Most people think prediction markets failed because they weren’t accurate enough.
That’s not the real problem.
The real problem is simple: probability doesn’t equal decision anywhere
So what happens when you build a system that rewards conviction while protecting the edge of those who actually know?
I broke it down here 👇
It is about:
• Why experts never show up in public markets
• Why alpha leaks the moment it’s visible
• And how encrypted compute changes the game entirely
If you care about where real signal comes from, you’ll want to read this.
Link: @0xNaxeer/prediction-markets-tell-you-what-will-happen-4df6ee9de79c" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">medium.com/@0xNaxeer/pred…
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