@Political_Room legacy power, si eeuu entra por tierra perdera todo poder en medio oriente y asia
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Valentinus Capital
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Valentinus Capital
@valentinusCap
Únete al club del futuro (las historias del presente ya tienen los precios descontados)
Chile Tham gia Ağustos 2023
579 Đang theo dõi2K Người theo dõi
🇺🇸🪖🔍 ¿Cómo se proyecta el poder de EE.UU. en Oriente Medio?
Esta infografía de The Political Room muestra la densa red de bases militares en la región: desde el Mediterráneo hasta el Golfo Pérsico, pasando por puntos críticos como el estrecho de Bab el-Mandeb en Yibuti.
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🚨 MARCO RUBIO UFO BOMBSHELL:
"We shot down FOUR things over the United States... and THREE of them we have NO IDEA what they are”👽🛸
"For the first time in 65 years, the United States shot something down over our airspace not once but four times. Three of those four things we have no idea what they are."
"We've been seeing objects flying over restricted airspace... immediately it was about UFOs and flying saucers and aliens."
"These are important questions... the American people deserve to know."
Is this real UFO/alien disclosure... or advanced foreign tech sneaking into our skies? 🔥
Watch the full clip and drop your take below 👇
Aliens? Adversaries? Or finally telling us the truth!
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la guardia revolucionaria tiene 1 millon de tropas (similar a EEUU), apoyo logistico ruso y chino, tech china, dinero, construyen cientos de drones diariamente, 200.000 tropas son de elite, miles de montañas, subterraneos con hormigon de metros (tech china) misiles mach 14 (f22 m2)
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@FelipeGonzalez_ si trump entra por tierra (pisa el palito) 0 posibilidad q termine pronto la guerra.
so, combustible al inframundo, inflación. y nuestra ingenieria presi BC Rossana Costa LE ENCANTA SER HAWKISH
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una vez que las tropas americanas toquen tierra la guerra no se podrá detener por mucho tiempo
Hawkish 2026
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Tremendo esto. Parece que el paso por Ormuz se va normalizando con el sistema de tasas iraní, por la vía de hechos consumados.
Esto deja en fuera de juego a USA, que ahora ve limitada su capacidad de operar en la zona por riesgo a cerrarlo esta vez con minas.
Milk Road Macro@MilkRoadMacro
AROUND 15-18 SHIPS PASSED HORMUZ IN THE LAST 24 HOURS This is largest amount of traffic we've seen through the Strait of Hormuz since March 1st. Here are the previous numbers for context: Before the war, the Strait handled 130+ ships per day. Right now, we’re at roughly 10% of normal flow. But here’s the shift: Throughout most of March, traffic averaged just 2 ships/day. But now we’re consistently seeing double digits. So yes, it’s still low but it’s a meaningful improvement. That said, this won’t ease pressure on oil just yet. For that, the Strait needs to fully reopen at scale. We track the Strait of Hormuz traffic daily. Follow along if you want to stay ahead of this trend.
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The U.S. just deployed a weapon that was supposed to stay classified for another decade
🚨🚨🚨 THE US JUST DEPLOYED "SOFT KILL" ELECTRONIC WARFARE IN IRAN → NO BULLETS, NO BOMBS, TOTAL DESTRUCTION 🚨🚨🚨
America just revealed a capability most people didn't know existed. Electronic warfare systems mounted on Black Hawks that can shut down an ENTIRE battlefield without firing a single round.
Process that.
WHAT "SOFT KILL" DOES:
→ Shuts down ALL enemy communications instantly
→ Disables drones MID-AIR — they fall from the sky like dead birds
→ Directed energy BLINDS every sensor, radar, and targeting system in range
→ Collapses entire command networks in SECONDS
→ No gunfire. No explosions. Just silence.
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@tomcasanegra O: el tiene experiencia de guerras anteriores y sabe que una vez que cruzas la linea pueden durar años (no 2 meses como piensa el mercado) y por lo tanto con CVR Y OXY (petroleras) mas infinita caja esta mejor preparado que todos para un escenario permanente (eeuu apoyo israel)
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La tasa de descuento, o costo de oportunidad de lo que puede hacer con el dinero, del mejor inversionista del mundo es por definición la más elevada. Por lo tanto, va a comprar más barato que el resto.
