search90D

Forget structural support, forget Fibonacci levels (regardless of the 0-1 value used), forget other good named support-levels: The market (or "someone") is going to test the 200-day moving average, and maybe lower! It is therefore not surprising that the recent downtrend stopped exactly at $65.4225 (Thu 19. Mar '26): That was SG’s knock-out level for 1 paper silver.

Last week, I raised the question of whether #silver could return to USD 40 following a technical break below USD 80. Since then, the dash for liquidity has weighed on recently popular trades, not least gold and silver. Earlier today, silver almost reached the 0.618 Fibonacci extension target at USD 60.80—a level that may offer initial support. Failing that, the 200-day moving average, currently at USD 57.61, looms as the next key downside level.

@KennyZufall @ItsTheEnforcer That's kind of strange! When I look at the WTI or Brent charts right now, the 50-day moving average (DMA50) or the 50-day exponential moving average (DEMA50) is well below the current price. Why don't you try refreshing the data?

@ItsTheEnforcer It’s not really dropping; people just quickly took profits on that initial surge. It’s currently holding support right at the 50 EMA. But crude oil is an extremely binary trade right now. The risk/reward here is a literal coinflip, and I'm not touching it

I feel like something funny is going on with crude oil prices... Why is the price suddenly dropping and there still isn't an obvious plan to reopen the strait? 🤔

Gemini 3 analyzed the following ( 👉key findings 👈): Strategic Conclusion While the pipeline is technically viable, it is strategically fragile. The "Chain" Effect: A pipeline is only as strong as its weakest link. Destroying one pump station ( 👉a 20-hectare target 👈) halts the flow of millions of barrels of oil for weeks or months. Repair Time: While a hole in a pipe can be patched in 48 hours, a destroyed custom-built 20,000 HP turbine in a 👉pump station takes 6 to 12 months to replace 👈. In the current 2026 conflict environment, such a pipeline would be considered a "static hostage"—a high-value target that the owner must defend at a cost far exceeding the value of the oil itself.

Netanyahu just proposed the most geopolitically explosive infrastructure project on earth. A pipeline from the Arabian Gulf straight to Israeli Mediterranean ports. Bypassing Hormuz. Bypassing Suez. Bypassing Iran entirely 🗺️ Here's the route: 🛢️ Source: Saudi/UAE terminals (Ras Tanura, Jubail) 🏜️ Transit: Across Saudi & Jordanian desert westward 🔀 Gateway: Eilat Israeli Red Sea port 🚢 Terminal: Ashkelon/Haifa Mediterranean loading for Europe The strategic logic: Land pipelines can't be mined. Land pipelines can't be targeted by fast boats. Land pipelines don't pay Suez Canal fees. Why now? Hormuz effectively dead ☠️ Ras Laffan offline 3-5 years 💥 Gulf monarchies furious at Iranian strikes on their infrastructure Quiet Israel-Gulf cooperation The obstacles are real: Arab public sentiment Pipelines are static targets (sabotage risk) Capital requirements, decades long commitment Saudi public alignment with Israel But here's what changed: Iran didn't just attack Israel. They attacked Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Oman. The enemy of my enemy just got a lot more persuasive. This is essentially a modern revival of the Tapline which ran from Saudi Arabia to Lebanon from 1950-1976. This time the destination is Israel. This time the Gulf states have been bombed by their own neighbour. The map is clean. The politics are messy. But the conversation is happening. 🌍🛢️ I break down exactly what this means for energy markets and geopolitics in my latest article. 📩 Link in my bio

@dgt10011 @davesob A MOVE reading above 100 indicates nervous traders; a MOVE reading above 150 indicates that the financial system is "straining" and that central bank intervention is becoming more likely. Compare March 2020 and March 2023.

@davesob The move index is more important than vix because it directly impacts collateral multipliers if these levels sustain

This is basically the worst thing that could have happened today Mondays going to be weird

For several decades, certain individuals have suppressed the price of silver. They won’t let that be taken away without a fight. The cartel (the West) has deep pockets and has often demonstrated what is possible in terms of sudden price drops—though these were always attributed to other factors so that the price manipulation wouldn’t be so obvious.

