NegativeGhostRider

@saylor Very cool. But why is the bear wearing shades and a pimp chain? 🤔

Just another day at the office $BTC

@badcharts1 If that happens, we'll transition into a post-oil economy where we vigorously follow alternatives (which is probably for the best). 🍿

ATTTENTION CRUDE OIL BULLS You HAVE NOT seen anything yet! Buckle up. Gonna be a WILD decade. $300, $400 and even $500 targets on the table.

@follis_ Or this bear market was manufactured to force weak retail hands who believe in cycles to capitulate and its over now. You'll make a lot if money if you get it right and you'll get left by the side of the road if you get it wrong. It's getting interesting. 🍿

Biggest bull trap I've ever seen But they won't trap me $BTC

@CyclesFan Lower highs, lower lows. Gold is in a downtrend following a parabolic blow-off top. Years of pent-up bullish energy spent in a few months. It's going to need quite some time to recharge before we can expect a further rally to new highs.

$Gold - I was expecting the bounce out of the March low to continue towards the 0.618 retracement at 5027. Instead, this week was a down week and price is getting close to another sell signal. A close below 4644 will lead to another decline to 4100.

Bitcoin is stuck trying to break through the overhead resistance of the 21 week exponential moving average (for some reasonthat'simportant). We need to break through in the next week to get a continuation of the rally. 🍿

@TedPillows 🤦‍♂️

$BTC will make a lower low while RSI will make a higher low. Just like 2022.

@dailydirtnap You were right. The price of MSTR did indeed blow up. 📈

I just want to go on the record to say that I think MSTR is going to blow up, perhaps soon.

@dotkrueger All aboard!

The price is 77K. Next stop 90K. India Bitcoin, last chance to get back onboard.

This is why the 4 year cycle will fail. Every single man and his dog is aware of it and looking at it to predict forward. When macro wise, which is the real cycle, looks nothing the same. It will go down as the biggest psyop ever from institutions that have massively loaded their bags whilst scaring retail into capitulating and expecting an October bottom. I’ve shared endless charts that show this and now we are starting to see people question it as price moves higher. Eventually, once we reach the point where price has moved high enough that people realise this, we will pump aggressively as they all chase. Which is why an expanded flat is the most aggressive reversal pattern because it convinces everyone to sell the bottom when it’s only a deviation. Soon.

@camelfinance Soooo, you'd risk being on the sidelines as bitcoin (which by some indicators was the most oversold it's ever been @ $60k) rips higher because it's too early according to cycle theory? Chances are summer will see bitcoin price languish as usual. But I don't see fresh lows.

Everyone is Wrong about Bitcoin Big picture for bitcoin Most can't see what's coming TA & Live Trades youtube.com/watch?v=GbgxGD… $SPX $QQQ $DJIA $XAUUSD $DXY $BTC $ETH $XRP $USO

@KillaXBT 🤷‍♂️

$BTC has traded below Realized Price in EVERY major bear cycle. 2011, 2015, 2018, 2022 That means every major drawdown so far has eventually revisited Realized Price. Realized Price is 56K.

@BitPaine 🚀

B-b-b-b-but it’s a midterm year

@Washigorira Seems like this was a manufactured bear market starting with the October 10th event and final capitulation on February 5th. Large financial interests knew retail was looking to sell in October, so they engineered a bear market to encourage them to sell their coins. #4yearcycle

#Bitcoin Historically, BTC reversals tend to follow a sequence: 1️⃣ Weekly RSI reaching extreme levels (exhaustion) 2️⃣ Market structure break (confirmation) The first condition has already been met. The second one is still pending ⏳ In previous cycles, it took 16–32 weeks after RSI exhaustion for structure to break and confirm the reversal. We’re currently at 11 weeks. If structure breaks from here, this would mark the fastest bear market in BTC history.

@BigpictureBTC @bccponzi Very interesting. I'm sure there is a ceiling. But the world demand for yield (the global bond market) is $300 trillion so I think it will be a while until Strategy hits that ceiling.

