@joshua_landis @Charles_Lister This article is fantasy. This article is an audition.
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SyriaConflictMonitor
2.1K posts
@Charles_Lister In the interest of credibility, let's make a gentleman's wager. What probability do you give US sanctions working according to your plan? Do you expect the impending privations to produce a political process & better outcome for the Syrian people? This is the important point.
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If @joshua_landis was a credible voice (he’s a Professor, for goodness sake), he’d cite & link what’s he’s selectively quoting from — allowing readers to see what is a more nuanced & (according to many) useful article.
So if he won’t be fair, here it is:
politico.com/news/magazine/…
Joshua Landis@joshua_landis
Impending famine in #Syria offers America an opportunity, argues @Charles_Lister The US "has an opening now... to usher in real changes.
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@MENA_Conflict @AmyAustinHolmes This 👆🏻... I get the interest to push for a more accurate picture of the SDF and SDC and casting away the use of Kurdish to describe them. But the biased, reactionary, misleading characterizations by a set of analysts on here is mind boggling.
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Hi Charles. My survey data shows that the #SDF includes women and men
- from all religious groups in NE #Syria
- from all ethnicities
- from all of the Arab tribes
- and yes also non-PYD #Kurds are in the SDF.
Happy to explain my data to you if you're interested.
Charles Lister@Charles_Lister
Umm, I think non-#PYD Kurds might have something to say here.
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@hxhassan @BASSAMVA held areas. They have provided almost no aid, and their attempts to tie aid to pro-regime pledges were quickly stopped. They have had no major role in Kurdish-Kurdish talks. Their efforts to push for regime-SDF talks have gone nowhere and only raised suspicions w/ the SDF/SDC
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@hxhassan @BASSAMVA never materialized and meetings with local AA councils also haven’t led to any major support. Pushing the regime to repair infrastructure has been minimal and aside from maybe one instance around Tell Tamer and another around Shadadi these repairs have been beneficial for regime
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Really excellent & detailed analysis on an area not covered before, by @BASSAMVA:
Moscow is making a significant, sophisticated effort to dismantle local support for U.S. involvement in northeastern Syria, but its strategy faces several constraints.
cgpolicy.org/articles/russi…
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@GregoryPWaters @Elizrael Videos shared by @Jake_Hanrahan alsi completely devoid of context and terribly misleading. But hes been there, so...
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@GregoryPWaters @Elizrael It was never a card it had to play in the mid term and their move around peace spring hasnt substantially shifted their options. US leaves, Damascus always trying to get back in, or ok to see border taken by Turkey to allow them to absorb the rest.
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"Rojava" is a one-party state with only a facade of Democracy whose governing body is in the process of handing control back to the brutal police state in Damascus.
Maybe these details are to "niche" and "geeky" for Jake though.
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@Jake_Hanrahan Oil funded - Yes. Survives because of US presence - Yes. Nothing wrong with that, just the truth. And everything in his subsequent tweet is accurate.
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@Jake_Hanrahan Authoritarian - yes, it has a streak. PYD/YPG figures hold ultimate decision making authority on nearly everything at the end of the day. Below them are hand picked Arabs/Kurds.
Single party - yes (for now), the PYD. Maybe that changes with KNC talks. Syrian Future Party is PYD.
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These faux-analyst media snobs will do anything to discredit something their clique disapproves of. He’s never been amongst the system in Rojava and has no idea how it’s helped residents. Very telling that he uses this moment of police violence to slate Rojava. Disregard.
Tobias Schneider@tobiaschneider
Rojava, of course, is an authoritarian single-party statelet, financed thru oil sales and surviving by the grace of the US airforce. It harasses and persecutes local dissidents, incl other Kurdish parties, and only looks good next to the tyranny and barbarism of its competitors.
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@JohnDrtrs Genuine question, can you name some MPs chanting in the clip who arent from Iranian backed blocs or parties?
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This is what happens to your popularity when you brazenly assassinate military commanders on another country’s soil in a region you clearly still don’t understand. #usa #iran #iraq #soleimani #muhandis
Mustafa Salim@Mustafa_salimb
“Yes,yes Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandus” “Yes,yes Soleimani” “No,No America” “No,No Israel” MPs are chanting inside the hall.
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@ajaltamimi @azelin @UticaRisk @fanarhaddad @aelghossain @faysalitani @Mikeknightsiraq @PatrickOsgood @emile_hokayem @aronlund @Weissenberg7 @AKMcKeever @FIstrabadi Thanks Aymenn, happy new year!
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Finally, a variety of monstrous accounts to follow as we move into the next decade (1): @azelin @UticaRisk @fanarhaddad @aelghossain @faysalitani @Mikeknightsiraq @PatrickOsgood @emile_hokayem @SCM_Syria @aronlund @Weissenberg7 @AKMcKeever @FIstrabadi
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@NicholasAHeras This is spin. You know better than most this is in fact insignificant. None of these tribes are monolithic, and all remain as divided as before.
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This is significant. There would be every incentive for these locally important tribes to "flip" against the #SDF (#Turkey and #Assad have tried to flip them in the past). This is a significant vote of confidence in the effort led by the SDF/SDC to build stability in N/E #Syria.
Rojava Information Center@RojavaIC
Four Arab tribes - Afadle, Bukhemis, Naim and Igedat - have announced their participation alongside SDF in opposition to Turkey, and sent fighters to join SDF on the front near Ayn Issa as Turkey continues to try and expand its area of occupation.
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@NicholasAHeras @arisroussinos No one will get involved in this.
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@hxhassan @MikeRStephens Now not sure if the regime will keep letting Sadcop engineers run the fields, or if the US will keep letting the SDF sell most of the oil to the regime, but we’ll see.
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@hxhassan @MikeRStephens Rmeilan is where the SDF’s oil operation is based, and everything in Der el-Zor is run out of there. If the US left it, the operation to the south would fall apart and the SDF internal revenue would collapse
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Yes. The US wants to spOIL Iran’s plans.
Oil. Is. Not. The. Point.
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