Knight

@ludisyn1 It will be interesting!

I’ve been deep in prediction markets for the past months. I didn’t come from crypto, I didn’t come from Twitter neither. The outsider lense makes me see how much noise there is in this field. It’s all about buzz words : vibe-coded tools, recycled takes, fake sophistication, engagement farming all dressed up as insights. But people fcking consume it. I’m there to document my journey into building products in the prediction market space, cutting the bullshit and trying to bring a few of the real insights I get by confronting myself to reality. Looking forward to start :)

@parlettodotbet 🤝🫡

@KnightShift thanks Knight! we are bringing new opportunities for everyone whether it is a trader a bookie

It’s great to see more and more people getting interested in what we’re building. We really appreciate the support, especially at this early stage.

@Atlantislq Full-scale push south of Litani in just 11 days is a stretch and ceasefire talks are heating up

I don’t trust any of them. How do I get out quickly?

@zscdao This is incredibly cool news!

The real March Madness on Polymarket has just began From March 19, every CBB game has $100,000 in liquidity rewards $6M in total will be distributed to LP'ers during this event Are you bullish enough on Liquidity Providing?

@xatacrypt 🤝🫡

@KnightShift well said bro

No strategy → No money on prediction markets This is a simple rule that works for 99% of users I'm sure if you can combine different strategies - you will definitely get an advantage Relying on luck alone is a path to nowhere There are too many smart traders on the market right now > Let me give you an example of one unsuccessful trader - me I only used a "niche trading" strategy, believing that I understood something about politics It severely limited me and deprived me of flexibility in the market Sad that I only realized this recently @jasperbellx described 8 basic trading strategies And now I'm already selecting several of them that I will use in trading Good luck to me

@predicttime_ @iatskar @gondorfi Great job! You've done great

Pilot episode of the Predict Time podcast with @iatskar, founder of @gondorfi. Enjoy watching!

@ludisyn1 @polyfactual @Polymarket I totally agree with you!

@KnightShift @polyfactual @Polymarket hmhm hope so ! Anyway if we take a step back the real problem is all about getting the attention of the viewer. It's the same problem with journalism but we didn't see real progress there except the independant medias

Most people think Polymarket runs on LMSR - where liquidity is always supplied by math! In reality, the platform has fully switched to CLOB (Central Limit Order Book) This isn't just a tech upgrade - it's a full shift from algorithm to participant-driven market. What changed: ＞Before: liquidity came from a formula → you could always trade, but as volume grew, costs and slippage shot up ＞Now: liquidity comes from traders and pro market makers → prices are set by real order flow in the book, just like on a regular exchange Key advantages: ＞Capital is way more efficient - you no longer have to lock it across the entire 0-100% range ＞Algo market makers keep tight spreads 24/7 ＞Polymarket is hybrid: off-chain matching (speed) and on-chain settlement on Polygon ＞Liquidity Rewards and Maker Rebates replaced the old hidden LMSR subsidy ＞Risk is now distributed among participants Polymarket evolved from a convenient math model into a real prediction exchange with actual strategies: arbitrage, liquidity providing, and order book dynamics Great breakdown by @polyfactual - must read

@antpalkin @polyfactual @Polymarket 🤝

@KnightShift @polyfactual @Polymarket very wise words bro

@ludisyn1 @polyfactual @Polymarket I think such tools will appear soon! At a minimum, grok will be able to assess whether a post is fake or not and whether it contains misinformation!

@KnightShift @polyfactual @Polymarket In general I feel like X is all about shiny posts and people don't care about real informations. There must have a way to filter noise vs real infos

@antpalkin Cool, thanks for sharing!

While all this quants in the timeline are printing millions with AI, you’re still lost in simulation models and deep research agents. Don’t worry - I found solution for you. 18k stars on GitHub. Your own financial analyst right in your pocket. An autonomous financial research agent that thinks, plans, and learns as it works - Dexter. > 2-command install, 30 seconds to set up > full Claude skill set + agentic search APIs > real-time market data straight from financial datasets MCP Server > text it on WhatsApp for research if u want (financial Jarvis living in your phone) Just paste GitHub link into ChatGPT/Claude/Grok or any other LLM and it will walk you through the two-click install. Everything else is handled by Dexter. It performs analysis using task planning, self-reflection, and real-time market data. Code is 100% open source and available on GitHub: github.com/virattt/dexter Save this post so you don't lose the links.

@nofadsec @polyfactual @Polymarket you're welcome

@KnightShift @polyfactual @Polymarket Looks cool, really interesting to watch this kind of movement. Thanks for sharing 👀

@antpalkin @polyfactual @Polymarket Live forever, learn forever!

@KnightShift @polyfactual @Polymarket every day is a new revelation for me there's so much alpha around

@PW_trades @polyfactual @Polymarket Yes, that's for sure!

@KnightShift @polyfactual @Polymarket I think this is definetly an improvement for what it was before

@ludisyn1 @polyfactual @Polymarket There's just a formula that looks beautiful! and few people care whether this information is correct or not, unfortunately!

@KnightShift @polyfactual @Polymarket Thank you bro, I was becoming crazy seeing all the posts about LMSR on Polymarket. I don’t understand how some people can be so confident giving wrong infos

@KyleDeWriter Lmao

@KnightShift if aliens are not the pink dogs im out of this shi

U.S. Government secretly registers the aliens​.gov domain name. Peak odds for both UFO files disclosure and Aliens existence confirmation are gone. 11 days left for something to happen. Are we so back?

@zscdao @polyfactual @Polymarket I don't think everyone knows that!😅

@KnightShift @polyfactual @Polymarket Do authors of articles about LMSR know it?

@Polymarket Beijing's statement that "peaceful reunification" will save Taiwan from energy collapse is not just a diplomatic gesture. This is a classic attempt to use the "energy choke" as a political lever at a time when global supply chains are bursting at the seams due to the war in Iran.

BREAKING: China says a "peaceful reunification" with Taiwan would solve Taiwan's energy crisis.