@bccponzi History offers a great comparison-

Strategy (MSTR) Preferred Dividend Burn Math. The Bottom Line: At its current growth rate, Strategy will exhaust its $2.25B preferred dividend reserve in 9 to 10 months. If ATM issuance continues compounding at this pace, dividend obligations will hit nearly $700 Billion in 2.5 years. Even if the $MSTR share price skyrockets back to its previous all-time high of $543, the company would still have to dilute common shareholders by nearly 400% just to pay the preferred yields. Here is the exact math using official SEC filings and live corporate dashboards. 1/ The Starting Line Feb 5, 2026: Q4 Earnings 8-K announced a $2.25B USD Reserve (effective Feb 1) to fund "2.5 years" of preferred dividends. Today is April 13, 71 days later. 2/ STRC Variable Burn STRC obligations grow dynamically via ATM issuance. •Feb 1: $3.4B Notional at 11.25% yield = $1,047,945/day. •April 13: $6.357B Notional at 11.50% yield = $2,003,142/day. •71-Day Average Cost: $1,525,543/day. Total STRC burned: $108.31M. 3/ Fixed Preferred Burn Based on Form 424B5 and Q4 filings: •STRE: ~$716.8M USD notional at 10% = $196,383/day. •STRD: $292.4M notional at 10% = $80,109/day. •STRF: $202.6M notional at 10% = $55,506/day. •STRK: $50.0M notional at 8% = $10,958/day. Total Fixed Burn ($342,956/day * 71 days): $24.35M. 4/ Remaining Cash Reserve Starting Reserve: $2,250,000,000 Less STRC Burn: -$108,310,000 Less Fixed Burn: -$24,350,000 Current Reserve: $2,117,340,000 ($2.117B). 5/ Exponential Depletion STRC grew from $3.4B to $6.357B in 71 days (86.9% absolute growth). Compound Monthly Growth Rate (CMGR): (6.357 / 3.4) ^ (30 / 71) - 1 = 30.06% monthly compounding. If 30.06% growth continues, starting with today's $71.36M monthly burn and $2.117B reserve: •Month 1: $71.3M burn ($2.04B left) •Month 4: $144.5M burn ($1.69B left) •Month 7: $305.7M burn ($933M left) •Month 9-10: Reserve exhausted. 6/ Cost to Regain 2.5-Year Runway What is the cost to refill a 30-month reserve? •Static (Stop Issuance): 30 months requires $2.14B. With $2.117B left, the deficit is $23.8M. Requires issuing 183k common shares at $130. •Dynamic (30.06% Growth Continues): The sum of 30 months of compounding dividend obligations is $699.7B ($699.4B STRC + $0.3B Fixed). Deficit: $697.6 Billion. 7/ The Price Target Illusion Strategy bulls will argue that the share price will be much higher by then, making the dilution negligible. Let's run the math on raising that $697.6 Billion deficit against a current float of roughly 333 Million outstanding shares. Here is the exact dilution required to pay the 30-month dividend bill at higher price targets: •At $130/share: 5.36 Billion shares issued (1,609% dilution) •At $200/share: 3.48 Billion shares issued (1,045% dilution) •At $300/share: 2.32 Billion shares issued (696% dilution) •At $400/share: 1.74 Billion shares issued (522% dilution) •At $500/share: 1.39 Billion shares issued (417% dilution) •At $543/share (Previous ATH): 1.28 Billion shares issued (386% dilution) Conclusion: Even in a hyper-bull scenario where MSTR reclaims its previous ATH of $543 per share, maintaining this 30% monthly ATM growth rate requires nearly quadrupling the outstanding share count just to pay the preferred dividends. If ATM issuance halts, Bitcoin accumulation stops. If issuance continues, the math dictates hyper-dilution regardless of the stock price. Unless he starts selling their BTC in which case the narrative and model collapses… It seems a vast majority of MSTR shareholders don’t understand what they’re cheering for. From a common shareholders perspective, $STRC should not be viewed as Digital Credit, but rather Digital Kamikaze….

@ChrisMMillas @dampedspring 🫡

@BRunner2040 Greatest wealth transfer in history will be from baby boomers to hospitals and nursing homes for end of life care. 😏

2026: Hood $90.75 Nobody is ready for the wealth transfer. It’s going to be the greatest shock to the system. Roughly: 2038-2044. Will watch the complete transformation of finance shift from the old to the young. It’s going to be hard to hold in this digital age. I’m game. I’m loaded up and I’ll continue to buy. Robinhood: If the company survives the coming disruption. It will be one of the greatest bets of all time. I asked Grok, what is the percentage of people who think the greatest wealth transfer will go into Robinhood (meaning a large portion capital). “No one is modeling” Early! Now the part of investing that everyone hates to do. Wait and wait, and wait some more. You want to quit. If the fundamental don’t change wait.

@cryptomanran Agreed. It's not good. It's great. Macro environment matters. And I think asset prices will continue to rally. Bear flag is about to be broken. Drawing subjective lines on charts isn't valuable to investing performance.

NOT GOOD.

@BitcoinIsaiah @masterminedusa 👍

Man does it feel good to bull-post again 🐂 Sned it! 🚀

Finally breaking out above the 100 day moving average. 🚀

A lot of people posting about bitcoin breaking through a downtrending line from the top in October. I don't believe in lines on charts. I DO believe in breakthroughs above key moving averages. Bitcoin has been below the 100 DMA for 6 months. Getting close to a break out. 🍿