philip de vries

814 posts

philip de vries

philip de vries

@pldevries2

Beigetreten Temmuz 2015
1.3K Folgt111 Follower
philip de vries
philip de vries@pldevries2·
@EnergzdEconomy No, it doesn't make sense. If you blockade the Strait of Hormuz, you will blow up the global economy and expand the conflict. As many scholars of IR and War had pointed out escalation is almost never a solution. Please do some homework.
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Ellen R. Wald Ph.D.🛢
Ellen R. Wald Ph.D.🛢@EnergzdEconomy·
It actually makes perfect sense. What makes no sense is why the US allowed Iran to continue to sell oil in contravention of sanctions throughout this war. This embargo/blockade should have been in place as soon as Iran fired on the first non-Iranian ship that attempted to cross
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone

SPAIN REJECTS HORMUZ BLOCKADE THREAT Margarita Robles said a proposed Strait of Hormuz blockade “makes no sense,” criticizing escalating tensions in the Iran conflict. She called the war “senseless” and warned it is pulling the world into a broader crisis. Spain has been among Europe’s strongest critics of the U.S.–Israeli campaign and has previously restricted military cooperation with the U.S. amid the conflict.

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Phillips P. OBrien
Phillips P. OBrien@PhillipsPOBrien·
If Hungary can free itself from the rule of a corrupt Russian agent, the USA can too.
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Robert A. Pape
Robert A. Pape@ProfessorPape·
The Iran ceasefire is being called a “pause.” It’s not. It’s a revelation: The U.S. used overwhelming force—and still could not control the outcome. That’s a structural shift in power.
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Clément Molin
Clément Molin@clement_molin·
Between Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka, I mapped 3 200 russian 🇷🇺 airstrikes in 3 months, including 1 400 new ones from july 11th to august 11th. Russian airforce is launching massive strikes at ukrainian 🇺🇦position, supporting a large offensive. 🧵THREAD🧵1/23 ⬇️
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philip de vries
philip de vries@pldevries2·
@CRUDEOIL231 What am I missing. Russia has been relentlessly attacking Ukraine & killing thousands of Ukrainians (& Russians) in an unprovoked war. Zelenskyy is attacking Russia's primary source of revenue and ability to wage war. Why would anyone want to restrain Zelenskyy????
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JH
JH@CRUDEOIL231·
I find it strange how Russia has faded from the spotlight. A friend of mine working as a shipping operator in Dubai just shared in our group chat that Ukraine is launching a massive barrage of missiles and drones into Russia. One of his vessels is currently in Novorossiysk, and the captain was shouting over the phone a missile just landed 200 meters away while drones were swarming overhead(today!). They were waiting at the anchorage, but they were just ordered to escape outside territorial waters immediately. Another friend at the Port of Ust-Luga complained yesterday he’s barely slept due to non-stop damage control over the past few days. Blood is flowing far from the Middle East, yet everyone is eerily quiet. There’s zero effort to restrain Zelenskyy, and not even a whisper of concern. In this context Ukraine could be functioning as a leverage for the EU. Perhaps even the EU wants to screw over both Putin and Trump at the same time. #oott #iran
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RS Archer
RS Archer@archer_rs·
Astonishing statement from General Carsten Breuer, chief of the German defence staff. "Germany no longer regards the USA as a reliable defence partner. We are assuming conflict with Russia in the next few years is inevitable, we are re-arming.
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philip de vries
philip de vries@pldevries2·
@EnergzdEconomy The US will be providing the Iranian government access to the global oil market at prevailing market prices and allowing Iran to receive much higher prices for their oil. This is a victory for cash strapped Iran.
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Ellen R. Wald Ph.D.🛢
Ellen R. Wald Ph.D.🛢@EnergzdEconomy·
“In essence, we will be using the Iranian barrels against the Iranians to keep the price down for the next 10 to 14 days as we continue this campaign.” Maybe. That’s one idea…. theguardian.com/us-news/2026/m…
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philip de vries
philip de vries@pldevries2·
@calvinfroedge US farmers typically over-apply fertilizer. Often their crops utilize only about half of the applied nitrogen. This leads to nutrient buildup in soil, greenhouse gas emissions, and water contamination. Good opportunity here for US farmers to become better farmers and save money.
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philip de vries
philip de vries@pldevries2·
@contang_o Keeping in mind that US & China are the only countries that have a large SPR relative to nat'l oil demand. Many refiners/countries risk being caught short of oil supply if Hormuz is closed for protracted period & will seek to expand domestic oil held in storage.
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philip de vries
philip de vries@pldevries2·
@CRUDEOIL231 Insurance companies likely to jack up rates for ships passing through Strait of Hormuz effectively blocking passage through the Strait.
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JH
JH@CRUDEOIL231·
Update: Hormuz traffic is slowing down. You’re looking at tankers over 75,000 DWT near the Strait—filtered specifically for Aframax and up. Case in point: the Indian crude tanker DESH ABHIMAAN (IMO: 9326809) was bound for Ras Tanura, but it just bailed at the entrance and turned around. Still expect a 100% physical blockade to be near impossible, but the threat alone is enough. Nobody wants to be the first target case. #oott #iran
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philip de vries
philip de vries@pldevries2·
$NFE New Fortress Energy Summary of Capstone analysis of $NFE that is making way around hedge funds ( & referenced by Bloomberg Law article). Personally think $NFE could/will do far better than what Capstone expects.
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philip de vries
philip de vries@pldevries2·
@CRUDEOIL231 I wouldn't bet on that. Rise in oil stocks on water is largely sanctioned barrels. They are not fungible with non-sanctioned barrels. Complex situation here that doesn't lend itself to GS's simplistic analysis. And there are good reasons to keep barrels on water at moment.
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philip de vries
philip de vries@pldevries2·
@VladislavHr @GoodHouseCap Not really. NFE needs proof of LNG supply to compete in March auction. NFE filing demonstrate availability of supply and prevents ANEEL from revoking license in interim due to abandonment.
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NaGloSS
NaGloSS@VladislavHr·
@pldevries2 @GoodHouseCap Well i think its a bit more complicated. Long story short : The tanker was for the commissioning phase of CELBA plant wich already departed . So before the licence they shall put the plant on full load . The TSG is corelated for the tender . They are just flexing 💪 around .
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GoodHouse
GoodHouse@GoodHouseCap·
Interesting timing on this $NFE article published earlier today by Bloomberg. Originally published in Portuguese. Trying to calm the market ahead of upcoming Brazil power auction? Still no word on a resolution since creditors forbearance period technically expired a week ago.
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GoodHouse
GoodHouse@GoodHouseCap·
@VladislavHr Yes. The engagement with ANP seems like strategic signaling to Brazilian stakeholders, complemented by the Energos Maria arrival, to say “we’re here, we’re viable, we’re ready to go” particularly as LRCAP approaches. It’s a power move (no pun intended)
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