John McGraw

349 posts

John McGraw

John McGraw

@john_mcgraw3B

شامل ہوئے Ekim 2025
135 فالونگ26 فالوورز
Courtney Theriault
Courtney Theriault@cspotweet·
Joe Rogan asks Pierre Polievre if he's talked to Trump about the tariffs, etc. Poilievre says he hasn't as he believes in one prime minsiter at a time to do the negotiating. He adds that he has been texting PM Carney about his trip as they both want what's best for Canada
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Diana Dukic
Diana Dukic@diana_dukic·
Went from scrolling 24/7 to not even wanting to log in. X just hasn’t been hitting the same lately.
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John McGraw
John McGraw@john_mcgraw3B·
@LunarResearcher Total fraud. Where do you get the true probability from? The rest that you describe is trivial
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Lunar
Lunar@LunarResearcher·
My dad looked at my screen and said "what is this, a hacker game?" It was a Polymarket bot making $400 while he was standing behind me He sat down. I explained Polymarket runs on one equation - softmax. The same math Claude uses to pick the next word C(q) = b · ln Σ e^(qi/b) 93% of traders don't know this formula exists They look at 40¢ and think "cheap" My bot looks at 40¢ and calculates the theoretical price is 58¢ I'm use for copytrade bots: t.me/KreoPolyBot?st… That's an 18-cent edge per share Two more formulas do the rest: f* = (p·b − q) / b - Kelly Criterion. P(H|E) = P(E|H)·P(H) / P(E) - Bayes. I gave Claude all 4 and said "find every contract the market has wrong" $600 → $10,190. 425 trades. Still running 61.2% win rate - wrong 39% of the time. Doesn't matter. The sizing formula makes sure wins pay more than losses cost 87% of wallets lose money trading against this math The 4 formulas are on Wikipedia. The code fits in one file The only edge: my bot reads them at 3 AM when the market is mispriced and nobody's looking My dad still calls it a hacker game. But he stopped asking when I'm getting a "real job" Only math + code, no more
Lunar@LunarResearcher

x.com/i/article/2034…

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Michael A. Arouet
Michael A. Arouet@MichaelAArouet·
There is a popular myth that Poland enjoys its economic miracle because it didn’t accept immigrants. In reality, it did let them in, but unlike Western Europe, Poland offers no lavish welfare. Most immigrants work, integrate, and contribute to society. That’s the difference.
Michael A. Arouet tweet media
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John McGraw
John McGraw@john_mcgraw3B·
@JP_Liberty76 @yajnshri Do you find that only noises you can’t control bother you, whereas noises you can control don’t? (For example I had a fridge that would make sounds that drove me crazy but I couldn’t just turn it off, whereas a dishwasher never would because I could just stop it.)
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John McGraw ری ٹویٹ کیا
Ryan Gerritsen🇨🇦🇳🇱
Witness how effective mainstream media propaganda can be against a population.
Ryan Gerritsen🇨🇦🇳🇱 tweet media
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DiscussingFilm
DiscussingFilm@DiscussingFilm·
First look at Michael Mando as Scorpion in ‘SPIDER-MAN: BRAND NEW DAY’.
DiscussingFilm tweet media
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John McGraw
John McGraw@john_mcgraw3B·
@JohnCleese lol boomer has slowly been learning but hasn’t quite graduated yet. Probably still reads a physical newspaper every morning
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USA NEWS 🇺🇸
USA NEWS 🇺🇸@usanewshq·
Anyone who understands human psychology knows this is the look a woman gives a man when divorce is imminent
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John McGraw ری ٹویٹ کیا
Ahmed Hassan 🇾🇪 أحمد حسن زيد
Israel destroyed a very large residential building full of people in Beirut a few minutes ago. War crime
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Hans Niemann
Hans Niemann@HansMokeNiemann·
JetBlue has won the prize for worst American airline along with JFK for worst American airport!
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Pierre Poilievre
Pierre Poilievre@PierrePoilievre·
My St. Patrick’s Day beer with Mark Carney. We need less foam and more beer!
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John McGraw
John McGraw@john_mcgraw3B·
@OldMackIsBack Because that’s implied in the word bomb. All bombs die once launched. Not all drones do. Only suicide drones.
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John McGraw
John McGraw@john_mcgraw3B·
@DinaBelenkaya And the award for most misleading / false headline of 2026 goes to..
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Dina Belenkaya
Dina Belenkaya@DinaBelenkaya·
The Woman Who Became World Champion in a Male-Dominated Sport
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John McGraw
John McGraw@john_mcgraw3B·
@JeffEvely Not a single thing is protected under the Charter. It’s toilet paper
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Jeff Evely
Jeff Evely@JeffEvely·
Big day, for the future of Canada, tomorrow. "Mr. Evely, a retired Canadian Armed Forces veteran and father of two, was fined $28,872.50 under the ban on walking in the woods in August 2025. Mr. Evely’s legal counsel is arguing that the ban is both unreasonable and unconstitutional and violated Mr. Evely’s right to liberty and security of the person, and the rights of Nova Scotians’ more generally, protected by the Charter."
Justice Centre for Constitutional Freedoms@JCCFCanada

The Justice Centre announces that lawyers will appear in the Supreme Court of Nova Scotia on behalf of Jeffrey Evely starting Tuesday, March 17, 2026, challenging the Province’s 2025 walking in the woods ban. The hearing is scheduled to begin at 9:30 a.m. AT in Halifax, at the courthouse located at 1815 Upper Water Street, in courtroom 703, before Justice Campbell. Three days have been scheduled for the hearing from March 17 to March 19, 2026. The proceedings are open to the public for in-person attendance, but virtual access will not be available. Constitutional lawyer Marty Moore said, “There are serious legal and constitutional issues with the decision of Nova Scotia to completely ban its citizens from being in more than 75 percent of the Province, ostensibly to protect the woods.” Read the full story here: jccf.ca/supreme-court-… To support important cases like this, please consider making a tax-deductible donation to the Justice Centre here: jccf.kindful.com

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