Given the recent events and potential for a deeper liquidity crisis,I’m ok with considering a spike low to $50 silver or some similar scenario (still not expecting it),but aside from that where do bears think silver is going? Lower? $40? If so then why not $32 or $28,perhaps back to live in the $16-$18 range for eternity? The larger bear thesis completely falls apart when thought about logically,the gold/silver ratio still has not taken out any of the major lows,the fundamentals haven’t changed,you could argue potential demand destruction but I would argue demand increases,until silver has it’s next big run up to $200-$500 the bull case for silver is still fully intact

It’s always hard to buy when the market is in turmoil. You rarely catch the absolute bottom. I also buy in small batches as the price dips toward support levels. I use this tactic—or strategy—more often with (paper) silver. Sometimes it’s wise to reallocate to a lower price point.

@marketplunger1 It's a pretty good idea to buy in at intervals and support along the way down. If you don't and you are wrong about it getting all the way down to whatever support you have chosen then you aren't in. The ride back up the next leg of this Gold bull will be very fast.

I'm seeing a lot of people calling the bottom in gold here given that it's "oversold" and the fundamentals haven't changed (if anything, probably strengthened). The market does not care and is probably smarter than you. No need to be a hero. Sit on your hands and wait.

@JooAndersonArau @StoicSilverBear Who is Stcio Sliver Baer? (@JooAndersonArau) Typo? Mirrored? Icon stolen?

The first mistake anyone could make is assuming the initial reactions to what could be a very long war will be the enduring trends. Yes, I am referring to #gold and #silver. Once they shake off the speculation over Fed interest rates, they should return to safe-haven status.

@HungNguyenTuan @MarioNawfal @IsraeliPM Bread, circuses, and forensic tasks.

@MarioNawfal @IsraeliPM i am unsure but is this something to point out, why need to lie?

🚨🇮🇱 Netanyahu’s office dropped a single photo this time as proof of life; no video, no frame-by-frame conspiracy fuel. Just one image… and suddenly the internet’s top forensic analysts have nothing to scream about. Source: @IsraeliPM

@alomino00 @DigitalerC Das ist die aktuelle Lage. Tankers (red) + Cargo (green) Projected Course 60 min.

@DigitalerC Ist gerade nicht viel los..

Die Straße von Hormuz ist ist jetzt offen, oder?

@SarbazRezvi A) Ask an AI of your choice about Havatzelat B + C) He's enjoying a cup of coffee right now (there are plenty of videos of him doing just that here, and without six fingers)

I am now almost confident that Iran has hit the place where high ranking Israeli authorities were located severely among them Netanyahu; Meaning that Iran has got information about his live location. The fact that Netanyahu is absent for last few days prove one of the following senarios: A) He is killed B) He is injured not able to show himself C) He has survived the deadly attack and now does not appear due to the fear of next attack.

Whether it’s a right-hand drive or a left-hand drive: if the woman were driving on a German highway, oncoming traffic would ALWAYS be on her left. Unless, of course, she were driving the wrong way (but that’s not really a possibility here). So something doesn’t add up here. Right-hand drive (RHD).

MissMeensy crashed her car live on stream seconds after looking away from the road on the German Autobahn

@DVSignals The chart only shows us the result of the tickers, the narratives, sentiment, parameters such as dollar strength, interest rate expectations, liquidity, etc.. It's very complex. So I can't simply answer with a yes or no.

$GOLD Too many people get married to a chart or a commodity. Don’t... Simple exercise: ask yourself this; if I were completely new to this chart, didn’t know the ticker, didn’t know the narrative, and only had a basic understanding of structure… would I buy this here, yes or no? That question alone filters out a lot of emotional nonsense.

