Josh 🇺🇸🇦🇺🇺🇦

Hey everybody, since the start of the offensive I have been compiling data on the different axis of advance. Cross referencing Project Owl's, militaryland's, JominiW's latest, LiveUAmap, Geoconfirmed, Bradyafrick I'm ready to release this 🧵as of 8:00 GMT: #counteroffensive

@AndrewScheidl On behalf of my country mate, I apologize.

It seems as good a time as any to say this. I have American friends. I've served alongside Americans in various places overseas. I've been attached to their forces at times. I always found my American comrades generous, friendly, reliable and impressively professional. On more than one multinational mission (NATO/UN), the backstop, just out of frame, was a US contingency force. So I have a lot of earned respect and deep gratitude for Americans as a whole. Canada has long depended heavily on the US for our own national defence, whether the nuclear umbrella, the bulk of NORAD, patrol of our arctic waters, or military and law enforcement intelligence. It's worth noting that most of those arrangements were born of the Second World War and its aftermath, a war in which Canada pulled far more than its weight, for years before the US even joined. The spirit of shared security burden was warmer then, and stayed strong through the decades of the Cold War. It seems to have cooled. There's no question we can and should take on more of our own security burdens and contribute more substantially to collective security. I expect the next Canadian government to do that. That the United States has been flagging in various ways lately, and suffering extreme domestic polarization is a tragedy and a concern for all of the West. That's especially true as the West faces war challenges from China and Russia. We all secretly long for that stalwart America of old, the one that that led the winning of the Second World War and the defeat of the Soviet empire. But the world is different, and the comparative advantages of the US are not as great as they once were. They feel it. We need to recognize that the burdens and risks cannot fall so disproportionately on the US. We and all the allies need to do much more to relieve the US of secondary burdens and to contribute real force to the primary ones. That will take a strong two-way spirit of alliance and risk-sharing. But this week, Canada and Denmark, NATO allies who, recently enough, fought with the US in Afghanistan, are receiving threats of annexation from the US President-elect. Whether those threat are serious or just juvenile smack talk isn't clear. Whether this behaviour benefits the President-elect or the US in some way is similarly unknown. I don't believe the President-elect is playing 4D chess. Perhaps he's playing the madman to keep everyone guessing, a stratagem normally deployed against enemies, not allies. It's a risky enough strategy against enemies but it can destroy alliances before long. Our enemies are watching for such opportunities. All that to say, it's deeply sad and just as worrying to see such corrosive behaviour, aggression, and recklessness from the office once called 'the leader of the free world'. Hope is famously not a method, but I do hope. I hope there's a rekindling of alliances despite these outbursts. I hope more of the confident, professional Americans I knew come to the fore. The ones who know they're better off with allies, warts and all, than fighting them. And I hope that better days of reasoned judgement and statesmanship lie not too far ahead.

Reminds me of the chopper pilots who flew during vietnam.

Some slightly more positive large fires to look at.

Video is nice but please stop flying drones over the fire you are endangering Air Operations

08 January 2025 NASA FIRMS and the locations of the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, and Olivas Fires. Other Hotspots: Not all hot spots are fires. Water and solar panels can reflect light, and industrial facilities (power plants, metals, cement) produce false heat signatures.

Summary of LAFD calling for Mutual Aid and NIMS answering and then the fire department's showing up to no water

#SunsetFire is looking much better now. Images 30 minutes apart.

To anyone who lives near Hollywood hills you may think you have time. You don't that fire is going to be on top of you likely within the hour.

Live Feed. cameras.alertcalifornia.org/?pos=34.1257_-…

location can be seen here circled in black.

Image of Hollywood Hills Fire Taken from Mount Lee UC San Deigo South Facing Camera.

Jesus Christ.

For those that don’t know: @natsecboogie is a GOAT of cartel @GeoConfirmed. Seriously 99% of the geos come from them. If you haven’t, make sure to give them a follow.

I shouldn't have to say this, but fucking with the Canadians is never a good idea. Canadians are the most psychotic of the commonwealth. Aussies and Kiwis fight like demons but only Canadians have the cheerful facade. sofrep.com/news/leo-major…

@MalcontentmentT yeah it was not a fun time, they did have a good reason for being where they were but still was definitely fucking nerve-wracking.

@jrt_191 I'm sorry they went through this, Josh. Truly sorry. That's one of the biggest dangers of waiting too long. Road access becomes a unknown and one turn can be the difference between escape and the unthinkable.

In the last 24 hours I had to literally guide a family friend on foot by phone in order for them to get to safety, after they had to abandon their car in the palisades neighborhood, if people are telling you to evac do so.

@ThomasVLinge interesting, I've been hearing some chatter that the regime is spooked

Can't really remember the last time I saw Cilia Flores this worried.

NASA FIRMS firemap data over the LA Metro Area from about an hour ago.

Rest in piss Jean-Marie Le Pen

@sadsaracen there are about forty or so closet moderates, who might vote against the republicans on select issues on any specific issues they'll then need a small number to defect.

A reminder that there is a direct line between Facebook not moderating Burmese content and the genocide of Rohingya people in Myanmar