0xBimba

🚨 6.5 MILLION WORLD CUP 2026 SHARES AT 1.7¢ - RESTART77 UP $259K AND CLIMBING This whale didn't pick a favorite. He bought everyone. 🇦🇷 Argentina – 454k shares @ 1.7¢ → now 9¢ (+$33k) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England – 385k shares @ 1.7¢ → now 11¢ (+$37k) 🇪🇸 Spain – 67k shares @ 1.7¢ → now 16¢ (+$9.5k) 🇩🇪 Germany – 207k shares @ 1.7¢ → now 5.4¢ (+$7.6k) 🇵🇹 Portugal – 260k shares @ 1.7¢ → now 7¢ (+$13.7k) 🇧🇷 Brazil – 166k shares @ 1.7¢ → now 8.6¢ (+$11.4k) 🇳🇴 Norway – 334k shares @ 1.7¢ → now 2.8¢ (+$3.5k) 🇧🇪 Belgium – 270k shares @ 1.7¢ → now 2¢ (+$701) 🇸🇪 Sweden – 823k shares @ 1.7¢ → now 0.7¢ (-$8.5k) 🇧🇦 Bosnia – 1.16M shares @ 1.7¢ → now 0.4¢ (-$14k) 🇨🇿 Czechia – 1.18M shares @ 1.7¢ → now 0.4¢ (-$15.6k) Restart77 spent roughly $110,500 buying ~6.5 million shares across 20+ teams at 1.7¢ each. His current unrealized profit of $259k comes entirely from the market repricing favorites upward (Spain from 1.7¢ to 16¢, England to 11¢, etc.) -before a single match has been played. If a team he holds wins the World Cup, that single position alone returns 58x (1.7¢ → $1.00). For example, if England wins, his $6,557 investment becomes $385,714 - a $379k profit from just that one team. That would cover all his losing long‑shot bets many times over. His biggest losers are the true long shots (Czechia, Bosnia, Sweden), where the market has correctly priced their near‑zero chance. But those cost him only ~$15k each - a fraction of his potential upside. This is a classic barbell strategy: tiny bets on extreme long shots + significant positions on plausible winners. Unlike traditional sportsbooks where you can only bet on one outcome, Polymarket allows simultaneous positions on every outcome. Restart77 is essentially creating his own synthetic futures contract on "any of these 15 teams wins". The implied probability of that basket is the sum of individual probabilities - which he bought at a deep discount because the market initially underweighted the favorites. As the tournament approaches and liquidity increases, the favorites' odds naturally rise - and he profits from that re‑pricing without ever needing a winner. If a favorite actually wins, his returns become exponential. He's already up $259k from market repricing. If England, Spain, France, Argentina, or Brazil lift the trophy, his profit will exceed $500k+. This isn't gambling - it's structured convexity. 👉 @restart77?r=bimbacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/profile/@resta…

🚨FOMC MINUTES DROP AT 2 PM ET - POLYMARKET SAYS 96% NO RATE CUT The Fed isn't calling an emergency meeting - they're releasing minutes from March 17‑18, when the US-Iran war was already pushing oil from $70 to $100 a barrel. What Polymarket is pricing right now: > Fed decision in April? - 96% chance of NO rate cut 👉 polymarket.com/event/fed-deci… > How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? - 33% chance of ZERO cuts 👉 polymarket.com/event/how-many… > March Inflation US - Annual - 99% chance ≥2.8% 👉 polymarket.com/event/march-in… > Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? - 38% probability 👉 polymarket.com/event/strait-o… The minutes will reveal: - How much the Fed raised its 2026 inflation forecast - Whether policymakers discussed rate hikes - not cuts - due to the oil shock - Staff projections of oil at $132-$167 if Hormuz stays closed for months The market has already moved from pricing 6 rate cuts in January to now 40% odds of ZERO cuts in 2026. Smart money is positioned for higher‑for‑longer. Markets don't wait for headlines. They price them in real time.

