Yo Shavit

We do not plan to make Mythos Preview generally available. Our goal is to deploy Mythos-class models safely at scale, but first we need safeguards that reliably block their most dangerous outputs. We’ll begin testing those safeguards with an upcoming Claude Opus model.

Something I've been thinking about - I am bullish on people (empowered by AI) increasing the visibility, legibility and accountability of their governments. Historically, it is the governments that act to make society legible (e.g. "Seeing like a state" is the common reference), but with AI, society can dramatically improve its ability to do this in reverse. Government accountability has not been constrained by access (the various branches of government publish an enormous amount of data), it has been constrained by intelligence - the ability to process a lot of raw data, combine it with domain expertise and derive insights. As an example, the 4000-page omnibus bill is "transparent" in principle and in a legal sense, but certainly not in a practical sense for most people. There's a lot more like it: laws, spending bills, federal budgets, freedom of information act responses, lobbying disclosures... Only a few highly trained professionals (investigative journalists) could historically process this information. This bottleneck might dissolve - not only are the professionals further empowered, but a lot more people can participate. Some examples to be precise: Detailed accounting of spending and budgets, diff tracking of legislation, individual voting trends w.r.t. stated positions or speeches, lobbying and influence (e.g. graph of lobbyist -> firm -> client -> legislator -> committee -> vote -> regulation), procurement and contracting, regulatory capture warning lights, judicial and legal patterns, campaign finance... Local governments might be even more interesting because the governed population is smaller so there is less national coverage: city council meetings, decisions around zoning, policing, schools, utilities... Certainly, the same tools can easily cut the other way and it's worth being very mindful of that, but I lean optimistic overall that added participation, transparency and accountability will improve democratic, free societies. (the quoted tweet is half-ish related, but inspired me to post some recent thoughts)

the private sector has been remaking its own versions of NIH, ARPA etc as these public science institutions have seen structural decline and defunding and it will be supercharged by the funding NPV of machine intelligence and its firepower at allocation decisions

Sacramento region should make these parts

This keeps coming up in AGI-pilled European circles, so worth saying clearly even if Yo wasn't fully serious: Unilateral control over ASML is a pipe dream. EUV is a joint civilizational achievement. The subcomponents are still being produced elsewhere, including California. No single country owns this machine, some just a bit more than others. Also easy to forget how long it takes for export controls to ripple through the supply chain. It worked for China because it started in 2019. This isn't a lever you pull for immediate effect. The current export control regime isn't based on owning a single chokepoint. Check how the Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR) actually works. The US claims jurisdiction over any foreign product that touched US technology anywhere in its supply chain. That's a legal and political instrument. The supply chain argument is secondary. This means what matters is bargaining power across the whole relationship, not who holds which node. And on that: as long as Europe remains strategically dependent on the US, eg for its own defense, its leverage on semiconductors (and much else) is limited.

apropos of "are we in the endgame", you know the endgame hasn't even gotten started because france still hasn't extended its nuclear umbrella to the netherlands to deter american attempts to commandeer ASML in exchange for sa part du cône de lumière

apropos of "are we in the endgame", you know the endgame hasn't even gotten started because france still hasn't extended its nuclear umbrella to the netherlands to deter american attempts to commandeer ASML in exchange for sa part du cône de lumière