B🎅🏻d_Santy™️🤠
2.5K posts

B🎅🏻d_Santy™️🤠
@RA81516
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE - bad_Santy is planning his next department store heist and only draws chart squiggles for a hobby.
CA Beigetreten Mayıs 2009
183 Folgt290 Follower

@FusionptCapital Hi yo silver and his loyal companion VWAP

Brian Shannon, CMT@alphatrends
Gold futured $GC_F coming into important VWAP level of interest ~4585 $GLD
HT

@RA81516 I don't hate it, I doubt that triangle goes just bc distance on weekly (and I'd say new reality that Fed can't move even w say a Hasset plus we got Warsh) but also why I've avoided this upper end vol. Like one proper entry anything can happen.
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Further proof that 99.95% of people should not try to trade.

Arun S. Chopra CFA CMT🧐@FusionptCapital
This is the most normal thing I've seen in like 3 months.
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@RA81516 The ROC on that bullish percent has to be like top 2-3 ever. I swear it was 95 last I looked.
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@FusionptCapital gold stock internals as of yesterday, today should hit washout levels, time for a bounce now that all the metals permabulls are crying in their bear suds😇

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1 of 2 🧵Credit to @MarketMike who's video today made me look at $DXY market correlation over the longerterm. it really has channeled beautifully since the GFC lows. Coming off the low of the channel, just breaking that micro range now.
If history is any guide... (see next post)

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@Mr_Derivatives just chill and buy the dip, the fact that trump is destroying just in time global supply chains that have been built up in the last 45 years with his dummass tariffs, protectionism & mid east war is just a blip in the road, it;s the golden age.

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Survive.
Just survive.
Live to fight/see another day.
If you shorted, congrats. You win.
But for those majority who are net long, don’t die on the battlefield. Just stay alive long enough until the tides turn.
#kindasoundslikeamovie
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@traderhc Lots of potential pukers as corr is going to 1. Stocks bitcoin metals all part of the debasement mania, peaking as the $ was basing and climaxing with a spring the week of the gold top.


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The correlation data backs you up . $SPY/$GLD running at 444.74 right now vs the normal 0.10. They're moving together way more than people realize.
The war narrative gave gold a convenient story, but strip that away and it's been trading as a liquidity proxy the whole time. Bottomed with stocks in '22, rallied with the liquidity expansion, and now it's getting hit alongside everything else with F&G at 17 and $DXY squeezing at 99.89.
The tell is $SPY/$TLT correlation flipping to +0.55 . stocks and bonds selling together. That's not sector rotation, that's funds raising cash across the board. Gold just happened to be the most liquid thing they could dump fast.
Where I'd push back slightly: gold has a dual personality. Risk asset 90% of the time, genuine safe haven in the other 10% . but only when the crisis is specifically about fiat credibility. Margin calls don't care about narratives, they just need liquidity. And right now, that's what's driving everything.
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Gold down 2% on a day when Fear and Greed reads 18.
Let that register. The "safe haven" is getting liquidated during extreme fear.
That's not a risk-off move. That's a margin call.
$GLD selling while the dollar rips higher and oil squeezes tells you exactly one thing. Funds are raising cash. Not expressing a view. Meeting obligations.
Same fingerprint as the initial March 2020 crash phase. Correlations hit 1. Everything gets sold. Only the dollar and supply-constrained commodities survive.
I think $SPY loses 655 before this week is out. The forced selling doesn't stop at oversold readings. It stops when the margin calls are met.
Want the single best tell for when it's safe to buy the dip? Watch gold. When it starts going up on red days again, the liquidation phase is over. Until then, every bounce is a trap.
Is gold your canary too, or am I reading this wrong?
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@TechCharts At the top gold+silver etf’s were trading more $ than QQQ+SPY etf’s. There is a lot of potential supply.
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@GuntherEagleman We should have masked guys with guns at polling places so we can be like daddy vladdy

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@RealJamesWoods Can’t get a job acting anymore so engagement farming for $ is your new gig🤣🤣🤣
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@bourscheid It turns out response to a first strike has always been our modus operandi. Threatening to annex countries in our hemisphere and imperialist first strikes not so much.
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#BREAKING: Senior White House staff are saying Trump is regretting the decision to strike Iran, having assumed being a wartime president would result in the same 80%+ approval ratings GWB received. Sending our troops to die for poll numbers. Unbelievable.
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@SubuTrade AAII survey says lots of bears while they have low historical cash levels. average poll is 300 bipolar geezers and being quoted by many as retail sentiment.
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