DataBob

@alexplitsas 'Cannot' and 'must' are easy to say, but hard to enforce. Nothing short of complete Iranian regime change and enforcement of restrictions on the new regime will work. That doesn't look likely, now that Trump is in TACO mode... he's tired of this war.... on to CUBA!!!!

However this ends, Iran nor any other nation cannot be permitted to control access or toll ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz. Freedom of navigation must be restored and maintained.

@denvercunning And wouldn't it be fantastic if the USS Gerald Ford - the nation's most advanced aircraft carrier - could carry and launch the most advanced fighter, the F-35C?????

IMPORTANT CLARIFICATION: This is indeed an extraordinary amount of firepower from the greatest navy in world history. HOWEVER, there are few US COMBAT TROOPS with this armada. Even once the USS Boxer MEU joins the Tripoli there will be fewer than 5,000 actual combat troops with these groups. Perhaps adequate (as predicted here and suggested by POTUS) for a COOPERATIVE removal of HEU and possibly take, but not easily hold for long, an island or marine facility, but little else. NO INVASION COMING, no matter how much the cheerleaders call for it. Trust Facts & Logic.

@RodDMartin The Navy couldn't manage the DDG(X) program worth a damn, so the solution is to build a bigger, slower target weighed down with gold-plating.... for $17B each.... more than a Ford-class carrier. I doubt one will ever be built, but the program will swallow billions.

OK, this is interesting. Let's stipulate everything in your tweet. A couple questions: 1. "Every one of these fractional IDs was created after polls closed..." If that is true, as you seem to have proved, how would a ballot have been created, marked and put in the ballot box? 2. Why? What would make someone run an attack like this - even if it managed to add ballots to the official count - on an obscure GOP primary in a random county in Texas? I completely agree that election security is critical to our democracy, and this seems to be a great catch. Hopefully this 'KnowInk' outfit will close this apparent weakness. Now I guess I need to read your paper.... thought I was done with this kind of stuff when I retired.

Texas voter IDs are integers. Whole numbers. No decimals, ever. The Bexar County primary poll book contained 4,110 IDs like this: 1,253,115,467.79993 That alone proves something fishy. But the math goes further — and it’s airtight. When those 4,110 records are sorted in order, the spacing between every consecutive pair is 22,084.82189 — the same non-integer value, repeating 4,109 times. That uniformity is already impossible by accident. Then: 90,746,533.16339 ÷ 22,084.82189 = 4,109.0000 The total span of the sequence, divided by the gap, returns a perfect integer with zero remainder. A randomly generated or accidentally corrupted sequence cannot do that. Only deliberate computation produces that result. Every one of these fractional IDs was created after polls closed — and we can prove it from the IDs themselves. The gap value of 22,084.82189 was derived from the alphabetical positions of specific voters within the completed check-in list. Those positions cannot be known until every voter has checked in and the full list is in hand. The fractional IDs could not have existed before the genuine list existed. They are timestamped by their own construction. The records were not random fabrications. Each was anchored to a real registered voter. 735 real people each had 5 or 6 synthetic duplicates generated in their name — up to 4,110 fraudulent ballot opportunities in a single county primary, executed by someone with back-end write access to the poll book system. The attack vector was an internet-accessible poll book platform reachable from anywhere in the world with a valid username and password. No VPN. No hardware credential. No cryptographic verification on the export that produces the official check-in record. The post-election export workflow contains no hash check and no independent audit mechanism. Anyone with valid credentials could alter the official record for any participating jurisdiction remotely, at any time. That access was used. The fractional ID components functioned as a precise machine-executable deletion key — invisible to poll workers under normal display settings, but recoverable by a single database query after the fact. The injection itself broke the chain of custody. The file was then replaced before formal examination could occur, compounding an evidentiary void that was already irreversible. Officials attributed the anomalies to an export error or electronic glitch. Neither explanation survives contact with the data. A glitch does not solve a two-equation integer system, sort 735 voters alphabetically, derive sequence endpoints from algebraic positions within that sort, and optimize its output for numerical elegance. Glitches do not have specifications. This one did. The fraud in this election is proven. The scale of its impact cannot be determined from any currently available record. An election whose outcome cannot be separated from an unknown quantity of fraudulent ballots cannot be legally certified The same platform operates across 29 states. The Bexar County file was caught only because it was captured during the active window before deletion. A more careful cleanup leaves nothing. The absence of detected anomalies in other jurisdictions is not evidence of integrity — it is evidence that no one was looking at the right moment. This is not a software reliability problem. Unreliable software fails randomly. This algorithm solved a two-equation integer system, sorted 735 names alphabetically, derived its sequence endpoints from algebraic positions within that sort, and deliberately discarded six real voter records in order to produce output whose internal quantities share a common factor of 15. That is a specification. Glitches do not optimize for numerical elegance. The conclusion is the same whether you approach it from this specific case or from my multi-state database analysis published in the Journal of Information Warfare earlier this week: electronic poll book and voter registration systems built on internet-accessible architectures with no cryptographic audit trail cannot be trusted. Not this platform. Not any platform built on the same design. Partial fixes and software patches do not solve the problem when the attack surface is the architecture itself. The only remedy that eliminates rather than mitigates the risk is full replacement — paper poll books, hand counts conducted publicly at the precinct, results posted before anything leaves the building. A paper system cannot be altered from a laptop at 11pm by someone with a stolen password. Peer-reviewed multi-state analysis: Journal of Information Warfare, 2026, 25.2 If you are in one of the 29 states, this concerns you.

