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Timothy B. Lee
Timothy B. Lee@binarybits·
I sincerely don't understand what people mean when they say this. On the one hand, every AI researcher is already using Claude Code (or its competitors) to help them develop new architectures. OTOH, AI models do not have bodies so they can't build data centers
Jack Clark@jackclarkSF

I've spent the past few weeks reading 100s of public data sources about AI development. I now believe that recursive self-improvement has a 60% chance of happening by the end of 2028. In other words, AI systems might soon be capable of building themselves.

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Nathan Calvin
Nathan Calvin@_NathanCalvin·
@ShakeelHashim @binarybits @ajeya_cotra I was also going to comment that I think Ajeya has the best concrete formalizations of what we mean by this in a way thats different from "engineers using claude code"
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Herbie Bradley
Herbie Bradley@herbiebradley·
@ShakeelHashim @binarybits @ajeya_cotra I disagree with this operationalization a bunch, because it seems absolutely primed for definition gaming (so does "country of geniuses") or not distinguishing the important factors (adequacy could co-occur very closely with supremacy)
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