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BTC Optioneer
10.6K posts

BTC Optioneer
@BTCoptioneer
Options trader turned #Bitcoin HODLer. I sell volatility and use premiums to stack sats and $MSTR shares.
Beigetreten Şubat 2025
241 Folgt2.4K Follower

@StrategyMaxi @chcbearsfan In that case we are looking at $5K MSTR
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Over a decade, $ASST will outperform $MSTR 1.5-2x because ASST has less convertible debt than MSTR.
BTC Optioneer@BTCoptioneer
2036 base case: BTC $600K $MSTR $2400 $ASST $300 Assumptions: -25% BTC CAGR -25% preferred demand CAGR
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@chcbearsfan @BTCoptioneer How much BTC $MSTR will hold? I'm sure it's way underestimated.
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@chcbearsfan Close enough! I am sure the price will fluctuate around that depending on what the sentiment is like. I would not be surprised to see $10000 MSTR and $1000 ASST if euphoria returns.
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@BTCoptioneer Same exact adjustments has ASST actually above your price. The modeler has them at ...
MSTR - $2100
ASST - $425
cebetracker.io/modeler/?co=AS…

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Super Saylor is taking all your Sats while you complain about gas prices online.
STRC.live@STRC_live
STRC just absorbed 100% of today's Bitcoin mining supply Every coin mined today — already bought 451 BTC STRC.live
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@NeilJacobs The 4-year cycle also predicts the end of the war soon
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@stats_feed 1 set to failure on all my exercises (Dorian Yates style).
High volume training is unnecessary and highly injurious.
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@Jaredrlynch Saylor's prediction is 29% ARR. I just reduced it by 4% to make it 25%.
As far as MSTR/ASST math goes, I just assumed they issue the same amount of prefs as last year and the demand goes up 25%/yr going forward.
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@Jaredrlynch $600K in 10 years seems like a reasonable price target considering BTC adoption is slowing and it will likely not surpass gold anytime soon. This is still a realistic projection if BTC continues being a niche financial asset.
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I'm not sure this makes sense.
Over the last 30 months Strategy has accumulated an average of 0.1% per month of the 21m future supply (1.2% annual run rate). They accomplished this largely with the help of STRC and the other Prefs.
If they just maintained this pace for the next 120 months they'll own nearly 16% (3.3m) of the network. Then reduce the float from lost coins and other factors for real world scarcity.
$600k??? Maybe I'm missing something.
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$BTC vs $IGV YTD 2026
BTC -24%
IGV -24%

Adam Argo@under_____taker
$BTC vs $IGV YTD 2026 BTC -19% IGV -24%
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@ArchLending The Sharpe ratio is misleading here. STRC needs a longer track record.
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A sharpe ratio of 3.88 separates $STRC from every other asset.
ETF inflows track sentiment and when Bitcoin rises, money flows in. When it falls, money flows out.
$STRC instead creates demand that doesn't require a rising price to function.
Income-seeking investors buy for yield. Strategy raises the capital and buys BTC to back it. And that loop runs on appetite for stable income, not on Bitcoin being up today.
Most assets compete on returns.
$STRC competes on a whole different variable.

Arch@ArchLending
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