MacroDispatch

[REPO - STIR Interactive] Ever Wondered If Everything is Okey in the repo Market? Me and @Analystlearner have done a deep dive in the and came up with a @streamlit application to monitor repo on an ongoing basis Latter will published a thread and link

Repo and the Liquidity Risk Premium By Adam Copeland and Owen Engbretson nyfed.org/4rQA1Lp

saw this, true...

this war has become a total fiasco

@AahanPrometheus Prometheus Pantheon Index, Prometheus Synthetix Index, Prometheus GOING FULL MACRO Index.

I’m thinking of adding up all of the signals in the Prometheus Multi-Strategy Program into one index. What’s a catchy name for a silver bullet like this?

Macro trading signals with regression-based machine learning An introduction to basic challenges, methods, and good practices with Python code. macrosynergy.com/research/macro…

I blame @Citrini7 - his report made companies too afraid to hire anyone... [JOKE]

@FariaLimaElevat "Enorme" em uma perspectiva mais realista

A Citadel Securities publicou este gráfico mostrando um fenômeno curioso. ​O número de vagas para engenheiros de software está, na verdade, dando um salto enorme. ​É um exemplo clássico do Paradoxo de Jevons. Com a IA tornando a programação mais barata, as empresas podem acabar precisando de muito mais engenheiros de software, e não de menos. ​Quando fica mais barato desenvolver softwares, as empresas naturalmente querem criar muito mais. Agora, os negócios estão integrando softwares em setores e ferramentas onde antes o custo era simplesmente alto demais.

but we all know his kryptonite... 🍍

11% yoy growth of jobs. Software jobs are picking up.

@didier_lopes For your specific bookmarks, merge the project I help maintain from @tharsis + some specific get bookmarks function from a Twitter MCP or api. and done. Or expose the links via MCP chat to your Claude desktop. github.com/souzatharsis/p…

Posted on X asking if there was any good app to turn X Article Bookmarks into audio.. I opened CC and was about to start building a Chrome extension for it. But Claude replied with (...) iOS has a built-in "Speak Selection" accessibility feature (Settings › Accessibility › Spoken Content) - select text on any page and tap "Speak" As cost of building software goes down, the first instinct is to build everything. But there's some value in knowing what NOT to build.

Hormuz Is a Margin Call on the Entire System?💥💥 The events unfolding in the Middle East arrive at a particularly vulnerable moment for global funding markets. The banking system has been under liquidity pressure for months. SOFR continues to trade above IORB - a classic indicator of reserve scarcity. The Private Equity complex is deleveraging. Credit conditions were already tightening before a single missile was fired. Now we have a potential trigger - The Commodity Liquidity Nexus 💥🔥 We've seen this transmission mechanism before. In March 2022, Russia's invasion of Ukraine demonstrated how commodity market stress translates into broader liquidity events. Commodity price shock --> Margin calls cascade through the derivatives chain -->Traders draw on bank credit facilities -->Liquidity stress migrates from commodity desks to funding markets The Strait of Hormuz is not merely another geopolitical flashpoint. It is the singular chokepoint for 20-30% of global oil and gas supply. A closure, even partial, would set off several concurrent margin events: -->Energy derivatives repricing across the curve. -->War risk insurance premiums spiking on all Gulf-origin cargo. -->Physical traders facing working capital calls on stranded inventory. The Banking System's Capacity to Absorb Here lies the concern. Commodity traders - Trafigura, Vitol, Glencore, Gunvor, rely on syndicated credit facilities from global banks. When margins spike, they draw. The question is whether the banking system, already operating with constrained reserves, can meet a sudden surge in demand. In 2022, the system absorbed the shock - but conditions were different. Today, reserve balances are lower, money market stress indicators are elevated, and risk appetite has contracted. The commodity complex may once again prove to be the transmission vector for a broader liquidity event. #Liquidity #OilPrices #margin #Iran #repo

@DannyDayan5 @MikeMacroM its just the crowd following the narratives and not reasoning them, just like AI would... Ironic?

@MikeMacroM "AI has no ROI, but it will replace entire software industry and all humans" This site has become nonsense!

Block/XYZ or whatever this crap is called down 82%, has gone nowhere for 3 years while SPX is up 95%, BUT let's extrapolate 4k job losses to the entire economy and say it's AI! NSA claims were 191k, but who cares! I'd like to say this is peak stupid but who knows.

@stevehou That's when you know it went viral, also an indicator of too much local bottom when even your own ant is asking about a note you helped write? LOL

Citrini is trending on WeChat. My aunt forwarded it to me as investment insight and asked if I’ve heard of it. 🤣

@didier_lopes @AahanPrometheus Yeah i know it looked familiar

@Macrodispatch @AahanPrometheus Yooo, this is the same gym I train at!!!

Gm Ditch yo side quant

@PedroLulaMota Agora que o fee fixo vai virar modelo de negócio, ninguém quer pagar taxa por retorno ruim, curioso, né.

Dois dias muito intensos no BTG Summit e é muito legal ver como o mercado está cada vez mais falando sobre ETFs e entendendo seus benefícios.

Since October 2025

Over the same period

The drop continues. Alts at 70%+ correction, BTC at 40%+, try catching a falling knife. People are getting cut/accumulating.