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@ShadowFrog7

加入时间 Ocak 2022
268 关注9 粉丝
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@PollTracker2024 Especially since hes set to lose a senate race and be out of congress
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@AndrewSolender Or how its illegal to hunt whales in Kansas or for donkeys to sleep in bathtubs in Arizona
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Andrew Solender
Andrew Solender@AndrewSolender·
“The House can’t vote under suspension on Fridays” sounda like one of those bizarre outdated laws like how you can’t have an ice cream cone in your back pocket in Alabama
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@iElijahManley It seems like he forgot how this works, and has no idea whats happening
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Elijah Manley
Elijah Manley@iElijahManley·
Did she get this lawyer off of Craigslist? 🤔
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@bresreports @RepDeSaulnier Do you have an estimate or idea of where it would go from there? When could we return to the hearing?
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John Bresnahan
John Bresnahan@bresreports·
@RepDeSaulnier 10/ The “adjudicatory subcommittee” has gone into executive session to deal with SCM’s motion to delay any Ethics Committee action until her criminal case is over. We expect this to be rejected
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John Bresnahan
John Bresnahan@bresreports·
Dem Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick is now is now in the Ethics Cmte for her ethics “trial” on a host or alleged violations
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@DeepNotShallow It was in Ryan Grim's book about the Squad. If I'm remembering right, basically he was too agressive going after Schumer and Pelosi too early into AOC's time in office
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@MappingFL Do you see it as being similar for HD-87?
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Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱
Brian Nathan has flipped the Trump +7 Florida State Senate District 14, defeating State Representative Josie Tomkow Tomkow had at least 6x the money as Nathan and GOP ballots far outpaced DEM ballots A major upset in a race most expected to stay with the GOP #flapol
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@Taniel It looks like he's now leading by 0.509% so just outside of recount range
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Taniel
Taniel@Taniel·
JUST IN: Florida Democrats flip a state Senate seat. SD14 is a Tampa-area district that voted Trump by 7%. Dem Brian Nathan wins it narrowly, & GOP conceded, tho just within recount margin. This is Florida Dems' 2nd flip tonight, alongside HD87 (that's the Mar-a-Lago district).
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Eric Michael Garcia
Eric Michael Garcia@EricMGarcia·
I am on an Amtrak train to New York. Throw a House, Senate or gubernatorial race this year and I’ll give my best guess how it goes. Ripping from @LoganR2WH
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
Unless I'm wrong, this means that if this passes and no changes are made to current poll closing times, Georgia's polls would close at 6pm EST, making them one of the earliest poll closings, with Indiana and Kentucky
Rahul Bali@rahulbali

BREAKING UPDATE: Georgia State Senate passes a bill to switch Georgia to the Atlantic Time Zone. Georgia would observe year-round Daylight Saving Time and not change clocks twice a year. #gapol House Bill 154 now goes to the State House. Learn more here: bit.ly/4rI6DGZ

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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@EricMGarcia I think that makes a lot of sense given the population growth in the ATL suburbs and how quickly they’re shifting to the left. Reminds me of Loudoun, Henrico and Chesterfield
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@Ethanfracisco I'd assume her daughter Hannah Pingree would run if she doesnt win in 2026. Not sure beyond that
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ethan
ethan@Ethanfracisco·
are there any whispers of anyone with intentions to run for #ME01 (D+23) when pingree (70) retires? She is consistently among the most progressive representatives and ME01 has a huge bench so planning progressive coalescence early is important
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@CTDemocrat8 Nothing will beat when I saw Slotkin, didn’t believe it was her, then saw her walk onto the senate floor in the exact same outfit
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(Parody) CT Dem 🇺🇸🇺🇦
Representatives I think I may have seen during my trip to DC (though Pou was at a train stop in NJ, SWEAR I saw her)
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Nate Silver
Nate Silver@NateSilver538·
If a #1 seed falls 10 points behind any school that runs a polling institute at any point in the game (Siena, Quinnipiac, Marist) they should just be eliminated IMO.
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PublicPolicyPolling
PublicPolicyPolling@ppppolls·
WE KEPT TELLING YOU THERE WAS STRATTMENTUM BITCHES!!!
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VoteHub
VoteHub@VoteHub·
VoteHub projects Juliana Stratton to win the Illinois Democratic primary for U.S. Senate.
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@ryanmccomb How much of IL usually votes before Election Day? This definitely seems to support everything from your model so far about how low E-Day turnout helps Kat
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Tanner@ShadowFrog7·
@ryanmccomb Andrew over Fine threw me for a loop there
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Ryan McComb
Ryan McComb@RyanJMcComb·
Results of an unscientific, non-adjusted FOIA Gras x IL9Cast voter poll from this morning
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