@GutsPoly @Polymarket @Geo_Pol_Insider another trump insider 😕 trump so bad

𝗧𝗿𝘂𝗺𝗽 𝗺𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗴𝘂𝘆 𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗵 𝗶𝗻 𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗻𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁 > Geopolitics predections >over half million dollars on Iran conflict >one tweet that changed life he have multiple predictions all about Iran and USA , and he got what he wanted

@prerichguy Risking $1.8 million for a profit of $7,000 🤔 This is trust in Trump. 😂

this whale risked $1.85M.. to make a few thousand after Donald Trump announced a 2-week ceasefire with Iran, Polymarket trader "poorsob" dropped $1,858,646 on 'US x Iran ceasefire by April 7' if it goes through, he’s looking at ~$1.86M basically farming the most “obvious” outcome

@dobioprer @Polymarket

3 out of 3 positions landed ✅ Perfect run with yesterday's matches on @Polymarket. Champions League and Copa Libertadores delivered exactly as expected. Results: Arsenal win vs Sporting: 1-0 ✅ Real Madrid vs Bayern: BTTS (1-2) ✅ Independiente win vs Bolivar: 1-0 ✅ Claiming the profit. Moving on to the next ones. @PolymarketSport

🏀 THUNDER vs LAKERS - $2.79M IN PLAY, LA IS DECIMATED Market: Thunder 91% | Lakers 9% WHALE WATCH Thunder side (overwhelming favorites): > PPInsider - 282,851 shares > BABELCONSTEL - 167,140 shares > 19HO - 141,957 shares > 4217 - 126,101 shares Lakers side (massive underdogs): > surfandturf - 309,873 shares > Dishonest-Bloom - 179,187 shares > Random3366 - 88,358 shares > ShucksIt69 - 68,220 shares INJURY CONTEXT (WHY THE LINE IS SO WIDE) Lakers are absolutely destroyed: ❌ Luka Dončić - out for season (hamstring) ❌ LeBron James - foot soreness ❌ Austin Reaves - oblique strain ❌ Marcus Smart - ankle Thunder missing Jalen Williams (hamstring management), but OKC is 62-16, locked into the #1 seed, and just blew out the Lakers 139-96 five days ago. - Thunder have won 8 of last 10 meetings, including the last 3 by 15+ points. - Lakers are 0-5 without Dončić this season. - The spread is -16.5 - and $703K is riding on whether OKC covers. - Totals at $307K suggest a high‑scoring blowout (Over 223.5 at 58% probability). This is the most lopsided NBA market of the night. Whales are split - some are riding the obvious Thunder blowout, others are hoping for a desperate home stand from a skeleton‑crew Lakers team. $2.79M on the floor. One team is resting for the playoffs. The other is just trying to survive.

🚨 $620K PRINTED IN 24 HOURS ON "US-IRAN CEASEFIRE" POLYMARKET - THESE DEGENS BOUGHT THE DIP AT 2¢ While the world was doomscrolling Trump's "civilization will die" threat, three Polymarket traders quietly loaded up on ceasefire "Yes" contracts at 1-4¢. Hours later, odds exploded to 60¢+. WHAT HAPPENED? - Yesterday: Iran rejected a temporary ceasefire, Trump threatened annihilation, odds crashed to 1-4%. - Today: Back-channel talks via Pakistan's army chief, CNN reports "good news expected soon", odds exploded to 60%+. - Smart money loaded during the panic. Retail is still catching up. Here's who printed: > 25xp - Joined April 2026 > Total predictions: 1 (yes, ONE trade in his entire Polymarket career) > Bought 182,695 shares of "US-Iran ceasefire by April 7?" at 3.9¢ > Current price: 59.8¢ > Profit: +$102,123 (+1,451%) 👉 @25xp?r=bimbacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@25xp?r=bimbac… One trade. Six figures. That's how you debut. --- UpDownUpDown - Joined Sep 2025 > Total predictions: 680 > Trade 1: 355,555 shares of April 7 "Yes" at 1.9¢ → now 59.8¢ > Profit: +$205,613 (+3,010%) > Trade 2: 55,555 shares of April 15 "Yes" at 8.6¢ → now 82¢ > Profit: +$40,789 (+856%) 👉 @UpDownUpDown?r=bimbacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@UpDownUpDown?… Perfectly timed double dip. --- Fernandoinfante - Joined Feb 2026 > Total predictions: 30 > Bought 477,543 shares of April 7 "Yes" at 2.8¢ → now 59.8¢ > Profit: +$272,132 (+2,061%) 👉 @Fernandoinfante?r=bimbacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/profile/@Ferna… COMBINED PROFIT: ~$620,000 (and still holding) If the April 7 market resolves "Yes" (which would require an official ceasefire announcement by end of day April 7 - the deadline is tight but possible), each contract pays $1.00. That would push their combined profit well over $1.2 million. Three traders with almost no history (1, 30, and 680 predictions) just outperformed 99% of degens by buying extreme fear. Markets don't wait for headlines. They price them in real time.

