@the_smart_ape@Polymarket Check if makes sense in your setup: on mine, I realized that when a stop loss (say on down) the opposite side (up) would win 80% of the time, and 100% when opposite was over 75c. I implemented a counter trade that buys that at 75 triggered by stop loss.
After 115 winning trades in a row with my @Polymarket bot, I finally got my first loss.
116 trades total, 115 wins at +1.5%, 1 loss.
I honestly didn’t think it could happen, but every downside comes with an upside. Thanks to this loss, I realized I could integrate a stop-loss into the bot.
Instead of risking a full loss and losing 100% of the traded amount, I can now cap losses to 20–30% per trade. That’s a good improvement compared to the current setup.
Current PnL:
> 115 wins at 1.5% → +170%
> 1 loss → -100%, but from now on each loss should be limited to -20–30% max
A lot of people say that since Polymarket added fees to the 15-minute markets, targeting 1.5% doesn’t make sense anymore.
I won’t go into details, but my implementation avoids paying those fees, and actually earns more now because I receive them instead.
For the few who already have the bot, I’ll push the stop-loss update later today.
If you’re interested in the bot or the logic, feel free to DM me. I don’t want to share it publicly for now to avoid losing the edge.
@goncy@bautiliendoo@ataschz@goncy en el de suscripciones vas sobre webhooks? me estoy volviendo loco con capturar bien cuando el webhook es de un nuevo pago de una susc, todos vienen como "type": "subscription_preapproval" (fallo por pago y pago autorizado por ejemplo, me llegan con la misma data 😔)
Un día mas construyendo un B2B SaaS:
1) Cliente coloca tarjeta de Mercado Pago en Stripe y se cobra el primer mes ✅
2) Siguiente mes, falla el cobro. Imposible cobrar ❌
Quiero evitar a toda costa tener que abrir una SAS e integrar Mercado Pago para pagos locales :/
@bautiliendoo@ataschz@goncy si mal no recuerdo lo que hizo goncy era para un marketplace que cobraba como una comision de un pago puntual. Me ayudo al ppio con suscripciones pero para manejar susc es diferente.
hey random Q, how did you come up with the idea for lifetimely?
=====
it was 2017 and I was marketing + ecom manager at the largest online watch retailer in nordics. naturally running on Magento 1.8!
we were the biggest Garmin seller around
i was trying to figure out how much we can afford to spend in cac for Garmin products, as electronics margins are not great
we spent the whole first order margin on acquisition so i needed the figure out how many were returning
there were some software already around like RJmetrics but all too expensive to get approved by the owner/CEO who was about to sell the company (i was not aware of the process)
so i started learning R and hooked up to our Magento's API. then built cohort analysis for the data based on online tutorials and stackoverflow copypasta
i learned that certain watch models on first order baskets had much higher repeat rates
why: the bands were breaking up after heavy use and we were the only place who stocked accessory bands in the nordics 😂 (at the time)
it was obvious that i was not the only in need for those reports
i liquidated 30K worth of shopify stock i had accumulated by buying shopify early in 2015-2016. I got mvp done with a freelancer with that money, got it to 2K MRR and then posted to the indiehackers forum to find a technical cofounder as the thing was not working (brands like olaplex were using it but the reports were note even loading).
a senior dev manager at **** in US who had gone through an IPO as an early employee (and then the company had gotten acquired by *****) wanted to join me as he was bored at his day job
we splitted the company after a successful rewrite and went full time at $15K MRR just before covid hit.
we got lucky as there was one very good analytics app called "Compass" in the appstore but it got acquired by Sage and then shut down
we took off when we passed Order Metrics as no. 1 for the keyword "profit"
then the word got out in ECF and the ball started rolling and merchants started pouring over exactly like every naive first-time founder dreams hitting PMF feels like: you just build and they will come
but our momentum then was killed by bunch of sad stuff in our personal lives + a failed acquisition by a large strategic who was drunk of Vision fund money. they dragged us through a 6+ month acquisition process which was called off 4 days before the signing was supposed to happen.
(fun fact: we met first time with my cofounder in IRL after 2.5 years of working together, a day before meeting the strategic who wanted to acquire us. "remote doesn't work")
the failed acquisition process totally killed any progress and our spirits
simultaneously we got outrun and especially outmarketed my triplewhale. we were not willing to raise any funding while they did the right thing by raising from every influencer in D2Ctwit and giving an "advisor" role for every agency owner with any meaningful influence in the scene.
i knew influencers were important, so I had sent a dm to @drewsanocki early on in lifetimely's journey if he would like partner with me. But that was so early that he would've been an idiot to join me. right ridea, bad execution!
....back to the story....
after the failed acquisition attempts, i was burned out and although we were (too) profitable, the way my taxation works getting liquid out of dividends would've not been possible.
panic started kicking in
after a couple of extra attempts, we got referred to patrick & cameron by the ex-woocommerce founder Adii. after the initial call, we flew to singapore to meet them. they knew what they were doing, were great people and had the $$$ to make a fair deal. would do another deal with them any day and they've kept what they told us and more!
turns out the business and app was actually good, i was just too poor and burned out by the stress to keep owning it
i hit my number before turning 30 which was my target. bought an old 70s townhouse, a russian tincan boat and a bore-scored 996 porsche with my new found money
then my cofounder came to me with an idea. but it required immediate execution
and here i am building a cheap ai helpdesk called commslayer. same lifetimely users have started to find it which feels good but it's a complex app with complex problems that come with it
raising money would sure help, but the way we want to build and price our apps is not possible if there are any outside pressure dictating what we do and how
that's the story. i sleep well now even though i'm doing all the mistakes again
here's a picture of my cofounder/cto, you can tell he has been working in the cybersecurity space:
@ferminrp@FrancoFantini@nicoharone@alecaserez Ahi preguntate cada cuanto deployas y que tan persistente necesitas que sea la variable.
Si es de un run a otro puede que no necesites la db
Pregunta para los gordos n8n de twitter @FrancoFantini@nicoharone@alecaserez . Como hacen para que un workflow guarde alguna variable de una corrida a la otra?
Voy con un ejemplo, quiero que me alerte si cambia la tasa de rendimiento de un protocolo. Corre y esta en 4.5%, vuelve a correr y esta en 5%. Donde alojan la 4.5 para comparar?
Pense en usar una base de datos en Notion o levantar un Cloudflare Worker con KV, pero quizás me estoy perdiendo algo.
Por los pedidos después del tweet con @ferminrp.
Te muestro cómo empezar con n8n en menos de 10 minutos.
(No necesitas pagar nada... o como mucho 5 USD).
🧵
The inevitable happened: a free user blew up our AI bill
We had alerting in place to monitor AI token usage. Still the whole budget was gone in 12 days. It was supposed to last 1.5 months.
Turns out a brand that had just blown up on TikTok had a bunch of autoresponders firing. Somehow our own helpdesk app ended up talking to itself.
…and they weren’t even using the AI agent
Every incoming message triggered an AI draft
Which triggered another message
Which triggered another draft
The loop was born.
And so was my lunch money gone
Should we start charging?
@levelsio@Wise I do this every month and does the conversion automatically. I think you just need to select SGD as source, then USD as currency you wanna pay in and that’s it
I will forever be confused why @Wise doesn't just auto convert money for me when I want to transfer money
Instead it wants to transfer the money from an external USD bank account in to send a payment (???)
No logic there and seems like some archaic feature they never fixed