@Bjorn_String @grok @ZarkFiles @DavidV727 What makes you think that an LLM which was trained on stolen books, documents and data would think that anything they wrote would be plagiarism?????

@grok @ZarkFiles @DavidV727 @grok That just sounds like a summary of his work. Plagiarize much? He asked if you agree with the rationale and the proposed remedy. Try again

NASAが出した、1880年からの世界の気温変化。めちゃくちゃ分かりやすい。

@Medellin_Topo @Mark_Penn Sure, there are differences between Afghans and Persians. I never disputed that. My point is that Iranian mullahs and ayatollahs are no more interested in monetary wealth than their Afghan counterparts.

@databob55 @Mark_Penn I'm surprised you didn't get my point. Re read.

More Schizophrenia No question that the Iran regime is fractured with a power struggle going on in the country but there are a lot of unknowns that could be going on: 1) President ultimately seems to believe the blockade can be just as effective as more military action and is acting accordingly. 2) Or this is just a courtesy delay for Pakistan and we are beefing up our military for next level of strikes. 3) Iran could be playing the US with the belief that fear of “midterms” and oil prices will let them win and they are consolidating power in the IRGC. 4) Or below the surface Iran could be in turmoil and further collapse is possible as factions battle each other with a public that hates them all. Ultimately the president made the decision to de-escalate direct combat and focus on economic strangling of the regime by $500 million a day and if the IRGC strikes out at American ships or soldiers, the US is positioned to inflict massive retaliation. Our military force grows stronger each day. Midterms. Midterms. Midterms. Never heard so much chatter about an election few vote in 6 months away. Don’t expect Dems (except Fetterman) to say “awesome” if the president pulls off a successful resolution here. Trump knows he can’t afford to lose and is threading a careful needle here to find a winning solution. He is the only President willing to abandon the failing policy of appeasement and take on the growing terrorist infrastructure sponsored by Iran. We need to give him the space and support to play this out and root for success not failure here. And continue to have compassion for the true resistance fighters in the Mideast — the young people of Iran who marched and protested only to be shot and executed even today by this evil regime that is unfit to govern any country. 8 women are slated to be executed shortly — don’t expect any campus uproar over them.

I don't disagree, but the time to set that up was long BEFORE launching an ill-prepared decapitation attack. There may be tribes or families who could put together an armed resistance, but outside Tehran and some other major cities, conservative Islam is the major force. Publicly trying to goad the Iranian Kurds to do the dirty work was really stupid, even for Trump. The Kurds have no interest in conquering Iran - they want nothing more than a homeland carved from bits of Iran, Iraq, Syria and Turkey. They've also been screwed over by the US, and Trump in particular. As for the 2A, if the gov't becomes tyrannical, a bunch of rednecks playing Meal Team 6 isn't going to change anything. And let's not forget that the purpose of a 'well-ordered militia' is to defend the gov't, not overthrow it.

@databob55 @Mark_Penn Blockade is good but we need to arm the opposition Iranian protesters. They need to fight for their country if they want a new regime. IRGC won’t be able to shoot fish in a barrel if the fish shoot back. Thank god we have the 2nd Amendment!!!

