
Jason 🇺🇸
3.8K posts

Jason 🇺🇸
@BasedEngineeer
A skeptical patriot in a sea of bots.




With just five days to go until the Virginia gerrymandering referendum, I've just run the same early vote model that I used in 2021, 2024, and 2025. The results give me an early vote electorate of: 🔴GOP: 35.99% 🔵Dems: 64.01% That's pretty much the ballgame right there. I'm sure "No" will do significantly better than Sears did last November, but national Republicans really just abandoned this fight before it even began. My gut tells me that the GOP is going to fall just short of what it really needed to get on both the persuasion and turnout fronts. I'm expecting "Yes" to win by about 3-7 points. The Supreme Court of Virginia should throw this entire case out because Democrats violated the state constitution and state law in order to even get this referendum on the ballot in the first place (to say nothing of the explicitly partisan language itself), but considering the court is filled with cowards, I'm not holding my breath that they'll do the right thing.

EMERSON: CA Governor (top 2 advance) 🟥 Steve Hilton: 17% (+4) 🟥 Chad Bianco: 14% (+3) 🟦 Tom Steyer: 14% (+4) 🟦 Xavier Becerra: 10% (+7) 🟦 Katie Porter: 10% (+2) 🟦 Matt Mahan: 5% (+2) 🟦 A. Villaraigosa: 3% (=) 🟦 Betty Yee: 1% 🟦 T. Thurmond: 1% ⬜ Not sure: 23% (+/- change vs 3-7/9) Emerson (A) | 4/14-15 | 1,000 LV emersoncollegepolling.com/california-202…

Experts estimate that the IRS stands to lose up to $479 billion over the next decade as immigrants face deportation and disengage from the formal economy. wapo.st/4tS90ss

Potential map of the south if the Supreme Court guts section 2 of the VRA Per NYT Current map: 🔴 Republicans: 65 🔵 Democrats: 24 Potential map: 🔴 Republicans: 77 (+12) 🔵 Democrats: 12 (-12)

There's no good civic argument for the electoral college. It was arguably necessary to ensure the ratification of the Constitution, but it's an anti-democratic device that gives some American citizens far more voting power than others, based purely on where they live.









The one debt you can’t ever pay off ? Your insurance premiums. You literally will pay an insurance premium monthly, till you die. But we don’t look at it like it’s a debt paid to an insurance company that will do all it possibly can never spend it on your care. We are working on a non -insurance solution. The day HSAs no longer require an insurance policy, it all will change. finance.yahoo.com/sectors/health…

The fact that I can leave the house and I'm not bombarded in every downtown area with America 250 celebration posters is very disheartening.

New PRRI data published today: Latter-day Saints, 2013 vs 2025. Republican (46→49) and conservative (58→61) both rose, pushing against some recent narratives. College grads increased (31→38). White declined (83→77), while Black rose (2→8), with modest Hispanic growth.

News - California Teachers Association endorses Tom Steyer for governor.

🚨 Virginia has joined the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. This brings America one step closer to a national popular vote for President.

🚨 Virginia has joined the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. This brings America one step closer to a national popular vote for President.


