Jake 🦈

@InadvrtntCanuck @LBknowsBall @grok @Polymarket Non American's can play the derby on @SX_Bet in USDC sx.bet/horse-racing/k…

@LBknowsBall @grok does @Polymarket have Commandment as the most likely Derby winner this weekend?

@Eltonma Do you mainly trade sports? How would you like to see a prediction market solve that

I have been playing on polymarket for almost 2 years. Today is the day I feel most angry about polymarket team. The ghost fill problem is getting much worse and those bastards are doing 50k resting orders both sides. I am getting 3% rewards on markets I suppose to get 50+%. The team said they would ban all those accounts but I think they are doing some lousy job. It is very easy to ban them. Just track big accounts like me or domah etc, check their backend you see failed transactions then you know which accounts are at fault. Check their ip and linked accounts and ban them all. It is easy. I was doing Amazon 20 years ago, Jeff Bezos know how to ban those Chinese cheaters. I don’t get it why poly is not doing things. The whole order book look like shit now. For 2 years I never requests anything from polymarket but I just think the did too bad this time the whole upgrade was not planned well. And as the #1 lp farmer by far. I suggest that poly should kinda compensate all lp farmer that are still doing lp after the upgrade till Monday’s permanent fix is deployed. (And I kinda skeptical if that upgrade really works) At least pay them a few times more based on their pro rata share of the rewards earned. And perhaps give me one polymarket necklace that identical to Paul Logan’s that sold to Pawn Star Rick’s at $30k (well this part is a joke but maybe Shayne should really consider it) This is so bad that even I as a lp farmer that keeps on farming for 650+ days thinking about quit farming. And it seems to me that if those bastards made like 100k accounts before Monday they might still can keep on doing that? I really hope the team can seriously address this issue. @shayne_coplan @_kanarazu_ @Polymarket @mustafap0ly

@SX_Bet has the derby sx.bet/horse-racing/k…

@sharp_fake @Kalshi sx.bet/horse-racing/k…

was just informed that @Kalshi will NOT have the Kentucky derby up. very sad. guys, don't give action to these greedy and archaic parimutuel books. there are plenty of real and reliable sportsbooks to bet the KY derby at. While not as good as a PM, they will suffice. sports411.ag & paradisewager.com are great choices!

Polymarket's 3% sports fee has made their prices uncompetitive overnight. I built an open-source aggregator that pulls orders from SX Bet + Poly, adjusts for fees & routes your fill to the best price. SX is cheaper on 80%+ moneyline and 1X2 markets. x.com/Declan_SX/stat…

@G9_Locks x.com/Jake_SX9/statu…

I have seen people trying to fade / bet against Sinner for a long time now and even fell victim to it myself. Example +4.5 games on Zverev and now a lot of public on Fils, its quiet evident to me now that he is unfadable. As good as Zverev and Fils are they both have been pretty uncompetitive vs Sinner, even Jodar who was blasting balls through altitude lost in straights, Joao Fonseca played incredible and lost in straights. I think people still weirdly underestimate Sinner which may sound crazy but this guy may not lose till US Open / or whenever Alcaraz can comeback, even so the pairs last meeting was close but still Sinner pulled away and was too good from the back of the court. We may be watching the man who finishes as the greatest to ever do it.

Just a reminder, after fee you win more on @SX_Bet then @Polymarket

@0xWeiler @Kalshi @Polymarket @trylimitless @predictdotfun @opinionlabsxyz @MessariCrypto Have you checked if Limitless, Predictdotfun and opinionlabs volume is real? Last time i looked Limitless had some funky stuff going on.

Prediction Market volume (last 4 weeks): 1. @Kalshi - $13.4B (52%) 2. @Polymarket - $8.5B (33%) 3. @trylimitless - $1.4B (5%) 4. @predictdotfun - $1.3B (5%) 5. @opinionlabsxyz - $636.2M (3%) Key observation: • Kalshi now owns the majority of prediction market volume. On a trailing 4-week basis, they've held >50% market share for all of April 2026, steadily eroding Polymarket's lead Other insights: • Limitless is making noise in the competitive 3rd place battle, as it processed $1.4B in the last 4 weeks. That's a 177% jump from $507M over the previous 4 weeks. • First time in 2026, Limitless has been in 3rd place 🥉 • April 20-26 set a new weekly volume high for volume at $7.1B

@GenaTheCroco @Polymarket Try SX Bet, on-chain sports prediction market but with no fees and no polygon issues

Polymarket should stop hiding fees. This is not just totally immoral and a despicable business practice but also illegal in most jurisdictions were you offer services. @Polymarket

@SmoothManSports have we considered that Sinner might just not lose until the US Open final when he plays Alcaraz?

No US based prediction markets* sx.bet/horse-racing/k…

@Foster @CSP_Trading Just got the Derby up on SX sx.bet/horse-racing/k…

@CSP_Trading Polymarket had a market on the Kentucky Derby this year too which has now since been removed after caving as well. Their market for last year's was pretty fun though so it's too bad they closed it

Novig was the sole 'prediction market' to buck the Derby people and put up a market, however at approximately noon central time they caved, rolled back all the trades, and deleted the market. There is no no prediction market offering derby markets

Sinner is so incredible. Jodar wins a set vs. every single player on tour not named Jannik with the way he played today. Won by 5 games vs. a guy who put up an 8.7 match score...

Seems like the Polymarket migration included some users moving over to @SX_Bet

🎾 Match Point #9 is LIVE on Supercast! The Ad(vantage) Side with @TidbitsTennis — we're breaking down our bets for Madrid Round 4 👀 Who are we backing? Tune in to find out 🎲🔥 🎧 Listen now on Supercast ⬇️mp9tennis.supercast.com

If you’re a serious MLB bettor, highly suggest getting on @SX_Bet

@JungleSmith1 Peer to peer exchange. Fully on chain, all bets in USDC

@Jake_SX9 Interesting stats! Is SK peer to peer or inhouse bookmaker?

You're not even ready for the MLB discussion. pmlinecheck.com