I’M GOING TO RESTART AND LET EVERYONE FOLLOW MY EXACT TRADES FOR COMPLETELY FREE IN A PRIVATE X GROUP CHAT! 🦅☀️
LIKE, REPOST, & COMMENT “$SPX” TO BE ADDED! ❤️🔥
YOU MUST BE FOLLOWING ME TO JOIN! ☢️
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Someone just purchased $1M worth of OTM Calls on $MU expiring today
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$SPY flow flipping here and notable call prints starting to come in 👀
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@CheddarFlow Brother please don't post this bs
Pennies to the dollar
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@CheddarFlow Hi brother, refering to your last videos is this the dark pools defending in your opinion? I saw the 7B at 750 but sonce then sblit 7b lf distribution 757 760 759. Like ur h&S theorynon spy and if we reverse here today I think could be good swing entry into sept. Any thoughts?
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@TriggerTrades Nice, I drew a similar prediction back a few months ago with spy 745 target for pre-tarif too to be the 50% fib
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$SPX reached the Wave (3) termination zone.
A higher degree correction is now on the table.
MASSIVE bearish SMT divergence with $DJI — Dow has failed to make a new ATH while $SPY and $NDX have left it FAR behind.
15–20% decline potential into the 6,200 level.
Fast followers, not first movers.
Weekly close below 7,272 confirms.
TRIGGER TRADES@TriggerTrades
Called the top. ✓ Called the bottom. ✓ Thought the bounce would fail. It didn't. I'll own it. New ATHs are coming first. 7400–7650. Then the 20% correction. 6200–5700. All before 2027. Not wrong on the destination. Early on the path.
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@alphaticaio @haroldjkang Hello sir, how do you know if dark pools were a buy or a sell? I have always thought the following move is the knly way to find out
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SPY UPDATE | Friday May 15, 2:00 PM | Monthly OpEx
$742.55. Down 0.75%. Recovering. The dip-buying we flagged this morning just became something bigger.
Our Composite Score: +31.8 [Lean Bullish]
The highest composite reading of the day. Higher than yesterday's +28.6 at the all-time high. On a down day. On the gamma cliff. The structure is telling you the institutions are buying this selloff aggressively.
THE NUMBERS BEHIND THE DIP-BUY:
Daily flow: +106.8M shares of long delta. The largest bullish flow day since the April 30 month-end rip (+175M). On a day the market is red. The buying into weakness is overwhelming.
LIT blocks over 500K shares: +$6.97B net positive. Dark pool prints over $5M: +$6.16B net positive. That's $13.1B of institutional buying on a -0.75% down day. The smart money isn't waiting for the bottom. They're accumulating into the gamma cliff.
Call Vol/OI: 103.2%. More calls traded today than exist in open interest. 3.40M new call positions opened. That's not hedging. That's directional betting on the bounce.
Premium: +$646M into calls at 71% call-heavy. Over a billion dollars in call premium traded. On a down day.
IV skew: -0.11%. Calls are now more expensive than puts. For the first time in the cycle, the skew flipped bullish. The market is paying more for upside than downside at the exact moment of the gamma cliff. That's the strongest contrarian signal the options market can send.
Vanna flipped supportive: +70.1K dealer effective. If vol compresses from here, dealers buy. The mechanic that powered every bounce this cycle is loaded again.
THE PATH TO GREEN:
Yesterday's close: $748.17. Current: $742.55. Distance: +0.76%. Here's how it happens:
3.42M puts expire at 4 PM. As those puts decay in the final two hours, dealers unwind their short hedges. That's mechanical buying pressure that accelerates into the close. Same dynamic as every OpEx Friday we've tracked.
$745 magnet at +$120M is 0.3% above. $750 at +$115M is 1.0% above. The magnets are close and the puts are dying.
Charm at +253K near-term is forcing dealer selling, but that pressure peaks and reverses as the expiring options lose their time value in the final 90 minutes.
The composite at +31.8 with +107M of bullish flow, $13.1B of institutional buying, and a bullish IV skew flip is the most aggressive dip-buying posture we've ever recorded on a down day.
The path: $742 reclaims $745 magnet into 3 PM. Expiring put decay provides the final push toward $748. A green close at or near $748 by 4 PM. It's a 0.76% move in two hours with the mechanics supporting it.