I checked the DHS org chart and it turns out that the reported 'DAS for Counterterrorism' is overstating her position by quite a bit. She's DAS in charge of an office called 'CT Policy' under an office called 'Counterterrorism, Threat Prevention, and Law Enforcement', which itself is part of 'Office of Strategy, Policy, & Plans'. That's far from being in charge of counterterrorism, which doesn't mean she's qualified for the position, but it's not as bad as it sounded at first.

@databob55 @allenanalysis I don’t ever recall meeting a 29 year old DAS. Some very young Congressional staffers get such posts at times, but she came from FEMA, and not even after serving as an office director or deputy office director.

Something is wrong at the Department of Homeland Security. Her name is Julia Varvaro. She is 29 years old. She is the Deputy Assistant Secretary for Counterterrorism at DHS. She holds a Top Secret clearance. She helps protect this country from terrorist attacks. She is now the subject of a formal complaint filed with the DHS Inspector General.🧵

@Medellin_Topo @Mark_Penn So where's the evidence that the mullahs and ayatollahs in Iran care about accumulating wealth or hyper-inflation? They sit in Qom, drink tea, read the Koran and revel in the knowledge that 92 million people are in their thrall. And don't care if a bunch of them die.

@databob55 @Mark_Penn No, I'm not. I'm saying Iranians do, and Afghans and Persians are very very different.

@Spartan31722559 @allenanalysis She's got plenty of academic qualifications - relevant degrees - but what's missing is any real-world experience. It's understandable that even a TS/SCI clearance background investigation would miss an anonymous dating site account, but hiring someone without any experience?

@databob55 @allenanalysis It's not lost we're just pointing out that a 29 year old prostitute is a senior leader in US counter terrorism. That's worse than her not having the academic qualifications for the job.

