Occam’s razor

@Shin01176 @WarMonitor3 The U.S. dropped more bombs on North Vietnam than were dropped in all of World War II….how did that turn out? You can win tactically, but still loose strategically which is what is currently happening.

@WarMonitor3 Easy way to help them make up their mind faster.

Reports suggest Trump is heavily pushing for a peace deal to be signed tomorrow but Iranian media is reporting there is still disagreements over certain bits of text which is leading them to suggest it may not happen tomorrow.

@Bob_Joober @WarMonitor3 Iran has the upper-hand from the strategic point of view, and both Russia and China benefit from ongoing confrontation.

@WarMonitor3 Iran will accept no deal unless Trump gives them everything they want at this point. They do not take him seriously. They don’t care about his threats. As it stands, Trump has lost this war.

@WarMonitor3 There will be no “peace deal” signed tomorrow, whether it’s Trump’s birthday or not. What is the U.S. getting out of it? What is Iran getting out of it? What would induce either to sign a deal if it weakens the strategically?

@WarMonitor3 Seems smart to me….what would you do if you were Iran? Game Theory always dictates that you see a problem from your opponent’s point of view, thus helping to reduce you being caught by surprise. What else would Iran do to strengthen its own position?

Iran has started to collapse underground tunnels and caches of enriched Uranium supplies with rigging other locations with explosives to make them harder to access in a peace deal intelligence sources have told CNN. Wow...

@ianbremmer How about a tax on wealthy individuals that take loans against their own stock positions, thus evading paying capital gains taxes?

elon being worth $1 trillion does not mean elon has $1 trillion in the bank. most of the people i see arguing for a 5% annual wealth tax appear to be willfully misunderstanding this.

@WarMonitor3 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

Trump says that a peace deal will be reached with Iran very soon signed in Europe.

@KellyScaletta It was the insignia adopted by the 3rd SS Panzer Division. It’s roots stretch farther back though to the 18th century. Its original meaning was courage and sacrifice, but has since gained notoriety as a Nazi symbol.

I had no idea this was a Nazi symbol. I don't spend a lot of time in that arena.

@WarMonitor3 How much of this is just to maintain the current forces and not a build-up? It takes several tons a day to just maintain the current forces deployed.

US airforce has continued its massive airlift of equipment and fighter aircraft to the Middle East over Europe today in light of the recent exchanges with Iran capacity keeps being built up...

@bravosresearch Only the Atlanta Fed GDPNow is anywhere close to this at 3.8%. Most economists have closer to 2.5% for Q2, and 1.7-3.8 for full year 2026. Your assumptions are on the very high end of GDP estimates. Not saying we can’t see 4%, but there are headwinds.

8/ To answer that, we need to look at the US economy. Today, US real GDP growth is still sitting around 2.7%, despite the recent war in the Middle East. And by the Federal Reserve’s own estimates, that number could actually jump to 4% in Q2 of 2026.

@WarMonitor3 My great-grandfather was English and emigrated to the U.S. I’m glad that no one here was saying that same thing when he moved here.

Britain has had enough of the endless mass migration and institutional bias, we are a very tolerant people but that has been exploited and taken advantage of for too long.

@KobeissiLetter …and millions into Trump’s trading accounts

BREAKING: The S&P 500 closes at its highest level on record and posts a 9-week win streak for the first time since 2023. This puts the S&P 500 up +20.1% since the March 30th low, adding +$11.4 TRILLION in market cap in 2 months.

@KobeissiLetter Gee, who didn’t see that coming?? One more “deal is about done” and trump will have a baker’s dozen.

BREAKING: President Trump's Situation Room meeting on a possible deal with Iran lasted for 2 hours, but did not end with a final decision on any new deal with Iran, per NYT. The Trump Administration believes it is "close" to an agreement but there are uncertainties including the unfreezing of Iranian funds.

@sentdefender 2). Meanwhile, half of Americans believe that aliens have visited the Earth. We certainly need to do better at teach teaching science and mathematics in this country.

@sentdefender The universe is 14.6 billion years old, humans have been around for 300,000 years (or 0.0021 the age of the Universe). There are an estimated 300 sextillion planets in the universe… the odds are almost exactly 0 that aliens have visited Earth since the dawn of man. 🙄

Just earlier, the White House posted a video showing “loading” mowed into crops in the same style as crop circles that are surrounded by discussions of alien involvement. Amidst recent releases by the Trump administration of files pertaining to unidentified anomalous phenomena, it’s possible that such releases are forthcoming.

