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@angus.tatchell.me

@angustatchell

Software Developer, Designer, Consultant, Project Manager. 🇱🇨🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 bsky @angus.tatchell.me

Oistins, Barbados انضم Mayıs 2009
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Idrees Ali
Idrees Ali@idreesali114·
April 19 (Reuters) - There is ​currently no ‌decision by Iran ​to ​send a negotiating ⁠delegation ​to ​Pakistan "as long as there ​is ​a naval blockade," ‌Iran's ⁠Tasnim news agency reported ​on ​Sunday, ⁠citing its ​reporter.
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IRNA News Agency ☫
IRNA News Agency ☫@IrnaEnglish·
Iran rejected taking part in the second round of the talks with the United States.
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IRNA News Agency ☫
IRNA News Agency ☫@IrnaEnglish·
Iran stated that its absence from the second round of talks stems from what it called Washington's excessive demands, unrealistic expectations, constant shifts in stance, repeated contradictions, and the ongoing naval blockade, which it considers a breach of the ceasefire.
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Najam Ali
Najam Ali@NajamAli2020·
Iran nuclear talks, simplified: The US wants zero enrichment. Iran says enrichment is non-negotiable. The JCPOA split the difference: limited enrichment, heavy monitoring. That deal collapsed in 2018. We are now back at the same fork. No one has moved. Nothing has changed. So why would anyone expect a different outcome? One side has to move. If neither does, there is no deal.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇷 BREAKING: Iran's military just called its own Foreign Minister an "idiot" on open maritime radio. "We will open it by the order of our leader, not by the tweets of some idiot." The FM announced the Strait of Hormuz open. The IRGC Navy announced it closed. Same government. Same moment. Two completely opposite statements broadcast to the world. This is more than just embarrassing. It tells you something important about how Iran actually works right now. The IRGC doesn't answer to the Foreign Ministry. It answers to Khamenei directly. And those don't seem to be aligned. When the military feels confident enough to publicly humiliate a sitting minister over a live radio channel, that's a signal that the diplomatic wing has lost control of the narrative entirely. The fact that nobody can give a straight answer on whether the Strait's open or closed says more about the state of the Iranian government than any official statement could.
Mario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇮🇷 BREAKING: The IRGC Navy just called Iran's own Foreign Minister an "idiot" on open international maritime radio. "We will open it by the order of our leader, not by the tweets of some idiot." Iran's FM announced the Strait open. The IRGC announced it closed. The Iranian government is publicly contradicting itself @HormuzLetter

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Middle East Conflict Tracker
🚨 Ministry of Education issues decision permitting contracted employees to disclose educational certificates (primary and higher) obtained before and during contract period.
Middle East Conflict Tracker tweet media
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The Observer Lens
The Observer Lens@TheObserverLens·
JUST IN : 🇺🇸🇮🇷 JD Vance will lead the American delegation to Islamabad for talks with Iran. - ABC News
The Observer Lens tweet media
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The Observer Lens
The Observer Lens@TheObserverLens·
JUST IN : 🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Trump warns US will "knock out every single power plant and every single bridge in Iran" if they don't take the deal.
The Observer Lens tweet mediaThe Observer Lens tweet media
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@angus.tatchell.me
@angus.tatchell.me@angustatchell·
@Osint613 Bro can pls include a source ref just for once? Where can I read into this ? I follow you to save myself time to look this stuff up - this is just teasing at this point
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
Trump says Iran committed a “serious violation” of the ceasefire but insists a deal is still within reach: “It will happen, the nice way or the hard way.”
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Alan Eyre
Alan Eyre@AlanEyre1·
Agreed.
Sara Massoumi@SaraMassoumi

@HamidRezaAz The idea that Abbas Araghchi would make such a significant announcement without the green light from the military leadership is simply misguided. 💯

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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
I just woke up to this 😳 Should I laugh or head to a bunker?
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@angus.tatchell.me
@angus.tatchell.me@angustatchell·
@MarioNawfal See even in this video they clearly reference "the tweets of some idiot" as Trump's tweets
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@angus.tatchell.me@angustatchell·
@sunnyolive108 @MarioNawfal Deception yes. All sides play this game. Trump especially. On Mojtaba, I don't discount the possibility he's dead. But it may just be for the propaganda win of "replacing Khamenei w another Khamenei". Makes the regime look immovable. But if anyone runs the show, it's the IRGC.
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@angus.tatchell.me
@angus.tatchell.me@angustatchell·
@sunnyolive108 @MarioNawfal 2. Even a faction without the support of the armed forces has no chance of overturning the military command structure. And trying to make such a coup in this moment, while opening the strait, is quite an odd choice. Why would a rogue tweet be your attempt at a power grab?
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨🇮🇷 The confusion over Hormuz reveals something deeper: Iran has a power struggle in real time... The contradictions make sense when you understand who's speaking for Iran right now. Foreign Minister Araghchi, representing the elected government and the diplomatic track, said Friday the Strait was open. Earlier today the IRGC Navy said the opposite: closed until the U.S. lifts its blockade. Two Iranian institutions publicly contradicting each other within 24 hours. The deeper issue is that nobody is clearly in charge. Ali Khamenei was killed on day one. The clerics appointed his son Mojtaba, but he hasn't appeared in public since. It isn't even clear what role he plays in daily governance. The supreme leader who traditionally made final calls on national security is either unable or unwilling to resolve the split between his diplomats and his generals. The IRGC has always been the real power in Iran, with its own navy, ground forces, intelligence, and economic empire. With the traditional religious authority fractured, the Guards are increasingly making decisions that the Foreign Ministry then has to explain to the world. Monday's talks in Islamabad walk into this reality. Vance will be negotiating with representatives who may not speak for the people actually making military decisions. Agreements reached at the table could get contradicted by the IRGC before the delegation even lands back in Tehran. This is the hidden cost of decapitation strikes. The U.S. and Israel eliminated Iran's leadership hoping moderates would emerge. Instead, they created a vacuum where hardliners run operations while diplomats try to negotiate peace for a country that doesn't have one clear voice right now. Source: WSJ
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 How Hormuz went from "completely open" to "we'll destroy you" in 24 hours... -Friday morning: Iran's Foreign Minister declares the Strait "completely open" to all commercial vessels. -Friday, 1 hour later: Trump posts on Truth Social that Iran "has agreed to never close the Strait of Hormuz again." Shippers scramble. -Friday afternoon: Analysts at Kpler say Hormuz remains "effectively closed" despite the statements. -Friday evening: Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps contradicts its own foreign minister. Says ships can only pass with IRGC permission. State-linked media attacks the FM publicly. -Saturday morning: Iran's military spokesman says the Strait has "returned to its previous state." 20 ships lined up to cross turn back toward Oman. -Saturday afternoon: At least three Iranian attacks reported on commercial ships. One vessel fired on near Oman. Another struck by a projectile inside the Strait itself. -Saturday evening: IRGC declares the Strait closed until the U.S. lifts its blockade and warns it will "destroy" any vessel attempting to cross. The Strait clears out completely. Trump's response: "They can't blackmail us." The takeaway: Iran's diplomats and its military are running two different foreign policies. The IRGC just vetoed the foreign minister live in front of the entire world.

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@angus.tatchell.me
@angus.tatchell.me@angustatchell·
@sunnyolive108 @MarioNawfal Plus Ghalibaf then announcing the strait wasn't opened because of the US maximalist demands and ceasefire violations aligns with this series of events. So I'm not saying there's not a power struggle. There always is, in every power structure. But I don't see this as part of one
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