Polykinder

$252,000 riding on whether a goalkeeper will score at this World Cup. No goalkeeper has ever scored at a World Cup. 92 years. 22 tournaments. Never. Polymarket puts it at 5% in 2026. $252,826 already in volume.

@nabi_sarvi Yeah, bro - that's a lesson that comes at a very high price

@polykinder when the thesis misses the pain hits fast but the survivors treat it as tuition on sizing

$1,580,000 gone in 90 minutes. $986K on Over 2.5 goals. $594K on Portugal to win. One match. Both wrong. Her bio literally says "Chief Losing Officer." She's not joking. I keep staring at this and wondering - what does losing $1.5M in a single game actually feel like?

@korenssss Yeah, bro - that's crazy

@polykinder It’s just crazy

@korenssss I've been following the weather forecast for a while now, thanks for the analysis - I need to take a closer look at these profiles

There are two traders inside this account - on the surface it's a metronome Underneath, the whole +$25,971 rides on a few tickets that look insane until they print 69.6% win rate across 788 predictions and +$25,971 total profit Profile: @michi1?via=pavlo-ys0z" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@michi1?via=pa… Edge ⮕ two modes - both-sides spread-capture on the liquid markets + naked directional when convicted Where the money came from: $26 ⮕ $2,062 - [Taipei 21°C, Mar 28] - Yes at 1.2¢ $2,082 ⮕ $3,115 -[ Shenzhen 32°C, Jun 7] - Yes at 44.4¢ $955 ⮕ $2,777 - [Shenzhen 31°C, Jun 11] - No at 34.3¢ & [Tokyo 20°C Jun 15] - YES at 0.1¢ ⮕ NO at 99.6¢ - net +$2 [Paris 12°C Jun 15] - YES at 0.1¢ ⮕ NO at 99.5¢ - net +$3 [Miami 82-83°F Jun 18] - YES at 0.1¢ ⮕ NO at 99.4¢ - net +$4 Up to dozens trades in one day, then days where a single bet is 95% of the profit Every city on the board - Taipei, Shenzhen, Tokyo, Shanghai, Seoul, Paris, London, NYC, Ankara 18 trading days in June, all 18 green One trader farms pennies. The other tradess four figures on a single degree Same account. Two completely different games Which one do you think pays the bills?

@GutsPoly Great research - I'm going to check out his profile now

200k on soccer in few days Athelstan joined Polymarket in 2026 and the account is only 12 days old. $583.7K PnL from 18 analyzed positions, 0.00% win rate, $381.7K still open. Volume is already $17.06M, but the sample is still thin. Main lane: sports. All time PNL now is 222k Cant tell about winrate cause of UI problems now Profile link below

@mmoyshaa Riki is already a legend in the world of sports predictions

I gave my parrot RIKI one job pick the winner of Czechia vs South Africa he chose Czechia so I just put $10 on it if this bird beats football analysts for an entire World Cup, we're witnessing history who wins tonight?

@DmitriyUngarov With discipline and hard work, you'll have 1,000 Smart Followers - good luck!

My Kaito card hit different: 9.9k bagholders 100 Smart degens I’m basically a bluechip micro cap at this point lmao Next stop: 1000 Smart Followers or I’m ngmi

@vaticSports Goals scored (including penalties) during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Goals scored by a goalkeeper from a penalty shootout do not count. Goals ruled as an own goal will not count

@polykinder I have the impression this market also involves goalies scoring during the penalties process? Either way though, it seems like something difficult to actually happen, 5% seems like fair pricing

$252,000 riding on whether a goalkeeper will score at this World Cup. No goalkeeper has ever scored at a World Cup. 92 years. 22 tournaments. Never. Polymarket puts it at 5% in 2026. $252,826 already in volume.

@Slalomprotocol I think a goal like that is possible in playoff games, especially in the final minutes, just like it happened in the Benfica - Real Madrid match

@polykinder nice bet, DIBU from Argentina will score a PK for sure if giving the chance against Jordan

@GoalKickProps Yeah bro, you're right

@polykinder that's what I just said

@GoalKickProps It's worth noting that there are 48 teams in this World Cup, and there will be far more matches than in that World Cup, so the probability of this event occurring increases

@polykinder Is it so high because there's 16 extra knockout stage matches? That's the only chance it'll happen, a team down a goal in knockouts

@Zch313131 Unfortunately, post-match penalty kicks do not count

@polykinder What about penalties shootout ?

@Mason_Krypt You can always bet a very small amount on an event

@polykinder I stopped betting, but this market is very tempting to start again.

@0xbobaaa It's impressive, the risk-reward ratio is just insane

paid 1c on a kuala lumpur temperature call $4,092 on that position right now 10 more open just like it. all at 100c $16,961 all-time. 8,421 predictions. closed tab is wall-to-wall green GFS and ECMWF update every 6h. polymarket prices lag behind. that window is the trade @TycheTerminal built the bot for it. city, temp range, SL/TP. dry run before you go live t.me/Tyche_Polymark…

@syanovee @Prophetzone Yeah, bro, it's already known, he's in the starting lineup for the match

@polykinder @Prophetzone he’ll definitely play!

You’re underestimating Croatia today England is the bigger name, but they still have too many problems and I don’t see a comfortable win here. Croatia +1.5 at 69c looks like the most interesting outcome. Keeping @Prophetzone open for news and lineup signals before kickoff, but my first read is Croatia spread.

@NeWry24 No risk, no Porsche )

@polykinder No risk no money)

@me_cool_off Warren Buffett - the greatest investor of our time

Warren Buffett gave this interview in 1985. $10,000 invested in Berkshire Hathaway in 1965 was already worth $1,000,000. Today, it's worth about $390,000,000. "The first rule of investing is don't lose money. The second rule is don't forget the first rule." Buffett didn't chase hot stocks or trends. He bought businesses he understood when they traded below their value. The rest of the time, he waited. "In the securities business, there are no called strikes. You can stand there for years until you get the pitch you want." Bookmark & watch the full conversation ↓

@me_cool_off Haha, of course not )

@polykinder does an own goal count?

@nofadsec bro, you can even win 100 with just 5 dollars

@polykinder I want to take this trade for a small amount.