SWR (Poly Holic)

Polymarket ($POLY) FDV at launch and predicted #airdrop structure. Markets currently price: FDV > $5B, FDV > $10B, FDV > $15B at varying odds. The author believes a $10–15B FDV is likely due to: – Limitless launching at $500M FDV despite far lower volume – Polymarket’s strong weekly activity – Expected crypto recovery in 2026 (rate cuts & QE) – ICE’s $2B investment – Existing private valuations of $8–15B – Upcoming Polymarket US launch increasing volume With a $1B supply and 20% circulating, a $10B–$15B FDV would place POLY in the top 35–50 coins. Airdrop eligibility: – Safe zone: $5k+ volume, varied trade sizes, some held to resolution, connect X account – Top 10%: $20k+ volume and $100+ PnL An estimated 1.5M users, with top 20% (~300k) likely eligible. A suggested 4-tier allocation splits the drop among the top 1%, 9%, 40%, and 50%. With a 7–10% token allocation, higher tiers could see strong rewards, especially at $15B FDV. The author expects criteria to tighten by 2026 and suggests possible multipliers for LPs, positive PnL, and badge holders.

@nitesheth01 @Polymarket insider 🤑🤑

this Polymarket trader just made $70K in one day… and nobody is talking about it. Punisher2022 is quietly running through the sports markets on @Polymarket and this screenshot shows exactly how it’s done in the last 24 hours alone the account is up $70,614 with $157K+ deployed across positions. no flashy long shots, just consistent wins across NBA and NFL spreads and moneylines. what really stands out is the scale and discipline. 14,203 total predictions a biggest single win of $86.3K and dozens of mid sized wins stacking on top of each other. Warriors, Knicks, Nuggets, Seahawks, Lions it’s a conveyor belt of green this isn’t someone swinging for a miracle outcome. it’s volume pricing band repeatable edges applied again and again. the equity curve tells the story flat patient then a clean step up as markets resolve. no panic exits no chasing no emotional trades. if you want to understand how serious money is made on Polymarket sports this is the blueprint. not hype not luck just relentless execution. definitely a wallet worth watching

another day Base posting, Make @base Great again

500$ BONUS with Polymaket program 🤑🤑 polymarket.com/?via=swr-poly-…

hmmm polymarket.com/wrapped/0x2041…

What's that on Anthony's neck? @Polymarket ?? Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua is scheduled to take place on December 19, 2025, at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida

@basebro_ @base ya broooo

interact if you’re still bullish on @base 👇🟦

@saylor market keep deeping 🥲

₿ack to More Orange Dots.

@0xashensoul @0xMaidez @business @Polymarket I'm buying NO for this

@0xMaidez @business @Polymarket 20x or 5%? Thats the question

Does Epstein client list exist? If so, you can earn 20x on Polymarket According to DOJ, there was no list of Epstein clients, only the list of island visitors But recent Bloomberg research proves the opposite To find our more about Epstein files Bloomberg's journalists filed a lawsuit against the FBI, forcing them to share information about the investigation Fortunately for us, it worked out Moreover, in the FBI official’s declaration, there was a surprising reference to "client lists": "...as well as to identify third parties potentially implicated in criminal wrongdoing through a search of client lists or other relevant information" Is the government being shady? In June, DOJ and FBI said that they did not find an "incriminating client list", but now they've revealed the opposite There are two possible explanations of that: > "client list" actually means something else We can’t say for sure whether any “client list” referred to by the FBI in the declaration is the actual Epstein client list the public has been salivating over, even though it seems plausible > "client list" means exactly what we think, and it will be published with other Epstein files In that case, the individuals on this list may face charges and be directly connected with Epstein crimes How can we profit from this? According to Polymarket, "Epstein client list released in 2025" event has only a 5% probability. It means: > if you believe that the client list is real and it will be released in 2025, you can earn over 20x by buying YES shares > if you believe that the client list is not real or it won't be published in 2025, you can earn over 5% by buying NO shares What's my personal strategy? I think that the closer we get to the date of the files publication, the more information will leak out For now, I will wait for the news and prepare to buy YES shares if the list turns out to be real Stay tuned for updates.

@0xVoron Next time, Poly has a lot B to predict 🤣

@savewithref Thank you bro! But I thought I have 200$ bet, fck, I fall a sleep before fight started, lol

HUGE CONGRATULATIONS TO AMOSOV! Yaroslav Amosov made his UFC debut and in the first round he choked out his opponent Neil Magny with an anaconda! With a Polymarket, any event becomes more interesting!

Another day on Polymarket

@saurav_tweets @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Get back my money

pov : you did your research, bought no, and then a cluster of insiders suddenly bought yes on @polymarket

@saurav_tweets @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade got predict on poly today

traditional media: breaking news polymarket: bro that happened hrs ago

@betmaxxxing @Polymarket 🤡

the masculine urge to show a women the next market that will print 100x

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? 42% on Polymarket

Using Polymarket for 1 year 😍😍

@Atlantislq Someone definitely saw something early 👀

Anomalies have begun to appear in the Time 2025 Person of the Year market. Traditionally, the results of the Person of the Year competition are published closer to mid-December. Very often, this is on Dec 11-13. And just tonight, AI's chances of winning rose from 48% to 73%. A sharp rise in price ahead of the publication of the results. What could this mean?

@0xMaidez @Polymarket OH THIS IS JUICY. 🔥 🤪

This Polymarket can (will) be manipulated I believe that the price of Kabuto Pokémon cards will reach $100 until 2026, but the market gives it an unfair 37% chance Here's all you should know to earn on this event: > one website is used to track Kabuto card prices: TCG Player Their statistics are open, so we can see everything: the number of cards sold per day, their average price, and how many cards are up for sale > the condition for market resolution is the average price of cards per day If the average price exceeds $100 at least once in December, the market will be resolved as YES > for YES resolution, just one sale is enough I recently noticed a one Kabuto card that sells for $10k, and it can become a tool for manipulation Let's do some math: Only 13 cards were sold on Dec 9 at an average price of $43. If someone bought a card for $10k at the very end of the day (to prevent counter-manipulation from sellers), the average price would rise to: 13 cards * $43 + 1 card * $10k = $10,559 $10,559 / 14 cards = $754 average price per day Of course, this would mean that the buyer would lose $10k, because it is unrealistic to resell the card for the same price But if we assume that he will open a position on Polymarket with a potential profit exceeding $10k, then this situation becomes quite logical And the chances that this will happen are very high "Will Kabuto card hit $100 by December 31?" market has over $800k volume, and it is not really hard to get a big position there So when you see suspicious wallets buying up a lot of YES on this market, know that manipulation is about to happen Pls, Kabuto, make us rich!

Yep, perfect Linea @LineaBuild

@solana 589 cents??

589