Extractive Manatee

754 posts

Extractive Manatee

Extractive Manatee

@ferrellcode

Fortune favors the bold Prediction market guru 🔮🧘🏻‍♂️, Bot conductor 🛠️ https://t.co/ohzxJOj8Qp

🌊🐮 加入时间 Kasım 2024
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Extractive Manatee
Extractive Manatee@ferrellcode·
When I see polymarket odds I disagree with
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Domer❤️‍🔥
Domer❤️‍🔥@Domahhhh·
@Eltonma It's unusable right now. I see huge order walls in a market I want to trade and I don't even bother. Obv fake. Really sad. I also woke up to see someone tried to pull off a huge uma scam and nearly succeeded. The site is unfortunately a huge joke atm, need to hire better ppl.
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Elton Ma
Elton Ma@Eltonma·
I have been playing on polymarket for almost 2 years. Today is the day I feel most angry about polymarket team. The ghost fill problem is getting much worse and those bastards are doing 50k resting orders both sides. I am getting 3% rewards on markets I suppose to get 50+%. The team said they would ban all those accounts but I think they are doing some lousy job. It is very easy to ban them. Just track big accounts like me or domah etc, check their backend you see failed transactions then you know which accounts are at fault. Check their ip and linked accounts and ban them all. It is easy. I was doing Amazon 20 years ago, Jeff Bezos know how to ban those Chinese cheaters. I don’t get it why poly is not doing things. The whole order book look like shit now. For 2 years I never requests anything from polymarket but I just think the did too bad this time the whole upgrade was not planned well. And as the #1 lp farmer by far. I suggest that poly should kinda compensate all lp farmer that are still doing lp after the upgrade till Monday’s permanent fix is deployed. (And I kinda skeptical if that upgrade really works) At least pay them a few times more based on their pro rata share of the rewards earned. And perhaps give me one polymarket necklace that identical to Paul Logan’s that sold to Pawn Star Rick’s at $30k (well this part is a joke but maybe Shayne should really consider it) This is so bad that even I as a lp farmer that keeps on farming for 650+ days thinking about quit farming. And it seems to me that if those bastards made like 100k accounts before Monday they might still can keep on doing that? I really hope the team can seriously address this issue. @shayne_coplan @_kanarazu_ @Polymarket @mustafap0ly
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Extractive Manatee
Extractive Manatee@ferrellcode·
@Eltonma yep the ghost fills are stealing all the rewards... they claim they will fix monday
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Euan
Euan@Euanker·
April was the first month this year I didn’t make 100k. Maybe I should get a job. 🙃
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JesterTheGoose
JesterTheGoose@Jesterthegoose·
How is it that Polymarket is down for over half an hour, but the only communication about it is in private Telegram groups (no banner on the site, no announcement in Discord, nothing)? When we say we need more communication, we are talking about this stuff. @devjoshstevens
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wuli屋里
wuli屋里@wuli238·
V2 上线第一天,Ghost Fills 撤单攻击依然存在🥹 Polymarket 新上任的工程副总裁 @williamlegate 今天发文回应:“交易被取消是我们目前最令人沮丧的问题之一,我们很快会推出一个完整的修复方案。” 特别是最后一句话,有点像国足在道歉 V2 虽然移除了 incrementNonce 这个低成本撤单路劲,但链下撮合 + 链上结算的时间窗口依然存在,Ghost Fills 问题并没有被彻底解决。希望官方这次不是嘴上“很快”,而是真的很快。 做市商和普通玩家已经等得够久了。 @Polymarket @mustafap0ly @PolymarketDevs
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wuli屋里@wuli238

x.com/i/article/2049…

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Elton Ma
Elton Ma@Eltonma·
Well it seems like nothing really changed much. After the upgrade the fake orders are still there and eating most of the rewards, while I should have gotten say 100k rewards yesterday I only got paid like 16k and fake bits might get a total of 2-300k payout. While farming both side with 100k+ orders. This is beyond sad. And diao also had an argument with me sad.
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Extractive Manatee
Extractive Manatee@ferrellcode·
@housser @Domahhhh @Eltonma the orders are spoofed so when you go to fill orders the transaction fails and reverts it is a known ongoing nonce bug with their system, but is hard to quickly fix as it is an onchain issue
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Extractive Manatee
Extractive Manatee@ferrellcode·
@Domahhhh @Eltonma ya the fake bids are really bad not just for traders, but they also can distort the odds a bit, which is the whole point of a prediction market... I trust they will fix it with time, but giving the rewards to scammers sucks
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Domer❤️‍🔥
Domer❤️‍🔥@Domahhhh·
@Eltonma It's actually insane. The site is just 95% fake offers sapping rewards. They must have given 90 percent of $1m in rewards to scammers. EVERY single large trade I made today was reverted bc the offers were fake.
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GollumGekko
GollumGekko@GollumGekko1·
I had my dumbest loss in prediction markets so far yesterday As Polymarket pushed their update, I managed to buy the wrong side of a bet - I ended up buying 4500 shares of Aliens Confirmed before Kevin Warsh is confirmed at 97.6c I meant to put limits for No but ended up on Yes Most annoying loss I have ever had, basically gave away money
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Extractive Manatee
Extractive Manatee@ferrellcode·
ah man missed a cool millie spike on my PNL, should of been online smh
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Extractive Manatee
Extractive Manatee@ferrellcode·
and rewards were broken and they gave me $1, such is life
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Extractive Manatee
Extractive Manatee@ferrellcode·
@PredMTrader I think at the tails it would be smart spend for an unlikely candidate It probably would only cost 50k to pump your odds from sub 1% to 5% which could bring a bit of attention to you Also if you actually win you get a big payout for your incoming administration.
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PredictionMarketTrader
PredictionMarketTrader@PredMTrader·
I don’t really get the fear that someone would “artificially” prop up the odds of a candidate on a prediction market. There are a lot of sharp market participants that would love to take the other side of an inflated price. Like how would this even work in practice? Someone will post a ton of liquidity at an inflated price for millions of dollars and you think people wouldn’t rush to take the other side? I could maybe see someone market buying an illiquid book to distort the price for like a minute but it seems pretty far fetched that this would influence an outcome.
Nick Reynolds@IAmNickReynolds

Wrote this weekend about the role of the humble prediction market in the governor's race, and the implications of unknown entities essentially being able to "buy" their way to a good position. postandcourier.com/politics/predi…

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Extractive Manatee
Extractive Manatee@ferrellcode·
@PredMTrader stink bid random golfers and profit, must be quick to remove bids when a golfer implodes tho
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PredictionMarketTrader
PredictionMarketTrader@PredMTrader·
Someone please teach me how to make money on the Masters without knowing anything about golf
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Extractive Manatee
Extractive Manatee@ferrellcode·
@EventWavesIO yeah, my guess would be there is a kernel of truth like to date kalshi has done 20-30 million in total for block trades, with payrolls being a popular one I am pretty skeptical that the current payroll market has 20 million in open interest
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Car
Car@CarOnPolymarket·
Some rich guy with $20M joined Polymarket, and made 3 versions of myself: - Car Gang version - Car LGBT friendly version - Car Ayatollah version what do i do
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