Die Polen bedanken sich jetzt schon, weil die Deutschen Tank-Tourismus ausüben und natürlich mit einer ganzen Batterie von Reservekanistern anrollen. Ergebnis: 1) Tankstellen geschlossen (kein Kraftstoff mehr). 2)Fahrzeugtank abgabenfrei, zusätzlich Reservekanister 20 l zollfrei: Neue Aufgabe für Zolleintreiber?

@bozwy Keine Panik, die strategischen, deutschen Erdölreserven reichen etwa für 80 Tage. Bis dahin ist der Iran schon lange zurück in der Steinzeit. Besorgt euch lieber Lebensmittel, die könnt ihr essen, Benzin und Diesel nicht. Fahrt nach Möglichkeit zum tanken ins Ausland👍😁

🚨🚨🚨 NIEMAND WEISS, WIE BESCHISSEN DIE GLOBALE KRAFTSTOFFSITUATION AKTUELL WIRKLICH IST. – 🇻🇳 Vietnam hat die Menschen aufgefordert, VON ZU HAUSE AUS ZU ARBEITEN, weil ihnen der Kraftstoff ausgeht. – 🇧🇩 Bangladesch hat die Kraftstoff-RATIONIERUNG eingeführt – Limits, wie viel pro Fahrzeug getankt werden darf. – 🇮🇳 Benzinpreise explodieren in ganz Asien – Händler finden nicht einmal alternative Lieferungen. – ✈️ Tausende Flüge GESTRICHEN – Airlines leiten alles um, fliegen mit Extra-Kraftstoff und machen Notbetankungsstops. – ✈️ Mutterkonzern von British Airways um 6 % abgestürzt. EasyJet minus 4 %. Airlines überprüfen ALLE Wachstumspläne. – ✈️ US-Airlines haben vor JAHREN aufgehört, Kraftstoffkosten abzusichern – jetzt schlucken sie 120 Dollar pro Barrel pur . – 🇦🇺 Kraftstoffpreise steigen in ganz Australien, Asien und Europa – kein Ende in Sicht . – 🏭 UAE Ruwais-Raffinerie (922K bpd) – OFFLINE nach Drohnenangriff. – 🏭 Saudi-Arabiens größte Raffinerie – OFFLINE. – 🏭 Qatars wichtigste LNG-Anlage – GESCHLOSSEN. – 🚢 Straße von Hormus – nur eine Eskalation vom TOTALEN Verschluss entfernt. – 📊 JPMorgan: 4,7 MILLIONEN Barrel/Tag Verluste, wenn die Straße bis Tag 18 geschlossen wird. – 🌍 G7 hält morgen NOTFALLSITZUNG zur Freigabe von Ölreserven ab. – 🇫🇷 Frankreich bereitet Militärmission vor, nur um die Schifffahrtsrouten WIEDER ZU ÖFFNEN. Länder rationieren Kraftstoff. Airlines streichen Flüge. Ganze Volkswirtschaften fordern die Menschen auf, zu Hause zu bleiben. Und das ist erst Tag 11. Bereitet euch entsprechend vor. 🚨🚨🚨 Das wird vom Algorithmus unterdrückt. RT, bevor es verschwindet. 🔥

@gnoble79 Yikes. It's burning brightly. But we're not releasing the water to extinguish it, because what if an even bigger fire breaks out? 🤣

