Betsbehavingya

353 posts

Betsbehavingya

Betsbehavingya

@betsbehavingya

Accounting my never ending journey of almost winning

Tham gia Mayıs 2022
96 Đang theo dõi10 Người theo dõi
Yip Strickler
Yip Strickler@YipStrickler·
Davis McDulin and Blake Poe claimed the top spot at the first @BarstoolClassic qualifier of 2026. Blake was a 7.2 handicap index and fired an even Par 71 (NET 62) from the Black Tees at The Park. According to the United Sandbagger Guardian Agency’s (USGA) score probability table, the odds of Blake shooting a 71 were 1 out of 1,580.6. #TheYipRule #golf #journalism
Yip Strickler tweet media
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Betsbehavingya
Betsbehavingya@betsbehavingya·
@ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic By “lol” I can only presume you mean “you whimpering in your parents’ basement”. You shouldn’t be surprised considering your track record of being right to hear you’re also wrong on your assertion it’s a lie. What an absolute double win this thread has been.
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Zachary Mineur, CFA CFP®
Zachary Mineur, CFA CFP®@greenbackzach·
This isnt about "the winner" shooting that score. It is about this one particular guy shooting that score based on his handicap. There could be a million players in the field or he could have been out there by himself. The odds of him shooting that score do not change. They are exactly 1,580.6 to 1.
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Betsbehavingya
Betsbehavingya@betsbehavingya·
@notthatgeorgez1 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Your one saving grace is that there’s plenty of others who made the mistake. You just seem more of a clown for giving it more thought than them and still not understanding selection bias and why you’re wrong.
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Betsbehavingya
Betsbehavingya@betsbehavingya·
@PrinceOfFlint I was super sceptical about the under armour clones but they are the best shoes I’ve worn. Comfort and stability. Contemplating buying about 5 pairs and just not worrying in the future about having to buy more when previous one wears out
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Fresh Prince of Flint
Fresh Prince of Flint@PrinceOfFlint·
Got a big golf trip coming up. Walking 7 rounds and I need a good recommendation on shoes. I’ve really only ever worn FJ premiere series. What else should I look into?
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Betsbehavingya
Betsbehavingya@betsbehavingya·
@cuse78 @greenbackzach @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic But the more astonishing thing which feels more cultural, is how incredibly resolute, smug and self congratulatory they are while simultaneously being wrong. It’s like they want to convince us they’ve followed Blake Poe and his scores for years….
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Betsbehavingya
Betsbehavingya@betsbehavingya·
@cuse78 @greenbackzach @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic You’re only the second person to get this. It’s literally like a ratio of 95% of responses not realising the reason Blake Poe’s score is under scrutiny is BECAUSE HE WAS THE OUTLIER of the day in a large field. Despite it being the first line of stricklers tweet…
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Betsbehavingya
Betsbehavingya@betsbehavingya·
@evisnegative @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic That’s the exact point I was raising. If people choose option 2 on every net golf tournament they’ll witch hunt every winner. The first line of stricklers tweet identified him as tournament winner, and then the deepdive into his score. It’s disingenuous.
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-ev
-ev@evisnegative·
Yeah I just mean I think 95% of people would likely agree with Ryan and not understand that it is a vastly different question to evaluate the probability of a specific golfer being a sandbagger if you: 1) Select them in advance, then they go into a tournament and shoot a NET 62 2) Wait until the tournament plays out then select the player who shot NET 62.
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-ev
-ev@evisnegative·
It's like you can't read. No one is saying his odds of doing it are 10%. What they are saying is that if you take 150 Non-Sandbagging golfers the odds of 1 of them shooting Net 62 is ~10%. | So just because someone shoots Net 62 in a field of 150, does not mean they are a sandbagger
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Betsbehavingya
Betsbehavingya@betsbehavingya·
@RetroGolfGame @OGChoe @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic To take context out of it is selection bias. Sticklers first line introduces them as first place in the qualifier. There’s your selection bias. I’m astonished by the pushback on this. It may be he’s a sandbagger, but this isn’t conclusive evidence of it.
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