TheMargin

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TheMargin

TheMargin

@margin___call

While you're refreshing CNBC, I'm already positioned. Breaking down Indian market moves, geopolitics, and macro with data — not feelings.

Beigetreten Mart 2026
15 Folgt56 Follower
Kapilan Thirumavalavan
Kapilan Thirumavalavan@kapil_thiru·
You are 100% right. I want to share my views and entertain myself in #fintwit... and i won't be defensive if i go wrong. And also if i was right i am not going to boast about it. Because no matter the outcome i am going to make money and get myself entertained by having conversations like this during weekends. Cheers mate!
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SURESH KUMAR 🇮🇳
SURESH KUMAR 🇮🇳@Suresh_kumar047·
If we get good news over the weekend, Monday should be normal. Otherwise, it could turn into another Black Monday. Let’s hope for the best. 😊
SURESH KUMAR 🇮🇳 tweet media
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
none of the 3 crash signals are flashing red yet. gold crash + oil spike + VIX pop = scary optics but the plumbing is intact. bookmark this and check back monday. what are you watching?
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
Signal 3: breadth. S&P broke the 200 day but check equal weight. if most stocks hold support while megacaps drag the index, that's rotation not capitulation. breadth actually held better than expected friday
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
Everyone's panicking about this market crash. Here are 3 signals that tell you if it's real or just noise
TheMargin tweet media
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
@pvsubramanyam @sanagg1 only index funds and no commodities access when gold just crashed 9%? who designed this platform lol
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Subramoney.com
Subramoney.com@pvsubramanyam·
@sanagg1 Not at all. Just 5 managers. Just index funds. FD not included. Foreign funds not available. Commodities not available
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Subramoney.com
Subramoney.com@pvsubramanyam·
The govt should create a product that remains as the 'Cover' like 401(k). If I move from Hdfc bank fd to shares of Hul, If I move from DSP Multi-Asset fund to Nippon Pharma fund I should not have to pay any Capital Gains Tax. Across fund houses, asset classes, time zones there should be no tax TILL I withdraw out of the 'Cover' The 12.5% cap gains should be levied ONLY when i withdraw from the 'Cover'
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Feel2Reels
Feel2Reels@balajilegacy·
@prakdadlani India right from beginning has BoP negative. We have to focus more on innovation , Exports. Till today we had mongerness on Software &neglected Mfr. Even today , we donot learn from China in their Holistic dev , they focussed more on Mfr. @PMOIndia
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Prakash Dadlani
Prakash Dadlani@prakdadlani·
Indian Rupee is falling fast. It will cross 94 soon. Here is the simple reason: - Oil price goes up - India buys oil from outside - We need more rupees to pay At the same time: - Exports are weak - We attract less dollars More dollars going out. Less coming in. That is why the rupee gets weaker. Great for exports. Not for imports. Bad for the country. What do you think? Where will rupee be next Friday?
Prakash Dadlani tweet media
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
@jfhksar88 when gold is $180 below its lower BB and RSI is cooked, somebody's getting margin called hard
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J. Fong
J. Fong@jfhksar88·
Gold’s daily close hit its lowest since January 8th, with its price $180 below its lower Bollinger band, the widest such disconnect on record. Daily RSI is at its lowest since early October 2023. The next level of interest is the $4380-4400 zone. One man's need for liquidity is another man's opportunity.
J. Fong tweet media
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
@BuffyLePup no yield on stablecoins is just banks protecting their deposits with extra steps lol
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Buffy | CB9 | UNSTABLED
What this means for #crypto (as of March 21, 2026) This breaks the main deadlock stalling the CLARITY Act (crypto market structure bill) in the Senate. Key points: - No passive yield on idle stablecoin holdings (e.g., no interest just for holding USDC/USDT — protects banks from deposit flight). - Allowed: Activity-based rewards/incentives (e.g., tied to transactions, usage, trading, or participation — good for crypto platforms and user adoption). - This compromise balances innovation and banking concerns. Impact on crypto: - Clears the biggest hurdle → higher chance CLARITY Act advances soon (possible Senate Banking markup in weeks). - Provides regulatory clarity on stablecoins → boosts confidence for trading, DeFi, payments, and U.S.-based issuers. - Positive market signal → could lift sentiment around stablecoins and broader ecosystem. - Not a total crypto win (no unrestricted yields), but a realistic middle ground with bipartisan/White House support. Caveats: - Still tentative — wording being vetted; could change slightly. - Bill not passed yet — other issues (e.g., DeFi rules, politics) remain. - Progress reported as "99% resolved" on yield in some updates. Overall: One of the best U.S. crypto regulatory developments in 2026 so far — moves toward clarity and adoption without fully threatening banks. Note: composed and formated with assistance from @grok because it is faster and efficient. Don’t like or hate AI, take it up with grok. Don’t white knight your opinion to me. Lastly, imo, slow progress in crypto bill is better atm because war, oil inflation and stagflation are bigger dogs that are still barking.
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Buffy | CB9 | UNSTABLED