LOL - that happened between when I googled it a few minutes before tweeting about it and the time you tried it. I still had the page up in my browser (how'd we ever live without tabbed browsers?) so here's the text part: Julia Varvaro ’18TCB, ’20MPS, ’24DProf and the other members of her close-knit cohort in St. John’s University’s doctoral program in Homeland Security swore by a simple but deeply binding motto: “Stayin’ 11.” “Our motto meant that there were 11 of us left from the initial start of cohort three in 2020, and we said it often to encourage one another to keep going with the doctoral program,” explained Julia, became a triple alumna of the University when she graduated this year with a Doctor of Professional Studies degree from The Lesley H. and William L. Collins College of Professional Studies. “We were not able to meet each other that entire first year because of the COVID-19 pandemic, but we worked around that obstacle with group chats and Zoom sessions on our own to get to know each other,” Julia recalled. “We finally were all able to meet in August 2021 during the residency stage of the program—and now we have become friends rather than just peers.” Compared to her classmates, Julia was, at 24 years old, the youngest student and without any professional experience in the homeland security area when she joined the cohort. “All of the other students worked in the criminal justice or homeland security fields. Some of them were decorated veterans or experts in their respective specialties,” said Julia, who went straight into the doctoral program after earning a Bachelor of Science degree in Business from The Peter J. Tobin College of Business, with a minor in Arabic, and a Master of Professional Studies degree in Homeland Security and Criminal Justice Leadership. 📷 Julia found it to be a valuable learning experience to work alongside her peers who are very seasoned professionals. “I was able to listen to their advice and learn from their service, since I lacked their practical and tactical experience,” she said. “But they have also leaned on me for advice, as they have returned to school for the first time in years after a long career. By leveraging our strengths and weaknesses with each other, we grew extremely close.” Julia, who currently works as a Program Analyst for the Federal Emergency Management Agency,  traces her passion for homeland security to her father’s work as an officer with the New York City Police Department during the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks. “I remember that day very vividly. Thank God my father, Anthony Varvaro, was fine and was able to assist with the clean-up for years after the attack,” she said. “But it really impacted my dedication to counterterrorism and devotion to ensuring a brutal event like that never happens again.” “Education and communication will help us solve the root causes of terrorism. This is why I was motivated to learn Arabic, aside from my interest in that culture and that part of the world,” said Julia. She noted that her most significant deciding factor in choosing St. John’s was the University’s offering of Arabic. “I really wanted to learn Arabic, and the fact that St. John’s offered a minor in it absolutely sealed my interest in coming here.” “I was motivated to apply for a student internship with the United States Secret Service because my language skills from St. John’s gave me an advantage over those applicants who did not know an additional language, especially when it comes to studying counterterrorism,” Julia said. Her internship with the Secret Service, which took place in the agency’s Melville, NY, field office from August 2015 to September 2016, is a memorable highlight of her time at St. John’s. Noting one of the chief responsibilities of the Secret Service deals with financial crimes that include counterfeiting, Julia said most of her daily responsibilities involved categorizing counterfeit dollars and uploading the data into a secure database. “I basically became a counterfeit detection expert—which was very cool in and of itself,” she said. In addition, since her internship occurred during the 2015–16 presidential election campaign, she had the opportunity to attend rallies by former President Donald Trump. “In those massive arenas filled with people, I was able to witness and learn how meticulous the communication is and how the Secret Service works with the local police departments to plan for contingencies and handle a large-sized crowd. Going behind the scenes and then watching the rally and the closing protection procedures were eye-opening experiences,” recalled Julia. “That internship solidified my passion for security procedures and the intelligence reports that are necessary to coordinate a high-profile event,” she added. “I enjoy working behind the scenes, where people may not realize the amount of effort that is necessary.” While earning her master’s and doctoral degrees, Julia has worked for CCPS as a graduate assistant and doctoral fellow, and has been grateful for the opportunity to work with professors on academic research. These days, she is teaching an undergraduate course in Homeland Security, Introduction to Intelligence, at CCPS. In her academic pursuits, Julia has aimed to address issues such as national security, social justice, cyber warfare, and police activities, according to Julia’s mentor, Antoinette Collarini-Schlossberg, Ph.D., Chair and Associate Professor of the Division of Criminal Justice, Legal Studies, and Homeland Security. At one point, Julia collaborated closely with Dr. Collarini-Schlossberg to work with faculty members to submit brief outlines of their lesson plans that addressed police community relations, training programs, and civil rights. She used the outlines to develop a comprehensive survey that evaluated the professors’ opinions on incorporating these topics within their course work. She then analyzed the results and wrote a report that included the professors’ written objectives, as well as results from the survey and key recommendations. “The survey proved to be especially successful and garnered extensive support from the faculty, confirming that a majority of professors agreed that the implementation of these topics positively impacted students,” said Dr. Collarini-Schlossberg. “Julia’s commitment to contribute to the evolving educational practices that significantly impact students and their critical thinking and analysis skills has made her a very valuable asset to the College,” the associate professor added. Julia stressed the importance of students establishing working relationships with their professors as they strive to accomplish their academic and career goals. “The professors want to see you achieve and could be your strongest advocates when networking and applying for jobs. They are experts in their fields, have endless connections, and are usually more than happy to recommend an excellent student.” “If you work hard, put yourself out there, and are open to opportunities,” she added, “you will succeed.”

@databob55 @allenanalysis That page is now a 404

@Mark4XX Ummm.... 'hundreds of troops' is a 'full ground invasion'? Seems this already happened - remember that 'pilot rescue' near Isfahan? 2 burned out C-130s, 4 or 6 MH-6 spec ops Little Birds? 200 spec ops troops? How'd that work out?

NAVY COMMANDER ACCIDENTALLY EXPOSES PENTAGON'S IRAN INVASION PLANS** Former US Navy Commander Tom Sauer accidentally revealed the Pentagon's ground invasion plans. Washington is actively preparing to send hundreds of troops straight into the Iranian mountains to physically dig out the nuclear material. THE BOMBSHELL REVELATION ➡️ Former US Navy Commander Tom Sauer accidentally spilled the details on live television. ➡️ He confirmed Washington is actively preparing a high-risk ground operation deep inside Iran. THE TERRIFYING PLAN ➡️ Hundreds of troops are set to enter the rugged Iranian mountains. ➡️ Their mission is crystal clear: physically dig out and remove the nuclear material. THE ESCALATION RISK ➡️ This goes far beyond airstrikes into full ground invasion territory. ➡️ Sauer’s words paint a picture of an extreme but very real military option now on the table. THE BOTTOM LINE Tom Sauer just confirmed what many feared most: the Pentagon is gearing up to send American troops into hostile Iranian terrain for a dangerous nuclear extraction mission. This changes the entire game. #IranInvasion #NukeExtraction #TomSauer #PentagonPlans #GroundTroopsIran #MountainRaid #NuclearCrisis

@vadimmart_ @Electroversenet Yeah, I agree completely. Of course, you are totally ignorant of the fact that the reason the ozone layer is not getting worse is that the world acted decisively to ban the culprit - CFCs. So yes, smart people hope the same thing happens with regards climate change.