🚨 BREAKING: U.S.-IRAN CEASEFIRE POSITIONS EXPLODING HIGHER! FROM 17% TO 60% - AND STILL CLIMBING. LOOKS LIKE IT'S GOING TO HAPPEN! POLYMARKET RIGHT NOW: > Ceasefire by April 15? - 56% (up from 17% yesterday) 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > Ceasefire by April 30? - 64% (was 28% before the jump) 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > Ceasefire by May 15? - 72% 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > Ceasefire by June 30? - 80% 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > Ceasefire by December 31? - 87% 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… Total volume on the April 7 contract alone: $25.8M - and that market just resolved at 36% before the spike. Smart money is now rolling positions into later dates. WHAT HAPPENED? Just hours ago, Iran halted direct diplomacy with the U.S. after Trump threatened to "destroy a whole civilisation". But behind the scenes, something shifted. CNN cited a regional source reporting that "some good news is expected from both sides soon". Talks are now being steered directly by Pakistan's army chief. Mediators are pushing a two-phase plan: a 45-day ceasefire first, then comprehensive peace talks in Islamabad. The market is now pricing a 64% chance of a ceasefire by April 15 - a massive reversal from just 17% yesterday. April 30 position surged to 69%, and June 30 hit 80%.

🚨 BREAKING: TRUMP JUST KILLED THE CEASEFIRE HOPE - POLYMARKET ALREADY KNEW "A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back. But after a full regime change, something new and better may begin. God bless the people of Iran." - Trump No ceasefire. Only ultimatums. CURRENT POLYMARKET POSITIONS: > 🛑 US-Iran ceasefire by April 7? - Just 3% (over $103M volume) 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > 🛑 US-Iran ceasefire by April 15? - 15-19% (down from 37% last week) 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > 🛑 US-Iran ceasefire by April 30? - 29% (was 45%) 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > 💰 Total Iran-related volume on Polymarket - Over $1 billion Smart money has been sitting in "NO" on April ceasefire contracts for days. The Trump insider with 16 winning trades and $170M in profit opened a $51M oil short - and it's already printing. A civilization might not die. But anyone who bet on a ceasefire just got liquidated.

@nofadsec wow

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich tonight ⚽ Polymarket has $2M in volume and the market says: Bayern 42% Real 37% Draw 24% I'm going with Real. If you put in $100: Real wins -> +$170 profit Real loses -> -$100 High risk? Yes. But Real Madrid is Real Madrid. Who's with me?

🚨 BLACKROCK BUYING $BTC RIGHT NOW - U.S. MARKET STILL OPEN Millions every few minutes. This is not random. They know something big is coming 👀 WHAT POLYMARKET IS PRICING RIGHT NOW: > Bitcoin hit $75k in April? - 42% probability > Bitcoin hit $80k in April? - 17% probability 👉 polymarket.com/event/what-pri… BlackRock doesn't buy $BTC in size without a reason. Smart money is positioning ahead of something - maybe a Fed pivot, maybe geopolitical relief, maybe a ETF flow surprise. Polymarket whales have been quietly accumulating "Bitcoin up" contracts for days. Markets don't wait for headlines. They price them in real time.

@prerichguy @Chance_ vamo karalya

put $67 on the brazilians from Legacy vs NRG they picked de_dust - NRG’s won it once in the last 3 months lol found a pretty sweet line on the @chance_ prediction terminal

@dobioprer @Polymarket @PolymarketSport

Great night on @Polymarket! Winnipeg Jets 6-2 Seattle Kraken✅ San Jose Sharks 3-2 Chicago Blackhawks✅ Both my positions hit. Jets and Sharks took care of business at home. @PolymarketSport

@dobioprer @Polymarket @PolymarketSport wow. gratz bro

🚨 FED INJECTS $8 BILLION - POLYMARKET TRADERS SAW IT COMING The Fed just pumped $8,071,000,000 into the financial system. They’ve lost control after the oil crisis - and finally turned on the money printer. Here’s what Polymarket has been pricing for weeks: > Fed rate cut in April? - Just 2% probability (98% chance of NO cut) | $1.1M+ volume 👉 polymarket.com/event/fed-rate… > How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? - 41% chance of ZERO cuts | $16.6M+ volume 👉 polymarket.com/event/how-many… > US recession by end of 2026? - 36% probability | $1.1M+ volume 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-reces… > March inflation (annual) above 2.6%? - >99% chance | $3.2M+ volume 👉 polymarket.com/event/march-in… The market has been screaming “NO CUTS” for months. The Fed’s $8B liquidity jolt isn’t a rescue - it’s a quiet stress signal that the plumbing of the financial system is cracking. When banks stop lending to each other and the Fed has to step in with emergency repo operations, you don’t do that from a position of strength. Polymarket whales have been loading up on “NO rate cut” contracts for weeks. The volume across all these macro markets tells you smart money saw this coming. Markets don’t wait for headlines. They price them in real time.