@sentdefender By the time that would weave its way through Congress, and IF it actually did happen, it would only be worth $100.00 due to inflation. 😂

Senior officials at the White House have been pressed the U.S. Treasury Department’s Bureau of Engraving and Printing to design a $250 bill featuring the portrait of President Donald J. Trump, in what would be the first appearance of a living person on the U.S. Dollar since the Superintendent of the National Currency Bureau Spencer M. Clark placed his own face on a bill in 1866, four current and former employees have told The Washington Post. Starting last year, two political appointees at the Treasury Department - U.S. Treasurer Brandon Beach and his senior adviser, Mike Brown - repeatedly urged staff at the agency to prepare prototypes of the note, with Beach in August and September provided bureau staff with mock-up designs for the note, including one that shows President Trump’s face in the center of the $250 bill next to the signature of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The Director of the Printing Bureau, Patricia “Patty” Solimene, and other staff repeatedly explained to Beach and Brown that there were legal and procedural obstacles to producing the note and it would take years, requiring laws to be changed by Congress. Though the two political appointees were dismissive in response, and Solimene was abruptly reassigned from her post by Treasury management on April 27, 2026.

@sentdefender There is no deal…this is just a U.S. “wish list”. Think of it from a game theory point of view. What’s in it for the Iranians, especially when they hold the strategic advantage?

Additionally, per the report, the MOU will include a U.S. commitment to discuss sanctions relief for Iran and the unfreezing of Iranian assets. Reintroducing the flow of trade and humanitarian aid to Iran is also set to be discussed.

@EBWahlborg @MamulaGiorgi @GovPressOffice @GavinNewsom Trump himself said he loves the poorly educated. Why? They are easily manipulated and prone to gaslighting.

@MamulaGiorgi @GovPressOffice @GavinNewsom 26% of the felony defendants already had criminal records before Jan 6th. 100% are complete losers. Lots of pedophiles and spouse/partner abusers. Trump's kind of people!

BREAKING: California will impose a 100% tax on payments distributed from Trump’s Jan. 6th “slush fund.”

@MamulaGiorgi @GovPressOffice @GavinNewsom Here’s your free legal education. 18 U.S. Code 2384 (seditious conspiracy) makes it a crime for two or more people to conspire to overthrow or oppose the U.S. government by force, or to prevent the execution of federal laws. You’re on the wrong side of both history and the law.

@GovPressOffice @GavinNewsom Gavin, as a January 6th defendant I want to personally thank you for this announcement. Please sign it. I will move to California tomorrow, collect my federal settlement, and the moment your state confiscates a single dollar of federal compensation I will own the most constitutionally airtight lawsuit against California since the Civil Rights era. You just offered me a billion dollar gift wrapped in your own ignorance. Here’s your free legal education: A state cannot use its tax code to nullify a federal program. That’s not an opinion, that’s the Supremacy Clause — Article VI of the Constitution you swore to uphold. A 100% ‘tax’ that confiscates 100% of a specific federal payment is not a tax, it’s a penalty, and federal courts have reversed states for exactly this. You don’t get to disagree with a federal settlement and legislate it out of existence from Sacramento. The fund is open to every American regardless of politics. A Democrat targeted by a Republican administration can apply. A journalist whose records were seized can apply. You just announced you’d confiscate their compensation too. Congratulations on punishing your own constituents to score a tweet. This gets struck down day one on Supremacy Clause grounds, your AG knows it, your legal team knows it, and you know it. This is a press release disguised as governance — which at this point is the only thing you’re actually good at.

@WarMonitor3 That is just what the U.S. is wishing for, but not what Iran would actually agree to.

Leaked US-Iran Ceasefire Extension Deal: -Iran pledges to not pursue nuclear weapons. -US to consider sanctions relief and reconstruction pay. -Free passage through the Strait of Hormuz with no tolls. -60 day period to talk about nuclear weapons deal.

@gurgavin Trade the news, not the hype.

*IRAN TO OPEN HORMUZ 30 DAYS AFTER US DEAL TO END FIGHTING - NIKKEI *IRAN WOULD PROCEED WITH CLEARING MINES FROM THE STRAIT DURING A 30-DAY WINDOW FOLLOWING AN AGREEMENT - NIKKEI *CEASEFIRE AGREED ON BY THE U.S. AND IRAN IN EARLY APRIL WOULD BE EXTENDED FOR 60 DAYS - NIKKEI