THE G7 IS ABOUT TO MAKE THE BIGGEST MISTAKE IN ENERGY MARKET HISTORY This morning, G7 finance ministers are holding an emergency call to discuss dumping 300-400 million barrels from strategic petroleum reserves onto the market. They think this will fix $108 oil. But it won't. Let me explain why: Let's do the math that nobody on CNBC will do for you. Global oil consumption runs approximately 103 million barrels per day. The Strait of Hormuz closure has removed somewhere between 4 and 6 million barrels per day from available supply. That's happening RIGHT NOW. Iraq has already cut 1.5 million barrels per day because it literally ran out of storage space. Kuwait is cutting production. Bahrain declared force majeure. So take 400 million barrels - the high end of what they're discussing - and divide it by the daily supply gap. You get roughly 67 to 100 days of coverage. Two to three months. That's it. That's the whole plan. And then what? You can't release reserves you've already released. The market figured this out in about 4 hours. Oil spiked over 20% overnight, the G7 leak hit the wires, and prices pulled back to... still up 12-15%. Traders looked at the arithmetic and said: "Thanks, but that doesn't solve anything." And they're right. Here's the part that should terrify you: The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve sits at roughly 411 million barrels. That sounds like a lot until you remember it held 727 million barrels at its peak. The previous administration drained 180 million barrels in 2022 to fight $90 oil. That release bought consumers about 18 cents per gallon of relief. THIS disruption is structurally larger, geographically more dangerous, and has no visible end date. In 2022, the threat was Russian supply being redirected. Tankers still moved. Alternatives existed. The Strait of Hormuz was wide open. Today, the world's most critical energy chokepoint is effectively closed. And that not by a naval blockade but by insurance companies refusing to cover ships transiting it. And the political situation just got worse, not better. The conditions for oil to return to pre-war levels require the Strait to reopen, Iraqi production to restore, and Gulf shipping insurance to normalize. NONE of those conditions are achievable through reserve releases. They require the conflict to end or dramatically de-escalate. Nothing happening right now suggests either outcome. For 45 years I've watched governments try to solve structural supply problems with temporary demand-side gimmicks. It never works. It didn't work in the 1970s when Nixon tried price controls. It didn't work in 2022 when Biden drained the SPR. And it won't work now. Strategic reserves exist for genuine emergencies. This IS a genuine emergency. But using 25-30% of the world's total strategic stockpile (roughly a third of the entire 1.2 billion barrel IEA reserve) when the underlying crisis has no resolution in sight isn't strategy... It's PANIC. The smart money isn't waiting for G7 announcements. They're looking at what happens in 90 days when the reserves are depleted, the Strait is still closed, and the new Supreme Leader is still in power: Energy stocks. Gold. Silver. Real assets that don't depend on politicians solving a military conflict with a spreadsheet. The G7 can release every barrel they have. It doesn't reopen the Strait of Hormuz. It doesn't bring stability to Iran. It doesn't fix a 4-6 million barrel per day supply gap that grows wider every week. Arithmetic doesn't care about press conferences. And neither should you.

Dont' forget the big picture! Washington, D.C. – On November 3, 2026, the United States will face one of the most important midterm elections in recent history. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and one-third of the seats in the Senate will be up for reelection – and for Donald Trump, 👉nothing less than the future of his political agenda is at stake.👈

@Search90D @KingKong9888 What midterms elections? 🤔

Spencer hit the nail on the head. One of the hardest things for an unelected regime is forcing its elderly leaders to step aside so younger ones can rise. By taking out the old guard (those men over 70), Trump essentially gifted the supreme leadership to the Ayatollah’s son. Cuba looks like the next obvious, low-hanging fruit for Trump. #Gold #Silver 🔥

@potassium_phd It's probably just a misunderstanding on my part.

@Search90D Not sure I follow

S&P500 Futures 🌈💀 — probably time to accept that there are no safe plays in equities any longer. Oil spiking was the final signal. The S&P500 roll-over will take everything down, but metals will bottom first and recover faster when the safe haven rotation catches on 🥇🥈 Hard tangible assets only 🫡

@notenyourlife @CryptoManPig @KingKong9888 Good luck hitting the low point.

@CryptoManPig @KingKong9888 That sounds like a GREAT buying opportunity.

Scenario 2 is in progress…

@potassium_phd Wasn't there something else that FIAT had done away with? And now this advice?

Might be time to liquidate all intangibles and withdraw everything. Front run the bank run.

@Djsheadt @DVSignals Funny! Did you read the CME announcement carefully? The reduction in margin requirements will only take effect AFTER CME closes today!

@DVSignals today at us open silver will rise due to margin decrease you will see

Meanwhile $SILVER..