Max

ACS released the 2024 5-yr microdata sets. Here is updated TFR by language spoken at home in the US, ranked from highest to lowest. Anything with 'languages' in the name is a mess, but the trimmed average should give a rough idea of what the TFR is for smaller languages.

@Divideetimpera5 Converts definitely helped here. The entire sephardic Haredi movement started after 1952. 1/3 of all Haredi in Israel are sephardic.

@ComteWasRight The Haredi population in Israel has grown at an even faster pace: 1952 — 40,000 2025 — 1,452,000 A staggering growth of 3,530%!!!

New Amish study was released. It uses data from over 50,000 households, which covers 89.9% of all Amish in North America. It found the average TFR for all Amish women was 6.1 in the 2002–11 period.

@SultanYavar @charliesmirkley @JebknJbkn True but there is roughly the same number of Mennonites with tfr of ~6. Lithuania’s population was ~500× the Amish population in 1900 :). Nothing is set in stone with demographics.

@charliesmirkley @JebknJbkn Amish (total population): ~400k TFR: 6 kids per woman Pakistan (total pop.): 255 MILLION (approx. 640x the Amish. A ☢️ state) TFR: 3.5 kids per woman (Pak women give birth to more children than all of Europe (incl. non-whites) or ALL white women in the WORLD, *combined*) 🍻

Amish Growth (~15% Defection) Gen 1: 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 Gen 2: 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👤 👤 Gen 3: 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👨‍🌾 👩 👤 👤 👤 👤 👤

@EurocentricTuga @Liridon1988 True, I think 5.5 is a bit too low. Maybe it’s closer to 6.

@ComteWasRight @Liridon1988 The acs gives 6.17 for 5 years ending in 2024 for those without cars, but the acs also overestimates the tfr of the overall usa population so... at the same time acs doesnt counts twins, triplets nor multiple births in 1 year and the more conservative amish may not respond...

@Divinator10 ~400k in 2025.

@ComteWasRight Huh I thought there were more amish than that

@Liridon1988 5.5 for Pennsylvania German speakers based on ACS data. It’s likely a good estimate for the Amish in 2020’s.

@ComteWasRight How much is realistically nowadays from your assessment?

Link: pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12…

Retention chart:

@Demografig @Divideetimpera5 Wiki has it at 7.41.

@Divideetimpera5 What is data source

Hakkari 2025 sonu nüfus piramidi. TFR 1.68~ geçen yıla göre -%3.1 Doğum sayısı 4160~ Tahminim askerler ve memurlar sebebiyle 20-34 yaş aralığında bir erkek fazlalığı var. Bu ilimizin yerli nüfusunun tamamına yakını Kürt.

@BirthGauge TFR by district in Slovakia in 2025 The highest was in Sabinov at 2.51 due to its large Roma minority, while the lowest was in Skalica at 0.87 Other then Námestovo and Tvrdošín in the north every other high TFR district has a sizeable Roma community.

The TFR in the US declined to 1.574 children per woman in 2025, down from 1.60 in 2024. Here are the TFRs by race (2024 in brackets): Non-hispanic White 1.54 (1.53) Non-hispanic Black 1.44 (1.50) Hispanic 1.86 (1.93)

After a failed attempt a couple years ago, it looks like Mennonites will settle in Suriname—this time a group from Belize. One prospective Menno settler (with 10 kids) suggested more conservative Mennonites are moving to preserve traditional lifestyles. news.mongabay.com/2026/04/mennon…

@KingArthurWs Yeah, Adam county should be around 9. I summarized recent Amish tfr studies a while back. x.com/ComteWasRight/…

@ComteWasRight I estimated at least 2.5%. The Swiss Amish have a significantly higher birth rate than most other Amish, as can be seen in the central eastern portion of the state.

% U-18 by township in all of Indiana, with Amish Country circled. Indiana is the most Amish state in the US, with about 2% of births in the state being to the Amish.