TheSonOfWalkley@TheSonOfWalkley
BREAKING: WARREN BUFFETT SAYS — CURRENT SELL-OFF IS “NOTHING” 👀 $SPY He’s waiting for bigger dip !
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@bryan_johnson Without meat your brain has to optimize by reducing its size and energy expenditure
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Guys, I’m an idiot. All this time I’ve spent trying not to die, I had toxic turf in my backyard. Artificial turf contains crumb rubber infill made from recycled tires, which leaches chemicals including PFAS, heavy metals, and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. These compounds are linked to hormone disruption, carcinogenicity, and systemic inflammation.
I don’t know how I missed it. It makes me question my basic competence in life.
What gets me is that I try so hard to survey the world of potential idiocy. Then I find out there’s a monument to idiocy sitting right in front of my face that I was blind to.
I’m removing the turf, yet I’m still stuck with this seemingly unsolvable problem of how to not be an idiot.
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@shanaka86 The navy now only serves as secondary support, with the drones and mines it is already arcane technology that does not serve for direct intervention
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JUST IN: The most powerful warship ever built is heading back to a war that power cannot end.
USS Gerald R. Ford, $13.3 billion, 100,000 tons, 75 aircraft, electromagnetic catapults launching sorties every 45 seconds, Dual Band Radar tracking from surface to space, nuclear reactors that do not refuel for 25 years, has completed repairs after its Mediterranean port calls and is returning to the Central Command theatre. Admiral Caudle confirmed April 2: “Back on station again here soon.” The deployment will reach 11 months, the longest carrier deployment in modern American history. The USS George H.W. Bush is following as relief. But the Ford is going first because the war will not wait.
Here is what it is sailing into.
An Army Chief of Staff fired two days ago without explanation, replaced by the Defence Secretary’s former aide, clearing the chain of command for whatever comes next. An IRGC that has published a target list of eight bridges across four allied nations, including all three links connecting Abu Dhabi to the mainland. A Supreme Leader who has not appeared on video or audio in 25 days, whose regime governs through cardboard cutouts and written statements read by television anchors. A president who told the world’s allies to “build up some delayed courage” and reopen the strait themselves. A $20 billion petrochemical plant sitting cold in the Saudi desert because the molecule that feeds it cannot pass through a 34-kilometre passage. Three supertankers that just slipped out through Omani territorial waters, proving the IRGC’s toll booth has a door that was never locked. A Fujairah pipeline already hit by Iranian drones, running at surge capacity through damaged terminals. Two hundred cryogenic helium containers drifting toward thermodynamic irreversibility while the chips they cool run the targeting systems on the F-35Cs parked on the Ford’s flight deck.
Those F-35Cs each contain more than 900 pounds of rare earth magnets manufactured in China. China banned military-affiliated rare earth exports in December 2025. The carrier is sailing toward a war zone carrying aircraft it cannot replace, built with components from the country it is asking to broker the peace. The Ford’s air wing is the sharpest sword in the American arsenal. The sword is made of Chinese metal. And the Chinese are in a conference room in Beijing with a Pakistani diplomat deciding whether to open the strait the sword was sent to protect.
Three hundred days at sea. Thousands of sorties launched since June 2025. Air superiority enforced from the Red Sea to the Gulf. Everything a carrier battle group is designed to do, done. And the strait is still closed. The helium is still boiling. The fertiliser is still not shipping. The bridges are still on the list. And Iran, degraded by 90 percent, navy destroyed, air force grounded, missile city burning, is still collecting tolls in yuan from every vessel that wants to pass.
The Ford can fly 160 sorties in a day. It cannot open the strait. It cannot restart the helium plant. It cannot make the rice grow. It cannot force a deal in Beijing. The most lethal platform in naval history is heading toward a problem that lethality cannot solve.