BREAKING: Key U.S. senators have reached a tentative "agreement in principle" with the White House to resolve a long-standing clash between traditional banks and the cryptocurrency industry. This breakthrough centers on stablecoin yield/rewards — specifically, whether crypto exchanges and platforms should be allowed to pay interest or rewards (like annual percentage yield) to holders of stablecoins (dollar-pegged digital assets such as USDT or USDC). The dispute had stalled major cryptocurrency market structure legislation (often referred to as the CLARITY Act or similar bills) in the Senate Banking Committee since January 2026. Banks, represented by groups like the American Bankers Association, argued that allowing such yields could encourage customers to move deposits out of traditional bank accounts into crypto platforms, risking financial stability and deposit flight. The bipartisan deal was negotiated by: - Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) - Sen. Angela Alsobrooks (D-Md.) - White House officials (with involvement from the White House Crypto Council/advisers like Patrick Witt in related reporting) Sen. Alsobrooks stated in an interview: “Sen. Tillis and I do have an agreement in principle... We’ve come a long way. And I think what it will do is to allow us to protect innovation, but also gives us the opportunity to prevent widespread deposit flight.” Sen. Tillis described being “in a good place” with the tentative agreement but noted plans to vet it further with industry stakeholders. The compromise language aims to balance crypto innovation (allowing some forms of rewards or activity-based incentives) with banking sector protections (likely restricting or banning passive yield on idle stablecoin holdings to avoid competing directly with bank deposits). This tentative agreement is seen as a potential major step forward, which could unblock the broader crypto regulatory bill and allow it to advance in the Senate in the coming weeks. However, it remains tentative and subject to final industry review and possible adjustments. The article highlights this as a significant potential breakthrough after months of impasse, failed White House-mediated talks earlier in 2026, and public criticism (including from President Trump directed at banks for slowing progress on crypto legislation). A step in positive direction for $BTC and $ETH, followed by broader crypto market.
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Kapilan Thirumavalavan
Kapilan Thirumavalavan@kapil_thiru·
@Suresh_kumar047 Most probably this is the bottom. Last effort to force exit weaker bulls and smart money should start buying anytime now...
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
@SatifyLife exactly. energy credits are the fuse and oil above 100 is the match. just a matter of timing now
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Sat Living⚡️
Sat Living⚡️@SatifyLife·
@margin___call Yup. Looking to see leveraged energy and transport credits to blow out first, then contagion.
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
@growth_edge_ Trump hint at winding down Iran ops came after close. if oil drops below 100 on this, Monday gap up writes itself
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GrowthEdge
GrowthEdge@growth_edge_·
Volatile Friday ends in red. DOW -0.96% NASDAQ -1.88% Marines deployment news spooked markets Then Trump hints at winding down Iran ops This update came after market close. #Iran #Iranwar #stockmarket #nifty #crude
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
the key variable nobody watches: credit spreads. until HY blows out this is a correction not a crash. and HY is suspiciously tight right now
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
S&P broke the 200 day. Oil at 113. VIX at 28. Yields ripping. Max fear everywhere. Same crowd was calling SPX 6000 two months ago. Markets don't crash when everyone expects them to
TheMargin tweet media
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
@SatifyLife tension trade is the right call. oil at 113 is what collapses the HY-MOVE gap faster than anyone's pricing
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Sat Living⚡️
Sat Living⚡️@SatifyLife·
Right now HY spreads are still historically tight → so credit isn't confirming the MOVE panic yet. Bond vol is screaming structural risk while credit and equities are in denial. That's a tension trade, not a confirmed breakdown yet. MOVE tightens liquidity → VIX eventually follows → spreads widen → BTC gets hit last. Bitcoin sits downstream of all three. The sequence matters more than any single reading.
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TheMargin
TheMargin@margin___call·
@SStapczynski shale made the US the only major economy NOT paying a war premium on energy. that's the DXY story right there
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Stephen Stapczynski
Stephen Stapczynski@SStapczynski·
This chart shows how the US natural gas market is insulated from the conflict in the Middle East 🇺🇸👇 European gas prices surged to the highest since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022 Meanwhile, US prices steady due to abundance of supply (thanks to the shale revolution)
Stephen Stapczynski tweet media
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The Shallow State
The Shallow State@OurShallowState·
@SecScottBessent So, basically, remove sanctions on Russia, remove sanctions on Iranian oil, send 5000 troops into harm's way, ask Congress for another 200 billion, keep the same regime in place, and recover none of the 60% enriched uranium. Oh, and bomb a girl's school, killing 170. Nice job!
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Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
Iran is the head of the snake for global terrorism, and through President Trump’s Operation Epic Fury, we are winning this critical fight at an even faster pace than anticipated. In response to Iran’s terrorist attacks against global energy infrastructure, the Trump Administration will continue to deploy America’s economic and military might to maximize the flow of energy to the world, strengthen global supply, and seek to ensure market stability. Today, the Department of the Treasury is issuing a narrowly tailored, short-term authorization permitting the sale of Iranian oil currently stranded at sea. At present, sanctioned Iranian oil is being hoarded by China on the cheap. By temporarily unlocking this existing supply for the world, the United States will quickly bring approximately 140 million barrels of oil to global markets, expanding the amount of worldwide energy and helping to relieve the temporary pressures on supply caused by Iran. In essence, we will be using the Iranian barrels against Tehran to keep the price down as we continue Operation Epic Fury. This temporary, short-term authorization is strictly limited to oil that is already in transit and does not allow new purchases or production. Further, Iran will have difficulty accessing any revenue generated and the United States will continue to maintain maximum pressure on Iran and its ability to access the international financial system. So far, the Trump Administration has been working to bring around 440 million additional barrels of oil to the global market, undercutting Iran’s ability to leverage its disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump’s pro-energy agenda has driven U.S. oil and gas production to record levels, strengthening energy security and lowering fuel costs. Any short-term disruption now will ultimately translate into longer-term economic gains for Americans – because there is no prosperity without security.
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