J Smith
12.9K posts
J Smith
@jvin248
1 Farmer 2 Engineer 3 Writer 4 Adventures in Agriculture 2
شامل ہوئے Temmuz 2009
406 فالونگ1.1K فالوورز
I was asking this last night.
What is the best investment right now beyond food, water, gear, and ammo?
Tekee@Tekeee
Gold is crashing. Silver is crashing. Crypto is crashing. Stocks are crashing. The dollar is crashing. Real talk what should we buy now?
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@chrismartenson @cryptofergani Feeding the chickens is gonna get complicated. I'm thinking I need some ruminants
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Everything is manipulated…
Bitcoin, Gold, Silver, Crypto, Stocks, Oil, Fiat.
WTF are we even supposed to buy?
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@paratroopbrady I made bolas as a kid, 3-6 laces with weights for the end, they open up like a fan to catch small game.
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Definitely needed nowadays. I think a 12 guage shot gun would work fine, too.
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@AppWoodHome Depends how good your soil is!
Paste types and avoid the ones listed as "low acid" as acid is what makes water bath canning successful.
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I know it depends on a lot of factors, but…
Approximately how many tomatoes should I plant for 24 pints of diced tomatoes and 24 pints of sauce?
I haven’t canned tomatoes in years and have only ever canned what I had. I didn’t plant with goals in mind.
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@KingKong9888 Instead of military strategy arguing.
Install pipelines that go around the problem.
Already two cut across to the Red Sea for 8Mbd. Add a few more or run to the ocean side of Oman.
"two miles per day of buried conventional pipe", faster for temporary use laid on top of the ground
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How will this work? Or we are just being fed a narrative that won’t happen?
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@MattPowersSoil -Temperature is a significant factor, bucket/barrel volume can matter for temperature swings
-Sugar concentration matters (too high can stall it)
-Contamination by other organisms, odor will be a clue here, in the container, handling the feed stock, or wild yeasts/bacteria
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I added some molasses to these 5 gallon barrels about a week ago then temps went from 90F to 32F in 36 hrs - so I had to have a peek!! Looks like one is chugging along and may need more molasses and the other is looking on track to be ideal. I’ll add a bit more molasses to these one and then leave it another week and review under the microscope once temps return to warm again.
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@CBKimbrell @Cornfrmr Part of the reason is death record conventions, someone dies from a failed heart but other real issues like cancer put them into that weakened state.
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@Cornfrmr Someday they’ll figure out that colesterol number is vitally important to those with a family history of middle age heart disease and not relevant for those with a genetic predisposition to high colesterol but have no heart disease in their genes.
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I see they lowered the LDL recommendation again.
Maybe they should address the real issues being Americans are metabolically sick from all of the ultra processed foods. But that doesn’t make drug companies rich passing out drugs to lower one number. A number that makes only a very small difference at that.
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@GrainStats Be sure to set aside acres for oats and hay to feed that pair of "tractors".
Original tractor advertisements "a machine you don't have to feed when it's not working"
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high time to get back to classical farming
Ken Schaus 🇨🇦@KenSchaus
Diesel Fuel last 30 days $2 US$ Gallon higher
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@DougCol86597825 @VladTheInflator Will there be rebuilding?
More pressure for dislocated people to relocate, as has been occurring...
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@VladTheInflator Capital pools in different dimensions. Gulf rebuilding will come from Chinese state banks, European export credit agencies, and gulf soverign wealth funds, so state money. The Gulf crisis will actually accelerate US AI buildout.
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So the destruction in the gulf is going to destroy data center construction financing
That's interesting.....
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When you think, what medium do you tend to think in?
Would be very curious to hear how you’d describe the base unit(s) of your thoughts and how they feel to you.
I assumed what happens in my head was similar to everyone else but have been surprised by how varied thought can be.
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AI Data Centers are like Little Red Riding Hood's Wolf, "My what big eyes you have!" They need to be where the citizen tracking happens.
