Scuttlebutt Investor

676 posts

Scuttlebutt Investor

Scuttlebutt Investor

@Scuttlebutt_Inv

Value Investor passionate about logically and creatively dissecting businesses to identify the source and sustainability of competitive advantage

San Francisco Bay Area, CA Tham gia Ocak 2018
376 Đang theo dõi10K Người theo dõi
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Scuttlebutt Investor
Scuttlebutt Investor@Scuttlebutt_Inv·
I spent some time digging into $FIZZ some time back and thought it was an interesting case study on brand building but it ended up in the “too hard” pile for me. Recent weakness reminded me that a lot of players with a lot of resources want their share bit.ly/2NU573p
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Scuttlebutt Investor
Scuttlebutt Investor@Scuttlebutt_Inv·
If you really want to have an impact @pulte and create more housing affordability, you should look at the cost of title insurance . It is absurd- the risk doesn’t match the inflated premiums. It is one of the biggest parts of the closing costs. No one has really been able to solve for it.
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Scuttlebutt Investor
Scuttlebutt Investor@Scuttlebutt_Inv·
This is incredible. Tim Friede deserves some major honor for his contributions to humanity. “Friede, 57, was bitten by more than 16 different species and said he went into anaphylactic shock a dozen times.” “Now, his blood has been used to create a prototype for a universal antivenom.” Makes me think of the scene from Princess Bride with Wesley and iocaine powder. Inconceivable! wsj.com/science/biolog…
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Scuttlebutt Investor
Scuttlebutt Investor@Scuttlebutt_Inv·
@pitdesi No Kati Roll company? Not as good as it used to be years ago but I still love it.
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Sheel Mohnot
Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi·
Lived in New York for the past 3 months and absolutely loved it. Here are some of my favorite picks. If you disagree, please suggest alternatives for me to enjoy on my next visit! North Indian: Angel (Jackson Heights) or Bungalow (East Village), but I didn’t find either to be as good as the hype Home-style Indian: Punjabi Deli (East Village) Dosa: Semma (West Village) or Pradyumna Cafe (Jersey City) Thai: Mitr (Midtown) Greek: Kiki’s Falafel: King of Falafel (cart on 53rd) or Shosh (West Village) Ethiopian: Bunna Cafe (Bushwick) Pizza (not NY-style): Masala Margherita at Onion Tree (East Village) NY pizza: Fini / Ceres / Johns Bleecker / Scarrs Italian (non-pizza): Zero Otto Nove (Arthur Ave), Leon's (Union Square) Bagel: Brooklyn Bagel (ironically NOT actually in Brooklyn) Donut: Moe’s (Greenpoint) Croissant: Rose Pistachio at Librae (Cooper Sq) Cookies: La Mercerie (SoHo), Red Gate (East Village) or Funny Face & Levain (both similar, and yes I like VC-backed cookie companies… and also why doesn’t someone just replicate Levain on the West Coast?) Gelato: Cafe Panna (Union Square) Bar: StEight (little Japanese speakeasy in East Village) Form of transport: CitiBike Musical: Death Becomes Her thank you for your attention to this matter!
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Scuttlebutt Investor
Scuttlebutt Investor@Scuttlebutt_Inv·
Using regular in-flight WiFi after using Starlink in-flight Wifi is like going back to AOL dial up after using high speed broadband.
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Scuttlebutt Investor
Scuttlebutt Investor@Scuttlebutt_Inv·
Some years back, I was trying to decide whether Facebook/Meta or Google/Alphabet’s business was more durable as an investment. I ultimately came to the conclusion that search was more durable than social media. Being the yellow pages of the internet seemed like a prime position and attempts by Microsoft/Bing and others had seemed to have no impact on Google’s market share because usage behaviors had become ingrained when Google was so much better than anyone else. Even when some competitors had caught up to Google in terms of quality of search results, people didn’t seem to switch their behaviors. Some valuable search terms still commanded $10-$20 per click or more. Social media engagement on the other hand seemed more fickle. Facebook’s popularity had seemed to reach saturation and was loosing its cool factor amongst younger folk. Luckily Zuck had the foresight to purchase Instagram but it seemed just a matter of time until engagement started waning there as a younger generation moved on to the next cool thing. I don’t know where Google goes from here. It’s early days but I already see consumers switching their behaviors to Perplexity and others. @pitdesi you’re right that it requires cannibalizing the goose that lays golden eggs but I guess if you don’t cannibalize yourself, your competitors will? I think I got it wrong in choosing Google over Facebook. (Partly due to the Zuck factor). As with most things, the existential risk is not obvious and usually comes from left field. Investing is hard…
Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi

Google down 8% bc Safari search queries are down, more people use AI. Real innovators dilemma: What do you do if you’re Sundar? Search is a $200B cash cow. AI generated answers are 10x+ expensive, hard to monetize. If they go all-in on AI they cannibalize the golden goose.

