Betsbehavingya
353 posts

Betsbehavingya
@betsbehavingya
Accounting my never ending journey of almost winning
Tham gia Mayıs 2022
96 Đang theo dõi10 Người theo dõi

@betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic I figured you’d be busy lying about owning multiple mortgage free homes from betting lol.
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Davis McDulin and Blake Poe claimed the top spot at the first @BarstoolClassic qualifier of 2026. Blake was a 7.2 handicap index and fired an even Par 71 (NET 62) from the Black Tees at The Park. According to the United Sandbagger Guardian Agency’s (USGA) score probability table, the odds of Blake shooting a 71 were 1 out of 1,580.6. #TheYipRule #golf #journalism

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@ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic By “lol” I can only presume you mean “you whimpering in your parents’ basement”. You shouldn’t be surprised considering your track record of being right to hear you’re also wrong on your assertion it’s a lie. What an absolute double win this thread has been.
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@greenbackzach @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic So before you were absolute certainty. Just checking in to see where we are now? Remember, an investment in knowledge pays the best interest.
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This isnt about "the winner" shooting that score. It is about this one particular guy shooting that score based on his handicap. There could be a million players in the field or he could have been out there by himself. The odds of him shooting that score do not change. They are exactly 1,580.6 to 1.
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@notthatgeorgez1 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Your one saving grace is that there’s plenty of others who made the mistake. You just seem more of a clown for giving it more thought than them and still not understanding selection bias and why you’re wrong.
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@betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Bro… You are still very wrong . It is impressive that you are willing to die on this hill when the math is so simple and so wrong.
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@ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Quick question. Is it tricky putting your shoes on the correct feet being such an idiot, or do you get your mum to still help you out with it? Best of luck for the future 😘
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@betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Do you think it hurts your betting success rate being an idiot?
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@ryanb1188 @evisnegative @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Just thought I’d check in to see if Ryan is still not getting it. Ah yes, he still doesn’t.
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@notthatgeorgez1 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Best of luck with your remaining lifetime working McDonald’s. 😘
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@PrinceOfFlint I was super sceptical about the under armour clones but they are the best shoes I’ve worn. Comfort and stability. Contemplating buying about 5 pairs and just not worrying in the future about having to buy more when previous one wears out
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@betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Wow… I think he is being serious and he really thought he was nice with the “feel free to use chatgpt to do 1500/150” 🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
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@cuse78 @greenbackzach @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic But the more astonishing thing which feels more cultural, is how incredibly resolute, smug and self congratulatory they are while simultaneously being wrong. It’s like they want to convince us they’ve followed Blake Poe and his scores for years….
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@greenbackzach @betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic You’re not getting it. In isolation yes- but when you have a large enough sampling size that you are monitoring, obviously you’ll eventually find it happening by chance.
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@cuse78 @greenbackzach @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic You’re only the second person to get this. It’s literally like a ratio of 95% of responses not realising the reason Blake Poe’s score is under scrutiny is BECAUSE HE WAS THE OUTLIER of the day in a large field. Despite it being the first line of stricklers tweet…
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@evisnegative @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic That’s the exact point I was raising. If people choose option 2 on every net golf tournament they’ll witch hunt every winner. The first line of stricklers tweet identified him as tournament winner, and then the deepdive into his score. It’s disingenuous.
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Yeah I just mean I think 95% of people would likely agree with Ryan and not understand that it is a vastly different question to evaluate the probability of a specific golfer being a sandbagger if you:
1) Select them in advance, then they go into a tournament and shoot a NET 62
2) Wait until the tournament plays out then select the player who shot NET 62.
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@evisnegative @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic I’m not sure I agree with this last statement but I’m all out of arguing - and I will admit you were more concise in explanation so hopefully it got through 😂
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@betsbehavingya @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic To be fair to them it is a difficult concept to understand if you haven't taken like a collegiate level statistics class.
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@greenbackzach @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Cool! Out of interest what odds do you have it at then that the winner of the barstool shot a net 62? (Approximate would be fine).
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@betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic My man.. my brother.. I can assure you with absolute certainty this is not correct.
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@evisnegative @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Thanks for taking on the good fight but I think you may find some of these guys unwilling to accept the conclusion! I’m now just assuming it’s all ragebait and calling it a day ha!
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@ryanb1188 @betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Hope this helps, I dont know how you can lay it out any more clearly
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@ryanb1188 @evisnegative @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic This has to be ragebait at this point. My 4 year old nephew wouldn’t be struggling this badly.
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@evisnegative @betsbehavingya @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic Jesus H. His odds of doing it are not 10 percent
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@RetroGolfGame @OGChoe @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic To take context out of it is selection bias. Sticklers first line introduces them as first place in the qualifier. There’s your selection bias. I’m astonished by the pushback on this. It may be he’s a sandbagger, but this isn’t conclusive evidence of it.
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@OGChoe @betsbehavingya @ryanb1188 @YipStrickler @BarstoolClassic exactly. the 1:1500 is that specific player's likelihood from the tips — completely separate math from asking what the odds are that someone in the whole field posts a hot net round
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