Robocop

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Robocop

Robocop

@Mag7Observatory

Beigetreten Ocak 2023
26 Folgt80 Follower
Marc
Marc@MarcRigiola·
@Kruker8 @Mag7Observatory @holdyourwinners The guy or troll is Alex Pitti he lives in his moms basement don’t pay attention to basement dwellers they have nothing better to do $PCT
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
NJ DEP isn’t budging $PCT according to some. PCT bringing every gun they can and even company letters aren’t helping. It’s been 7+ months FYI… don’t underestimate where stock goes as this will continue to drag and more sellers inevitably appear. Very swift under $1 a share
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@Kruker8 You seriously need to go do some work, call industry folks, consult reg, etc., and better understand your risk with this today. I’m assuming you’re retail and all-in like the rest $PCT good luck. There’s 0 urgency to buy this apart from a broad market high beta meme rally
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@holdyourwinners 100%. There’s blame shifting going on by $PCT and everyone knows it (apart from the bulls on Twitter). And they say holding back up to 30Mn lbs, what about the other 80Mn in Ironton that was supposed to be sold out by 2025 end??!!! So many red flags but that’s why the stock is $5
Robocop tweet media
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Mike
Mike@holdyourwinners·
@Mag7Observatory The NJDEP being important for a measly 10M in orders is the most bogus argument i've heard from $PCT bulls to date and is completely unserious if you are talking about a company that is supposed to be offloading a billion lbs a year. It means nothing as it relates to scale/profit
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@Hill_AndrewD @Kaizen_Investor $AEVA is superior in every way. And they’ll compete with $OUST applications (current) with their new product coming shortly. Oust growth can’t be underwritten with the current lidar dynamics in mind. AEVA will keep winning if you actually do the work on this…. >$50 by 2028
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Forbidden Donut
Forbidden Donut@Hill_AndrewD·
@Kaizen_Investor How is $OUST's technology superior to or different from $AEVA? Asking as an $AEVA shareholder
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KaizenInvestor
KaizenInvestor@Kaizen_Investor·
$OUST might be the safest high growth opportunity in the market right now. The SAFE LiDAR act makes sure you are buying a near monopoly in the US LiDAR market. My Price Target: $20.52 -> $73.78 (bull case) Here is my thesis: 1. The Silicon Economics Traditional lidar relies on analog architectures requiring highly complex manual calibration, meaning one unit of cost equals one unit of revenue. Ouster completely bypassed this by pioneering a fully digital architecture utilizing consumer-grade SPADs and VCSELs integrated into custom silicon. Because adding resolution simply requires printing denser arrays on silicon, their costs do not scale linearly with performance. This pure volume leverage drove Q4 gross profit margins to a staggering 60.23%. 2. Digital IP & Sensor Fusion Following mergers with Velodyne and Sense Photonics, Ouster consolidated the foundational IP of the sector, holding over 350 patents globally. Furthermore, their recent $35 million acquisition of StereoLabs integrates visual cameras and AI edge compute directly with their lidar. While competitors struggle to scale single sensors, Ouster is offering a plug-and-play multimodal Physical AI stack. 3. Financial Stability While the lidar sector is littered with bankruptcies—most notably Luminar's Chapter 11 filing in late 2025—Ouster boasts an incredibly fortified balance sheet. Cash & Equivalents: A massive liquidity position of approximately $211 million. Debt: Virtually zero, having successfully paid off its revolving credit facility. They are not desperate for cash. Yhey are playing the long game and consolidating while legacy competitors starve. 4. Quality of Revenue Ouster isn't sitting around waiting for passenger robotaxis. They target immediate ROI verticals like industrial automation, robotics, and smart infrastructure. Consistent Growth: They have achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 55.01% and shipped over 25,000 sensor units in 2025. Recurring Software: Their software-attached bookings, driven by the Gemini and BlueCity platforms, doubled in 2025. 5. Most importantly: Regulatory Tailwinds Chinese competitors like Hesai currently dominate global automotive volume. However, the U.S. SAFE LiDAR Act aims to systematically phase out foreign adversary lidar from domestic critical infrastructure and defense supply chains. This legislation creates an artificial, multi-billion-dollar market vacuum in the U.S., paving the way for Ouster to capture an estimated 35% U.S. market share in a neutral scenario. 6. Valuation disconnect I calculated 3 scenario's for Ouster, Inc. The main difference between the 3 scenario's is the FCF margin of Ouster, the U.S. TAM, and the amount of US market share they can capture. About 66% of the revenues of Ouster now come from the US. market. I project this to become around 80% when the LiDAR act starts. I only projected an estimate of the US market in my projections. I projected my FCF margins on other sectos that provide AI-hardware but in a more mature phase. In sectors with high competition the lowest FCF-margin I could find is 10%. If they become a real monoply the margin could be as high as 35%. But I don't expect this so, I took 28% in the bull case. $OUST now already has a market share of 14% in the US. Different outlets expect this to become between 30% and 40% after the act. I found some estimations on GlobeNewsWire for example on the estimation on the US LiDAR TAM. I used the minimum that I found as bear case, the max as bull case. I used a desired return of 10% and a terminal growth of 3%. Conclusion I think $OUST is a rare opportunity into a fast growing TAM. I think a worst-case scenario is already priced in and a bull case is certainly not impossible to reach. You need to have a bit of patience with them as the ACT will take some time to settle. But once they take control of the US market, the expansion can be violent. Note: this is not financial advice.
KaizenInvestor tweet media
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
I see the shitcos like $ENVX are also moving. Memes move in fashion
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
The $PCT permabulls are celebrating a mini pump that will be sold into after obliteration for months. Comical.
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@TQuestMind You’ve been drawing with crayons for years and none of your magic lines have held on $PCT. Now admitting it goes lower is a step in the right direction.
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TheQuestioningMind
TheQuestioningMind@TQuestMind·
$PCT I'm a bull on PCT but I do believe that a retrace to $4.50 would be a benefit to the long-term structure of the technical chart.
TheQuestioningMind tweet media
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@planert41 2030 and the $PCT bulls will still be buying the dip. They’ll say they’ve done their homework and don’t mind waiting. $DOW should take this private at $2 a share. They’d do it but Sylebra will die with the ship cause theirs too much baggage sadly
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
Millennial is dunking on all the $PCT permabulls. This is funny. Time to look in the mirror and cut the dying cat. Taylor should give this guy a job since he’s schooling him with actual analysis vs pumping
Wall Street Millennial@wallstreetmil

