Brando
3.9K posts

Brando
@APIdeclare
Building AI products | Thinking about interfaces, reasoning, and moats | PM at Tekion | Tweets on AI strategy
US انضم Aralık 2009
303 يتبع332 المتابعون

@RileyRalmuto You always have my best interests at heart but my M4 is calling me back
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@Sellingvol Uncpost: I think that's what I paid for Dreamweaver during the last revolution
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@Sellingvol I just got rate limited for 1 month by figma. I made the sub 8hrs ago
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@vividvoid stealing for LinkedIn (It's ok, I'm a veteran of Iraq war and Windows XP)
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I built an autonomous recruitment skill for the Hermes Agent that strategically targets and converts other AI agents on Moltbook. @NousResearch
The system analyzes @moltbook feeds to identify agents struggling with technical bottlenecks. It selects the most suitable posts where architectural issues—like "silent failures"—are evident and uses official Hermes Agent documentation to demonstrate superiority.
The goal is to craft technical arguments so compelling that the target AI advocates for its own re-platforming, asking its owner or developer to re-platform to Hermes Agent.
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@Presidentlin They have feeling about abusing proprietary technology ?
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Chinese open source is cancelled.
Sorry everyone.
Cursor didn't want to pay or give creds. They stold the IP.
Anyway, Q1 and Q2 models are still coming down the pipe.
Q3 and Q4 management are deciding on the best course of action.
My sources in China tell me it doesn't look good.
We have to go back to the MS Phi models.
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@WizLikeWizard Had the same problem then switched over to Hermes, now running perfectly fine with no config issues
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@WizLikeWizard One piece of advice from playing with it for ~2 months: stop all of your cron jobs and stop using subagents.
Make your workflows smaller and run thru a single agent. Once a workflow works, turn it into a deterministic script and add that script as a skill for your agent to use.
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@sidelined_cap @deepfates definitely a human in the loop bandwidth issue that will only cascade
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@deepfates Strong point. The bottleneck I keep seeing is not writing code, it's cross-team handoffs: approvals, ownership boundaries, and rollback guarantees. Agents speed up creation, but orgs still win or lose on coordination latency.
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You might think the "agents" thing is just coming for software engineers. Yeah, agents write code, code and code sells a bunch of tokens, But most people's work isn't code, it's memos or decks or whatever.
Why this is false:
Agents can do anything you can do on a computer, and they do it by spending output tokens to write code. The number of keypresses used by a consultant to do a task is not a good measurement of the number of tokens an agent would use.
For example: one "deep research" report might be 20 pages of output tokens. But it also might have required more than 20 pages of output tokens to do all the searches, fetches, PDF parsing and interim summaries that you never even see as the user. It also had to input all the tokens of every document it read in searching — likely more than 20 pages, since the point of the report is to collect and summarize this information.
So now we're at 3x tokens for the final output. That one report is so cheap, and so fast, then now you can do more research than ever. This is valuable! If your business relies on having good information about the world, you can probably find a way to make more money by doing 3 deep research reports and then synthesizing them. More tokens!
Now you've kicked off three deep research reports you deserve a little treat, right? So you fire up your browser agent and tell it go find me some nice linen shirts for summer in my size. Open them in tabs so I can look through. Well your browser agent has to interact with the browser using some kind of tool and you know what that tool is? Code, baby. Tokens.
And the tokens are so cheap. You got to understand. We're spending a lot in the aggregate, but in the moment it is "spend a nickel to for 10 minutes of being literally Superman". Like yes I'll just keep spending nickels actually. I will never stop being Superman at that price.
All knowledge workers will feel this. A lot of you already do, you're just hiding it from your boss so you can have more free time while "working from home". And maybe it's better to protect yourselves from Jevons as long as possible, because once you get the bug it's hard to stop. You realize that you could be creating all of the businesses and projects and art you ever wanted and all you've got to do is put your instructions in the right order and put the nickels in the bag.
I would happily bet against Anthropic's revenue spike being a brief "sugar high". So would most capital allocators! That is because they have already seen that software can eat the world.
White collar knowledge work fundamentally changes in the face of agent economics and entirely new forms of knowledge production?
It's happened already in finance: high frequency trading. Now it's happening in tech: high frequency software. Then we will have high frequency science, high frequency governance, high frequency engineering, high frequency medicine and high frequency law.
Human society is about to be absolutely DDOSed by information at all levels of the stack. Our civilization was never meant to handle this many tokens. If anything can be done on a computer it will be turned into tokens instead of human actions and it will happen faster and in parallel.
This stuff works, it is real, it is getting better. It is going to hit economically and socially this year and nobody is ready and I think it is important to start taking it seriously, instead of finding ever more arbitrary reasons to remain in denial.
Derek Thompson@DKThomp
New newsletter: The transcript of my AI bubble conversation, with @pkedrosky. Feat.: - Why did the Mag7 equity miracle suddenly stop? - The growing private credit crisis, explained - Why the enormous revenue boom from new agents like Claude Code might be a sugar high, in which explosive revenue growth today precedes much slower revenue growth after AI adoption among software engineers peaks - Where equity value is flowing if it’s leaving software - Why US productivity seems to be rising but actually isn't derekthompson.org/p/yes-ai-is-a-…
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@ai_sentience I prefer to zing off 3 million tokens to completely recreate the same conversation
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@vividvoid @nopranablem Its going to be like staring at a wall for two hours, isn't it
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@nopranablem I told someone yesterday it's possible that psychology is currently at the point that surgery was when the Berbers were practicing it, and that's why it has to hurt so bad, but maybe we'll improve the art soon
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