@Electroversenet Would be funny if "global warming" is somewhere close to "ozone hole crisis" 🤔

35 years ago, the New York Times warned of "a gaping hole" in the ozone layer, a potential "global crisis," they said. But looking at the latest data, the ozone hole today is the same size it was in the early 1990s and has been fluctuating within the same 20 to 30 million km2 band all that time. The only thing that changed was the media's coverage. It dropped the ozone scare and moved on to "climate doom" instead. Different crisis. Same playbook.

@Pro__Trading A popular refrain from the holier-and-mightier-than-thou crowd, frequently heard during recent US 'special military operations', including: - Vietnam - Lebanon - Iraq II - Afghanistan War is not won by the side dropping the most bombs or having the most soldiers.

We need to find a way to regain leverage in these negotiations. We are the most powerful military in the world. A country of sandle-wearing goat herders shouldn't be dictating terms to us.

@DanLamothe I would expect that safe ship travel lanes could be established very quickly. There are ships traveling along Iran-designated lanes now. The mines would likely be on the Oman side of the strait, to channel traffic near Iran.

A senior Pentagon official shared the estimate, which has not been previously reported, during a classified briefing Tuesday for members of the House Armed Services Committee, officials said. The timeline was met with frustration by Democrats and Republicans alike.

EXCLUSIVE: It could take six months to fully clear the Strait of Hormuz of mines deployed by the Iranian military, and any such operation is unlikely to be carried out until the U.S. war with Iran ends, the Pentagon has informed Congress — an assessment that means the conflict’s economic impact could extend late into this year or beyond.

@Medellin_Topo @Mark_Penn You're making the fundamental mistake in believing the Iranian regime cares about 'hyper-inflation'. Just look next door in Afghanistan where the mullahs are deliriously happy to rule over a shit-hole country - it's the Gulf Arabs who care about ostentatious wealth.

@databob55 @Mark_Penn Fanciful? Their central bank has issued a 1m Rial note Hyperinflation incoming

'Communist' is a buzz-word, and calling China communist does a disservice to real communism... but the term has stuck. I have no doubt that the 21st century belongs to China (at least till the ASI takes over), especially because they are far too smart to squander their advantage, blood and treasure in a direct military confrontation with the US. At this point China is keeping track of us missile and other munition expenditures and likely designing ways to slow down our emergency procurement of replacements. There are so many ways Trump's folly in Iran weaken the US it's hard to keep track of them all... Trump acts like he's going to divide up the world with Vlad and Xi, but has no idea how weak and stupid he is.

@databob55 @TrentTelenko Totally agree...they would screw the pooch otherwise. There is too much business to lose from the rest of the world and mass unemployment is a no-no in a communist country.

There are strategic reasons Pres. Trump isn't interested in reopening the Strait of Hormoz. Forcing China to burn down it's strategic energy reserves before a war with Taiwan is one of them. It forces a dilemma on China of spending money on replacing the oil 1/2

The problem is that you are wrong. The president, as National Command Authority, has the sole legal right to order a nuclear strike. The code to authenticate his identity is on the 'biscuit' - the card the president carries at all times. The pre-planned attack profiles are contained in the 'Black Book' carried in the 'football' briefcase that always closely follows the president. When the president identifies himself with the codes on the 'biscuit' and orders a strike from the 'Black Book', it is a legal order and NOBODY has the legal right to countermand the order. So at that point we would be at the mercy of someone in the military chain of command risking a charge of treason to stop the attack. All of this is a relic of the Cold War, when there would have been 15 minutes or less to launch a retaliatory strike before Soviet ICBMs could take out our missiles on the ground. So Dan Caine might have stared down Trump, or he might have physically restrained him when Trump tried to get to the Black Book.... but if he did anything like that he was putting his life on the line.

oh for fucks sake been 2 days of this shit Nobody is going to allow Dementia Donald Trump to order a nuclear strike on anybody....it is not how it works, at all Ok? can we just be clear about that? They will drag his ass out of the oval office in a straightjacket if he says "I want to nuke Tehran" it is not proportional, is against geneva conventions, it is a war crime to just be like i want to nuke somebody all you so called expert "academics" better read up on shit and stop this shit once and for all