THE STRUCTURE AFTER TODAY:
GEX flip: $683. Cushion: 8.0%. Doubled from this morning's 4.1%. The floor moved further away as the monthly gamma sorted itself.
Dealers short 110.7M shares in the near-term. Smaller than the 217M record but still substantial. The engine rebuilds next week as new positions open.
P/C ratio: 3.34. Still extreme. The hedging remains even as the flow flips bullish. Disciplined.
WHAT THE $13.1B TELLS YOU:
Institutions don't deploy $13B on a day they expect to get worse. The LIT blocks and dark pool prints confirm what the options flow is saying: this selloff is being bought by the largest participants in the market. The gamma cliff was the event. The dip was the opportunity. The accumulation is the signal.
The bottom line:
$13.1B of institutional buying. +107M shares of bullish flow. IV skew flipped bullish for the first time. Composite at session high. Call positions opening faster than any day this week. All on the gamma cliff. All on a down day.
The path to green exists. $745 magnet pulls into 3 PM. Expiring puts decay into the close. 0.76% in two hours with the mechanics behind it.
The gamma cliff was the reset. Not the reversal. The institutions just told you with $13 billion.
$745 is the magnet. $750 is the stretch. $683 is the floor. The clock runs out at 4 PM.
$SPY $QQQ $VIX
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@alphaticaio Do you even understand what you are describing in a way that it helps you trade and be profitable?
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SPX GEX LEVELS: May 5
The gamma decay we warned about Saturday is happening in real time.
🚨🚨🚨Tomorrow's expected range: 7,100 – 7,275. Wider than last week's ranges because the gamma is thinner. Below 7,188, the regime flips and the accelerators fire.
Net GEX dropped 27% in three sessions, from +$1.07B to +$787M. Friday's OPEX drained a quarter of the gamma blanket. Today's put buying thinned it further. The structure that pinned SPX in 100-point ranges for three weeks is losing its grip.
The GEX flip tightened to 7,188, 13 points below the close. That's the second time in a week spot has landed on the regime change threshold. Last time was the FOMC knife edge at 7,138 with one point of cushion. The market is walking the same line again, except now the gamma underneath is 27% lighter.
Today's volume tells you where the pressure is coming from. The top 4 negative volume strikes were all below spot: 7,150 (-$51M), 7,100 (-$38M), 7,125 (-$37M), 7,120 (-$30M). That's aggressive put layering within 100 points of spot. The 7,000 strike absorbed -$27M in put buying with 80K puts traded against 19K calls. The zone from 7,000 to 7,175 is being loaded with downside exposure.
Above spot, call buying held at 7,250 (+$42M), 7,240 (+$35M), and 7,300 (+$28M). The magnets are still there 7,300 at +$136M is the max magnet, 100 points above. But the path to get there runs through a minefield of freshly loaded puts that didn't exist last week.
The 7,000 strike is worth noting again. Put OI (1.023M) now exceeds call OI (992K) by 31K contracts. The GEX contribution is +$3M, functionally zero. The anchor of the entire March-April rally has completely neutralized.
Here's where we are structurally. Saturday's alert said the path of least resistance shifted lower. The shooting star was invalidated on today's session but the gamma decay and the flow reversal are both playing out. Net GEX dropped 27%, the flip tightened to 13 points, and put buying loaded the zone below spot. The candle didn't confirm but the structure did. Gamma is still positive. Dealers still buy dips above 7,188. The regime hasn't flipped yet. The question is whether tomorrow's session is the one that pushes through.
The decay schedule continues: another 15% of the blanket expires by Friday. By monthly OPEX on May 15, 72.6% of last Thursday's gamma is gone. Each day the structure gets lighter and the flip level tightens.
Yields aren't helping. The 30-year crossed 5% today and the 10-year hit 4.44%. Rising rates compress equity multiples and that pressure is hitting while the gamma blanket that suppressed every move for a month is 27% thinner.
$SPX $SPY
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Someone just added $1.5M worth of $SPY calls with a 760 strike...
It's trading at 712 right now
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@CheddarFlow Was suspecting an iron condor and agterwards thats clearly what it was
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MILLIONS worth of unusual $AMZN call sweepers detected
Amazon reports earnings after the bell
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