Camera feeds, bank transactions, shopping activities, media consumption, and on and on. Record everything in mass and sort out trends later with AI... AI alert on your phone, "you have exceeded your beer consumption for this month. You may only buy water for the next twenty-five days." Or "Your car will shut off in three minutes for driving further than your 15 minute city. Find safe parking immediately". Politicians are giddy for such detailed control of every citizen.
GIF
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This may seem like a stupid question so bare with me here.
If the AI data centers need so much water to cool why aren’t they by the ocean or where it’s cold a lot?
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@KingKong9888 @Matt_Bracken48 Tesla's chip fab is starting production next week.
TI and other small-chip fabs are in the US.
Mainland China has started fabs (how many?).
Chip fab machinery comes from Europe.
Does Taiwan matter for the US to protect it?
For China to desire it?
Irrelevancy may be the real play.
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@Matt_Bracken48 The closest Taiwan island to mainland China is only 2.1 KM away.
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"China will NOT fire a single missile first. They will starve Taiwan into submission. A blockade is cleaner than a war. It forces Taiwan to surrender without giving America a clear reason to respond. By the time Washington turns away from Iran, it will already be over."
🇨🇳 Red Oracle@cn_redoracle
HERE IS EXACTLY WHAT CHINA WILL DO TO TAIWAN IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS This is not a guess. This is pattern recognition. China just circled Taiwan with 26 warplanes and 7 warships. They deployed 2,000 vessels to block the East China Sea. They just raised their military budget again at the Two Sessions meeting. America is deep in Iran with no exit. Here is what WILL happen next. Week 1: China will increase naval presence to 15+ ships around Taiwan. Week 2: China will declare an air defense zone — no flights in or out without Beijing's permission. Week 3: China will begin a full economic blockade of Taiwan's ports. Month 2: Taiwan's fuel reserves run out. Month 2: TSMC will shut down production — $10 trillion in chips stops flowing. Month 2: Global tech supply chain collapses instantly. Month 3: Gold will hit $7,000 per ounce as investors flee to safety. Month 3: Oil will hit $280/barrel as two war zones choke global supply. China will NOT fire a single missile first. They will starve Taiwan into submission. A blockade is cleaner than a war. It forces Taiwan to surrender without giving America a clear reason to respond. By the time Washington turns away from Iran, it will already be over. The world will wake up to a new map. Taiwan does not exist anymore as a separate country. TSMC belongs to Beijing. The entire chip supply of the world belongs to one man. Xi Jinping just became the most powerful human on the planet.
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@BrianRoemmele Business and technology disruptions always originate externally. Big corporations run with ossified procedures trying to reduce risk, they abhor change and internal change agents/mavericks.
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Recent Example: Tesla EV success vs Legacy ICE automotive companies failing at EV.
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As some rather famous folks that run AI companies laugh at my garage and my non-existent budget, they forget who gave them their world.
Is has been and is shall always be, innovation happens in the constraints not the big funding and glamour images.
Brian Roemmele@BrianRoemmele
Most thinking folks know in their souls how important open source software is, even if they are hazy on the facts. The issue is sometimes folks forget. This will be true for AI, we in the US just need to remember. Here is the story of the Grandpa of open source software.
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How much can pre-1800 France, pre-1900 Argentina, pre-1920s Germany, and so on (185 countries since 1800) match the US trends here? Likely all are close. They all ended in Hyperinflation. Visit a local coin shop and buy a fistful of Zimbabwe/Weimar/etc paper currencies with astronomical numbers on them, or reprint conveniently sized reproductions, to hand out like business cards. Once it was cheaper to burn paper money than buy wood.
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This is where the math gets ugly. Once publicly held debt hits 100% of GDP, mandatory spending and interest start deciding what gets squeezed.
Doug Branch@DougBranch
The U.S. just passed $39 Trillion in debt. Even more alarming, gross federal debt is nearing 125% of GDP & publicly held debt is 100% of GDP and worsening w/ mandatory spending + interest payments overwhelming. Look to @Fiscallab535 for more educational material on this crisis.
