Lizardinho

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Lizardinho

Lizardinho

@Lizardinho13

Buyer of highs, seller of lows. No edge, pure hedge

Cayman Islands Tham gia Şubat 2022
379 Đang theo dõi599 Người theo dõi
Le Shrub🌳
Le Shrub🌳@agnostoxxx·
Once again, the Iranians are so polite: they seized a ship AFTER the futures closed, in line with the rules of warfare during the Golden of Grift 🥹🙏 I’m sure they’ll let it go before the futures open on Monday 🤭👍 IRGC SEIZES SHIP: TASNIM
Le Shrub🌳@agnostoxxx

This is proper etiquette: the Iranian dude disputed Trump’s claims AFTER the futures closed. Very polite, and in line with warfare rules during the Golden Age of Grift 🌳🙏

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Lizardinho
Lizardinho@Lizardinho13·
@jbulltard1 Perhaps the guys selling those INTC atm puts are not just looking at P/E ratios
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jbulltard
jbulltard@jbulltard1·
the 1 thing this $INTC trade should teach you is fundamentals mean nothing when it comes to making money. P/E ratios lol. Names like $PYPL $ADBE, $FISV are dirt cheap and trade like shit, making money is easy but most of you are masochists, just buy what is being bought.
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Lizardinho
Lizardinho@Lizardinho13·
I think that was the blowoff top for $CAR
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Lizardinho
Lizardinho@Lizardinho13·
@stoicsavage Why would you buy this dog shit when soxx gaps up 5% every day though
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Ben Kizemchuk
Ben Kizemchuk@BenKizemchuk·
idk guys... This looks to me like it's still a bigger longer-term problem than most people think right now.
Ben Kizemchuk tweet media
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Lizardinho
Lizardinho@Lizardinho13·
@SarasvuoJari Lobotomia kaikille esikouluun astuessa, niin kaikki on samalla viivalla 👍
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Zaheer
Zaheer@zaheerebtikar·
Zaheer tweet media
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Ben Kizemchuk
Ben Kizemchuk@BenKizemchuk·
A short list of option market extremes over the last two weeks: vix/vixeq momentum just hit an extreme low cor1m is at a significant momentum low dspx rolling over from a peak vix down from 31 to 17.5 in 14 days put call ratio down to 0.61 CBOE gamma index curling higher from a low skewdex down from 68 to 60 taildex down from 30 to 14 cboe left tail index from 20 to 9.7 index put call ratio down to 0.6 cboe smile index from 2520 to 2417 This is the mark of an incredibly fast liquidation in insurance. What likely happened is that short vol and dispersion trades were mechanically triggered all at once on headlines. As shorts were forcibly covered at record speed, index upside accelerated faster than single‑stock realized vol, via futures and etf, crushing index vol relative to its components. Dispersion looks “safe”, which pulls capital back into selling SPX variance and buying gamma in individual names. This a reflexive and mechanical regrossing. Falling VIX, tightening skew, collapsing tails, and rising dealer gamma all points to dispersion desks and vol sellers scrambling on top of each other to get position on. CTAs then amplifies the move. Once price trends triggered and vol fell, systematic re‑risking kicked in, reinforcing upside pressure and accelerating the vol collapse. So you end up with what you’re seeing now index vol crushed, skew and left‑tail underbid, dispersion re‑established, and gamma suppressing day‑to‑day movement again, same as last six months. The implication is not that dispersion is “wrong,” but that it’s crowded again very quickly. We're back to levels of the last six months where market becomes extremely sensitive to correlation shocks. Any catalyst that raises asset/sector correlation can break the dispersion carry, force dealers out of long gamma, and cause index vol to move higher again. Rinse repeat. Thing is now you have dspx at peak rolling over again and cor1m at lows possible to inflect higher. Makes for shortest extreme cycle in spx history? Maybe that was it. To be clear, the option market is not stretched in "valuation" terms, but in "insurance" terms. Meaning downside convexity is now cheap again, demand for puts is low / nonexistent, and relative vol measure (eg vix vs equities) is at an extreme momentum low. Nobody wants insurance anymore. These conditions can suppress volatility briefly, but we usually get a snap back once gamma peaks or an external catalyst appears. The most likely next phase is volatility re‑inflation with either choppy sideways trade along with rising VIX, or a sharp short drawdown that forces hedges back on. The market didn’t really become any "safer" over the last two weeks, its just un‑hedged. Makes the next surprise matter more than the last one.
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IncomeSharks
IncomeSharks@IncomeSharks·
Now just need the S&P 500 to chill here at these prices for a month and let smaller caps and crypto run wild.
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Architect🛡️
Architect🛡️@Architect9000·
Earlier this year I got interested in buying the $ADBE dip. Never quite hit my $210 target to pick some up. tbh, I'm starting to lose faith myself. In the last month, I've had agents do basic image manipulation tasks for me using cli tools to apply transparency, crop, desaturate, and so forth. In the past, I would have opened Photoshop to do things like that, and now I don't need to. Adobe is going to have an audience for professional-grade tools, but I can't help but thinking that the TAM is permanently encumbered when the one-off crowd, like me, never opens their apps again.
Stephanie Palazzolo@steph_palazzolo

Scooplet: Anthropic is prepping its Claude Opus 4.7 model and a new AI tool for design, both of which could be released as soon as this week. theinformation.com/briefings/excl…

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Fofty Pawlow
Fofty Pawlow@FoftyPawlow·
I don’t know if many were around over the past 6 years or not, but volatility and markets have been running on a 'that’s maybe the problem of tomorrow' all the years - Macro only matters in short periods or windows, or when the Fed turns hawkish
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Lizardinho
Lizardinho@Lizardinho13·
@financialjuice News in 2026 *HEADLINE* 5 minutes later *THE EXACT OPPOSITE* Rinse and repeat
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FinancialJuice
FinancialJuice@financialjuice·
UAE ADNOC CEO: Strait of Hormuz has never been Iran's to close or restrict adds never
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Lizardinho đã retweet
peepeepoopoo
peepeepoopoo@DeepDishEnjoyer·
guy who can't spell strait trading 20x leveraged oil sick
peepeepoopoo tweet media
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