The molecule does not salute. The strait does not care how many sorties the catapult can launch.
open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86
BREAKING: The world’s largest aircraft carrier just pulled into a Croatian port for repairs. It was not hit by an Iranian missile. It was taken out of the war by a laundry room fire. USS Gerald R. Ford, America’s newest carrier, arrived in Split, Croatia on March 28 after 277 days at sea per USNI News and Military Times. A fire broke out in the aft laundry room on March 12 while Ford was conducting combat operations in the Red Sea. Three sailors were injured. Nearly 200 were treated for smoke inhalation. One hundred sleeping berths were damaged. The fire took hours to bring under control. The carrier that costs $13.3 billion to build was pulled from a war zone because the crew’s laundry caught fire. On the same day the Ford docked in Croatia, CENTCOM announced that USS Tripoli arrived in the Middle East with 3,500 Marines and F-35B fighters per CBS News. USS Boxer with 2,200 more Marines departed San Diego mid-March on an accelerated schedule and will arrive mid-April. USS George H.W. Bush is heading out from Norfolk to replace the Ford. The Pentagon is considering up to 10,000 additional ground troops per the Wall Street Journal. In 28 days of war, America has struck more than 11,000 targets per CENTCOM. Destroyed over 150 Iranian vessels. Flown more than 11,000 combat sorties. Fired 943 Patriot interceptors in four days. Raided Swiss F-35 accounts to cover the gap. Lost an AWACS to a ballistic missile on the ground at Prince Sultan Air Base. Lost multiple KC-135 tankers on the same flight line. Thirteen service members killed. More than 200 wounded per Task and Purpose. And on March 26, Lieutenant General Leonard F. Anderson IV sent a letter to 35,000 Marine reservists asking: “Is your desert MARPAT readily available, is your gear packed and ready to pick up and move?” He told them: “This is not a theoretical exercise. Our forces are currently engaged in operations connected to Iran. A mass mobilization could become reality. Prepare your family.” The carrier is in Croatia. The AWACS is on the ground. The tankers are damaged. The Patriot stocks are depleted. The reservists are being told to check their desert uniforms. And Secretary of State Rubio says the US can meet its objectives “without any ground troops” while adding that the president needs “maximum optionality.” Here is what the consumption arithmetic reveals. The Ford deployed in June 2025. Nine months at sea. It operated in the Arctic, the Mediterranean, the Caribbean for the Venezuela raid, and the Red Sea for Iran. If it stays deployed through mid-April, it breaks the post-Vietnam record for carrier deployments per USNI News. America’s most advanced warship is being used until it breaks, replaced by the next in line, which will also be used until it breaks. The AWACS cannot be replaced. The Boeing 707 has not been manufactured since 1992. The KC-135 tankers are being repaired but every hour of repair is an hour without aerial refueling for the fighters hitting the 11,000 targets. The Patriot missiles are being consumed faster than they can be produced. The Swiss accounts are being raided because the American accounts are empty. This war is not being lost. It is being won at a rate that consumes the instruments of victory faster than they can be regenerated. The machine is eating itself. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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🇫🇷⛴️🇮🇷| Un buque portacontenedores de propiedad francesa, el CMA CGM Kribi, ha salido con éxito del estrecho de Ormuz, convirtiéndose en el primer tránsito conocido vinculado a Occidente desde el inicio de la guerra con Irán.
El buque zarpó desde Dubái, navegó próximo a la costa iraní y mantuvo en todo momento la señalización de su propiedad francesa - @Bloomberg
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🚨🇴🇲🇸🇦🇦🇪🇮🇷 Someone just found a way around Iran's toll booth...
Three tankers loaded with Saudi and Emirati crude and LNG exited the Persian Gulf today through an unconventional route hugging Oman's Musandam coastline, completely bypassing Iran's checkpoint between Larak and Qeshm islands.
Satellite imagery confirmed it.
No spoofing. Real ships, real cargo, real breakthrough.
These are the first fully insured, sanctions-compliant supertankers to leave the Gulf since the war started on February 28th.