@dobioprer @Polymarket @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade lfg lfg

3/4 in Italy 🇮🇹 “Juve, storia di un grande amore” Yesterday's results on @Polymarket. Juventus and Venezia won at home. Napoli got the 1-0 win, but it wasn't enough to clear the Over 1.5 line. Juventus to win (2-0)✅ Venezia to win (3-1)✅ Spezia NOT to win (1-3)✅ Napoli vs AC Milan: Over 1.5 (1-0)❌ Moving on to the next ones.

🚨 TRUMP REJECTED IRAN'S DEAL - BUT POLYMARKET DIDN'T BUDGE "Iran's proposal is a big step, but it's not good enough. Tuesday is the final deadline." Current Polymarket ceasefire positions: > April 7 → 3% > April 15 → 15% > April 30 → 27% > May 31 → 44% > June 30 → 55% > Dec 31 → 75% Market is waiting for some more news or is making a big mistake. Total volume approaching $100M. The market didn't flinch. 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira…

🚨 BUFFETT'S $274B PORTFOLIO IS PUBLIC - AND POLYMARKET TRADERS ARE ALREADY MIMICKING HIS MOVES Warren Buffett just disclosed his final portfolio before handing Berkshire to Greg Abel. Here's what he did: > Apple: Trimmed again (multiple quarters in a row) > Amazon: Cut 80% > Bank of America: Reduced > Alphabet: Held steady (one of the only tech bets he kept) > Chevron: Added MORE energy > Chubb: Built a major insurance position > Domino's: Added (recession‑resistant cash flow) > New position: New York Times (~5M shares) Selling tech, rotating into energy, insurance, and simple cash‑generating businesses. Leaving Abel $300B in cash and maximum flexibility. HOW POLYMARKET IS PRICING THE SAME TRENDS: > US recession by end of 2026? - 32% probability (No at 68%) | $1.1M+ volume > How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? - 40% chance of 0 cuts | $2.7M+ volume > WTI crude oil hit $140+ in April? - 25% probability | $7M+ volume Polymarket whales have been quietly building energy longs and rate-hike shorts for weeks - same rotation Buffett just signaled. The smart money doesn't wait for 13F filings. It watches the flow.

@dobioprer @Polymarket @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade money money money

Today’s football slate on @Polymarket 🇮🇹 Focusing on Serie A and Serie B today. Juventus is a clear favorite at home, and the Napoli vs AC Milan clash should be a battle. Current positions: Juventus to win vs Genoa (71%) Napoli vs AC Milan: Over 1.5 goals (69%) Venezia to win vs Stabia (69%) Spezia NOT to win vs Carrarese (78%) A lot of value in these matchups. Let’s see how it plays out.

@helter2006 he say goodbay bullish 😭😭😭

@BimbaCrypto Will Jerome say good afternoon this time?

🚨 THE MOST VOLATILE WEEK OF 2026 STARTS NOW - $20B+ IN POLYMARKET POSITION ALREADY PRICING IT IN > Fed emergency meeting. CPI data. BOJ intervention. Liquidity injection. Polymarket markets right now: polymarket.com/economy?r=bimb… > BOJ Decision in April? → 55% on 25 bps increase > Fed emergency rate cut in 2026? → 28-36% (spiking) | $1.2M+ volume > Fed rate cut by April 30? → Just 1% (99% chance of NO cut) | $1.8M+ cumulative volume > US CPI (March) MoM forecast → +1.0% (highest since 2022) | $2.6M+ volume on inflation markets > Fed balance sheet expansion by June 30? → 42% | Traders betting on stealth QE Same pattern as before: when the BOJ intervened last month, Polymarket whales correctly called it hours before the official announcement. When CPI surprised to the upside in February, the "higher for longer" contracts printed 3x. Markets don't wait for headlines. They price them in real time. The most volatile week of the year is here. Trade accordingly.