@FordWealth Is that how they generated $2.7 million of revenue in the quarter lol

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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@turtlespeed2020 You’re not allowed to say “shaking weak hands” when there’s a real reason for the $PCT price to be trading this low fundamentally and also you can’t say shaking weak hands when there’s stock is trading at multi year lows. This is basic trading rules you should know. Stop coping
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fred thomas
fred thomas@turtlespeed2020·
$PCT Expecting a bounce here. It was 5000 $6 August puts earlier, now its 5000 each $6 and $12 June calls.
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@Djibutir8mf It’s hard to watch stocks with no floor $PCT. At this point bears are trolling but wow are they making a statement.
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@Chrisander68681 @campbe14425505 @private_dataguy I don’t think so. I think he’s completely permabull and will buy all dips down to under $1 on $PCT. That’s what confuses me because I agree, he doesn’t seem like a “dumb retail” but people can be attached I’ve learned. Happens
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Chris anderson
Chris anderson@Chrisander68681·
@campbe14425505 @private_dataguy I imagine Stan is playing both directions given his prior comments on each person's responsibility for their own p/l and public facing exclusive bullish comments. Given the state of pcts balance sheet, it's tough seeing a financially savy person like him doing anything else.
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Stan
Stan@private_dataguy·
Loootta drama rama out there on $PCT - just bought some more.
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@StevenShadduck Swings need a narrative and I just don’t know a single one that can fix $PCT today with their current setup. Mean reversion trades can make a lot of money but not with this one today. I think it’s far too lotto type and fundamentally it looks horrible?
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Steve
Steve@StevenShadduck·
@Mag7Observatory Great question. It's just been such a tried and true swing vehicle, but all things do end. Maybe I should forget it exists
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Steve
Steve@StevenShadduck·
Sort of incredible how many people made $PCT their entire financial personality on here. It's a great swing trade vehicle, from both sides. MIGHT be just about ripe for a long swing again. Not rushing tho.
Steve tweet media
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@StevenShadduck Dan has no more capacity. And the actual sales part is pretty dire from what I hear. No customer can get close to comfortable with their current run rate and apparently they say they have lots of great updates to improve this. So why buy $PCT vs another meme that won’t ch.11?
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Steve
Steve@StevenShadduck·
@Mag7Observatory Don't disagree at all, but the Dan Gibson honeypot has never let them down when it gets bleak. Throw .5% position into a call spread and it runs you look good, if it zeros, well, you didn't lose much.
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@blulla1 @Djibutir8mf @_riskFULL Credible sources say but I can’t confirm so I won’t say it is a sure thing. But $PCT major backers are selling out and volume and price action does tell us this. It’s going to 0
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riskFULL ☣️
riskFULL ☣️@_riskFULL·
Circling back to $pct, regardless of what Q may be huge or any upcoming forecast he has made, if you purely look at the $pink ETF he probably has one of the best track records for trading the stock. You could probably use that as your only indicator and ignore company news.
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@blulla1 Michael Taylor is undoubtedly the worst part of finance. He’s made a killing pumping and dumping (trading) $PCT to ignorant retail. Idk when the ruse is done but I know a lot of people have caught on at this point.
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
Roth fireside chat literally gave shorts even more comfort to short $PCT. You could feel this company dragging in the mud. It gets more immobile by the day. Start ups are hard. This one is close to dying imo. I respect Dan Gibson for trying but there is 0 bull case here.
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Robocop
Robocop@Mag7Observatory·
@Djibutir8mf @_riskFULL And remember another promise by $PCT of a March 10Mn lb order. Where’s that? But the stock is also at $5 so the market agrees with the bears so at least there’s rationality in the share price. Bulls will keep dip buying and losing. Story as old as time. Probably a 0 mid term.
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Nazgûl’s Homie
Nazgûl’s Homie@Djibutir8mf·
@Mag7Observatory @_riskFULL Capitulated? They had the fattest pitch imaginable at Roth(their original sponsor) and whiffed hard. If you have nothing to say why show up? Down a casual 9%, looking forward to “you know Easter Basket grass can be recycled ♻️” PR. $pct
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