Four million barrels of crude on two ships alone.
The route tells the whole story.
Oman, which has quietly maintained relationships with both Iran and the West throughout this war, appears to have brokered a safe passage corridor through its own territorial waters.
Iran either agreed to let it happen or couldn't stop it.
If this corridor holds, it changes the entire economic calculus of the war.
Gulf states can start moving oil again without paying Iran's toll or waiting for a UN resolution that Russia and China just blocked.
The chokehold that gave Tehran its strongest leverage starts loosening without a single shot being fired.
Three ships is a trickle. Normal traffic is 75-85 tankers a day.
But every flood starts with a trickle, and energy markets are watching these three vessels like the world depends on it.
Source: @TankerTrackers, ESA Satellite Imagery
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🇺🇳🇮🇷 The Gulf's plan to force Hormuz open just hit a wall at the UN Russia, China, and France blocked Bahrain's Security Council resolution authorizing military force to reopen the Strait. Three veto-wielding powers said no to any language permitting the use of force. A vote is scheduled for Friday but the math hasn't changed. Macron called Trump's "just go take it" approach "unrealistic," warning it would expose any force to Iranian coastal weapons and ballistic missiles. The most devastating line came from the International Crisis Group: "It treats a political crisis as if it can be solved at gunpoint." The Strait was open before the bombs fell. It closed because of the war. Ending the war reopens it. Everything else is theater. The deeper damage is in the relationships. Qatar and Oman, who mediated between the U.S. and Iran for years, now say ties with Tehran are "probably irreparably damaged." They've handed the mediator role to Pakistan, Turkey, and Egypt entirely. Saudi Arabia, which restored diplomatic relations with Iran just three years ago through a China-brokered deal, is now leading the charge against it at the UN. Source: New York Times
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no lo digio yo, lo dice LEONOR IA
🚨 ALERTA NOCTURNA — Lo que pasó hoy en un mismo día
1. 🔴 Bondi despedida (AG)
NYT/NBC/Fox confirmado. Reemplazo: Todd Blanche (abogado personal de Trump en juicios penales). Razón oficial: Epstein files.
2. 🔴 General Randy George despedido (Army Chief)
Reuters/WaPo/Pentagon confirmado. Tenía 1 año más. Hegseth lo sacó junto a 2 generales más. Es el 13° general despedido desde 2025. Reemplazo: Gen. LaNeve — ex-aide de Hegseth, saltó de 2 a 4 estrellas en 2 años.
3. 🔴 Puente B1 destruido — infra civil Teherán-Karaj. Trump posteó video.
4. 🔴 Kharazi herido — negociador back-channel Irán-EEUU eliminado.
5. 🔴 Petrolero qatarí atacado en Hormuz por Irán.
6. 🔴 Irán rechazó ceasefire de 15 puntos.
📊 Probabilidades actualizadas:
Paz rápida: 5% (era 20% mañana)
Guerra 3-6m: 30%
Guerra 6-12m: 30%
Invasión: 20% (era 5% mañana)
EV(WTI): $134 (era $115 mañana)
Paralelo Nixon: despedir al jefe legal + jefe militar en el mismo día durante guerra activa. "No despides al AG — despides al AG e instalas a alguien que hará lo que viene."
NYSE cerrado viernes. 3 días sin mercado. Lunes va a ser violento.
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Ethereum Researcher @drakefjustin, who co-authored Google's recent quantum paper:
"I've stopped thinking about post-quantum as a hurdle that we have to overcome, and I think of it more as an opportunity. It's an opportunity for Ethereum to stand out as the very first global financial system that is post-quantum secure — not just relative to its competitors, but also relative to fiat."
Etherealize@Etherealize_io
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Looks like the war is basically over.
Peter Berezin@PeterBerezinBCA
The chart below is from BCA's Iran Conflict Dashboard (freely available to the public!). It shows that the number of Iranian strikes on its neighbors remains well below early-March levels. Is Iran holding back or has it simply run out missiles/launchers? bcaresearch.com/collection/bca…
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