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Chris, with the world battening down the hatches, thinking of India halting rice exports a while back and now this oil move, what is the world fearing? Could war be a foil?
Apophis is due for a flyby in 2029, they even made a few films about it. "Reset 2030" fits "everything is fine" if you have tall mountains to hide in. Don't get eaten by a Bronteroc.
GIF
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Holeeee sh*t.
There it is, as expected, but ahead of schedule. After lighting the energy world on fire, the US is proposing to ban petroleum exports. This is going to be perceived by the rest of the world as a bad-faith move, which it is.
First Squawk@FirstSquawk
UNITED STATES WEIGHS CRUDE EXPORT TARIFF — AND POSSIBLE BAN — TO CURB SURGING ENERGY PRICES AMID MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT. || POTENTIAL CURBS COULD WIDEN WTI CRUDE–BRENT CRUDE GAP, LOWER DOMESTIC FUEL COSTS BUT DISRUPT GLOBAL SUPPLY AND PUSH INTERNATIONAL PRICES HIGHER.
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@BigImpactHumans While most people are not toiling directly in the fields because of mechanization, people still toil to build the machinery (and often dangerous chemicals) or in other enabling farm industries to acquire food from the grocery store or pay rent.... and pay taxes.
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For almost all of human existence (tens of thousands of years right up until the Industrial Revolution), our lives were dominated by one single thing: the endless struggle for food.
Every culture poured the vast majority of its time, energy, manpower, and resources into getting food. Hunting it. Gathering it. Farming it. Storing it. Distributing it. For most of history, 80-95% of people in every society were directly tied to agriculture. Even as late as 1790 in the young United States, about 90% of the population farmed. Globally, it was still 60-70% in 1925.
Take the Roman Empire. Everyone talks about the emperors and conquering armies. But Rome’s true superpower was its food system. They mastered acquiring vast farmlands through conquest, built aqueducts for water, and created the cura annonae, an incredibly efficient logistics network that shipped hundreds of thousands of tons of grain from Egypt and North Africa every year. This grain dole fed hundreds of thousands in Rome itself and kept the empire stable. “Bread and circuses” wasn’t just a slogan. Food security was the foundation of their power.
Then mechanized agriculture changed everything in the blink of an eye (historically speaking). Today in developed countries like the US, UK, and Germany, only 1-2% of the workforce works in farming. One modern farmer can feed hundreds of people. We’ve suddenly been given something our ancestors never had: enormous amounts of free time.
But I wonder… have we really adapted? That ancient restlessness, the constant drive, vigilance, and hunger that kept us chasing the next meal for millennia, is still hardwired into us. With the food struggle largely solved, where does all that energy go? Endless scrolling, outrage, status games, manufactured crises, and general societal craziness?
Maybe we’re not crazy. Maybe we’re just bored hunters with full bellies and no saber-toothed tigers left to chase.
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If you expect another Noah event, the mountains of I ran are very attractive to build high elevation bunkers and fill with "your people". Just like the S wiss have. Some of those mountains are taller than the US Rockies. And why Greenland was such a big deal for non-S wiss politicians. Apophis fly by in 2029? Pole Flip? CME? Hollywood has spent a lot of time warning us.
Is "Reset 2030" before, or after, a global event?
GIF
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Explain to me the 10D chess logic behind continuing this war for the ‘Greater Israel project,’ when there will be no Israel left if this continues?
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If you are able to consistently get premium clean corn (without chems is best!), and you have bins, see what you can sell direct. "$4 corn" turns into $65/bu cornmeal at Walmart. That's like converting a 1,000 acre farm into a 16,000 acre farm, without buying half a dozen big planters and combines and hiring drivers.
Patrick Shivers in GA makes a huge statement here about peanuts, order some from him. So addictive, maybe you shouldn't order!
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We’ve average around 15% moisture an 61.2# TW coming out of bins. Which begs question, we get docked quickly for having low TW but why don’t we get a premium for 61+ pound test weight? Especially since every metric of this is technically number 1 yellow not #2 yellow dent
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