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Scuttlebutt Investor
Scuttlebutt Investor@Scuttlebutt_Inv·
Anyone figure out the handbook that Buffett was reading to discover the Japanese companies he invested in? Sounded like the S&P 500 manuals of yore but the Japan edition (except in English I presume). He said the print was too small for him to read now. Second question of the 2025 BRK Annual Meeting. Abbreviated Transcript below. “It’s been about six years now since our Japanese investments. I was just going through a little handbook that probably had two or three thousand Japanese companies in it. One problem I have is that I can’t read that handbook anymore – the print’s too small. But there were these five trading companies selling at ridiculously low prices. So I spent about a year acquiring them. And then we got to know the people better, and everything that Greg and I saw, we liked better as we went along. … “I never dreamt of that when I picked up that handbook. It’s amazing what you can find when you just turn the page. We showed a movie last year about “turn every page,” and I would say that turning every page is one important ingredient to bring to the investment field. Very few people do turn every page, and the ones who turn every page aren’t going to tell you what they’re finding. So you’ve got to do a little of it yourself.
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CMac
CMac@InvestmentTalkk·
E-commerce retail sales as a % of total sales (16.4%) has now reached the pandemic high (16.4%) set in Q2 of 2022.
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Scuttlebutt Investor
Scuttlebutt Investor@Scuttlebutt_Inv·
The evolution of China from communists to capitalists in communists' clothing has been one of the greatest stories of wealth creation that the world has seen. This has been a boon for luxury goods companies. The pendulum may be swinging the other way but I am doubtful that this is truly a secular change. Demonstrating status to other humans is as old as time and isn’t going out of fashion anytime soon, especially in China.
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Scuttlebutt Investor
Scuttlebutt Investor@Scuttlebutt_Inv·
@TSOH_Investing Half the proceeds (after tax) go to GLIDE - an organization that Buffett supported for years and one that I have personally volunteered at so doubly supportive. a.co/d/93mCWv3
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Scuttlebutt Investor
Scuttlebutt Investor@Scuttlebutt_Inv·
Also if you haven’t picked up ‘Buffett and Munger Unscripted’ yet- do it now. Exactly what I’ve been looking for- I’ve spent countless hours trying to parse out the nuggets from years of Berkshire meetings. This does the work for me. Really enjoying it. Thanks @TSOH_Investing
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Patrick OShaughnessy
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag·
Now that this is finally in the open, I can ask: who do you want cover stories on? The covers will be both detailed written profiles and very long form audio interviews. Dream big. We will go get them.
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag

We made something new… Introducing: Colossus Review Colossus Review is a print (and digital) publication that creates definitive accounts of investors, founders, companies, and the people and ideas that inspire them. The cover story in Issue 1 is on @GrahamDuncanNYC, but we also include a separate 4.5 hour conversation with Graham that is among the best I’ve ever done (via a private audio feed). In each issue, we will cover great people who have unique ideas and are doing something about them. Maniacs on a mission. People doggedly pursuing their life’s work. We aim to create the definitive profiles of people who haven’t yet been covered in depth, and to create unique accounts of those you already know well. We will cover businesses. We will profile investing firms. We will explore frontiers, answering questions like “Is Space Investable?” Most podcasts take hours to create. Features in Colossus Review will take months to years. Our plan is to release new issues quarterly. I hope, eventually, it’s monthly. I’m so proud of the team’s work on issue one, and issue two is going to be even better. Our goal is to experiment with new features and formats, constantly improving what we cover and how we do it. So, why do this at all? Howard Thurman said, “Don’t ask what the world needs. Ask what makes you come alive, and go do it. Because what the world needs is people who have come alive.” That’s who we are searching for. This work makes US come alive. We hope our work lights a fire in your belly to find and do your thing, and to never settle for a mundane life. We only printed 1,000 copies this time, and expect them to sell extremely quickly, so I’d urge you to grab one if you want one. We will make more next time. Colossus Review will be our most essential distillation. Thank you for joining us on the ride! joincolossus.com/review

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Scuttlebutt Investor
Scuttlebutt Investor@Scuttlebutt_Inv·
Ferrari ($RACE) is to cars what Hermes is to handbags.
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