BlackPyramids

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BlackPyramids

BlackPyramids

@NewGenWC

NewGen Wealth Club

Se unió Eylül 2021
47 Siguiendo42 Seguidores
EndGame Macro
EndGame Macro@onechancefreedm·
A Rally With an Expiration Date Both versions of the chart…BTC vs USD and BTC vs EUR are telling the same story, which is what makes them useful. Bitcoin didn’t just lose momentum in dollar terms; it lost momentum in euro terms too. That takes the maybe it’s just currency noise argument off the table. You can see the pattern clearly: Bitcoin pushed into its highs, stalled out, and then rolled over while the longer term cycle curve (the pink line) already peaked and started bending down. That kind of timing mismatch, price still hanging near the top while the underlying cycle is already turning is usually how topping structures form. The momentum line at the bottom confirms it: strength has been leaking for months even while price was grinding near the highs. Big picture this doesn’t look like the beginning of something. It looks like the part of the cycle where the market exhales and starts handing the baton to the downside. The Near Term Window vs the Real Turn The tricky part is that the next few months still give Bitcoin some breathing room. The macro setup into December and early January is probably the softest backdrop we’ll get for a while and with two Fed cuts already behind us, QT ending on December 1, and year end flows pushing more cash back into the system. Funding feels easier, not harder. That’s exactly the kind of environment where Bitcoin can stabilize after a sharp drop and put together a bounce. And honestly, a bounce makes sense. Positioning got washed out, sentiment flipped fast, and the broader market still wants to believe in a constructive story into year end. You tend to get a reflex move in that kind of setup, a rally that feels strong, but doesn’t quite have the depth behind it to become a new trend. But once you get into Q1 and especially into Q2, the tone shifts. Treasury starts rebuilding the TGA, tax season drains liquidity, and issuance ramps back up. With the RRP pool basically gone, that tightening hits bank reserves directly. You don’t need a dramatic shock for risk appetite to fade, the plumbing just gets a little less forgiving. Layer on a softening labor market, some pressure on earnings, and credit spreads that stop tightening, and the market becomes a lot more sensitive to downside surprises. That’s usually when Bitcoin moves from buy the dip to sell the bounce. So the cleanest way to think about it is this: •Into year end and early January: Bitcoin likely finds support and bounces. It’s a decent window for relief. •Into Q1–Q2 2026: Liquidity turns down, not up. That’s when Bitcoin usually struggles. The chart’s longer cycle curve is already pointing that way. In other words the bounce is probably real, but it’s not the start of the next leg. It’s the last good breath before the harder part of the cycle shows up.
BraVoCycles Newsletter@BraVoCycles

Will Bitcoin bounce soon? Yes, within a few days (see my recent analysis). But don’t get too excited—it won’t last long, likely just a couple of months. The weekly chart’s longer cycles are pointing to a weak 2026. And this isn’t just in USD terms (the top), but also against other currencies, including the EUR (the bottom). Interested in my STOCK MARKET OUTLOOK? Grab my FREE eBook "1-Year US Stock Market Outlook.” Download 👇 …-newsletter-market-timing.beehiiv.com/c/1-year-us-st… -------------

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NRM84
NRM84@Mappy6984·
The moaning every 2 seconds is crazy work
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
The world's 10 wealthiest people have added a remarkable $523 billion to their fortunes this year, the per Bloomberg Billionaires Index
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Gary Cardone
Gary Cardone@GaryCardone·
What does the bitcoin community think of Charlie Kirk's assassination, as loud as the DAT industry is have Bitcoiners been outspoken about the guy who orange pilled the Trump admin and kept us out of at least one war? Has Bitcoin done enough around #CharlieKirk?
Gary Cardone tweet media
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Wealth Squad Chris
Wealth Squad Chris@Chrissssjohnson·
Daily spending 101 1. Buy everything with a credit card (not debit) You spend the banks money instead of your own, any issues they’ll take care of it asap 2. Use your money to pay the balance in full
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zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
*US MONEY-MARKET FUND ASSETS HIT RECORD $7.53 TRILLION AT ICI
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BlackPyramids
BlackPyramids@NewGenWC·
@SymoneBeez @IndianaTheGreat I’m glad I saw this. Went and checked my policy….8 year invested lost money. A little over 16k invested policy value 15.5k. I guess the death benefit is the only benefit to this IUL, it is supposed to be top notch. Might as well just get a regular term policy at this point
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Symoné B. Beez
Symoné B. Beez@SymoneBeez·
@IndianaTheGreat 24k invested over 5 years. Cash surrender value 17k. Policy value was 22k. Biggest bull run ever and it's lost money lol
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Symoné B. Beez
Symoné B. Beez@SymoneBeez·
Closed my IUL today, was wrong on that one as a good retirement investment vehicle. Once you realize you were wrong with an investment cut it for better ones.
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
I challenge @cz_binance to a debate: Bitcoin versus tokenized gold. Which best satisfies the conditions of money, which include being a medium of exchange, a unit of account, and a store of value? Who wants to moderate?
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Geometric Abstraction
Geometric Abstraction@Value_Theory·
@hillery_dan You should be mentally prepared for a reality where this time isn’t different, we just topped and now we’re getting a 70% drawdown bear market. That would bottom us out at ~$30k
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BlackPyramids
BlackPyramids@NewGenWC·
@scottmelker BTC/GLD structure broke already, not sure if structures really matter at this point. The market seems confused
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Karl
Karl@sovereignsats·
@JoeCarlasare @dotkrueger A gold correction brings down the rest of the stock market including Bitcoin?
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Josh Man
Josh Man@JoshMandell6·
Tomorrow I will be posting something important. Not sure what it will be but I post everyday and most of you will find at least one of the posts to be important. So, I just wanted to warn you. ' I will also be getting off a phone call at some point. And I might share with you a picture of something placed atop my laptop keyboard which really doesn't belong there.
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BlackPyramids
BlackPyramids@NewGenWC·
@AdamBLiv That’s assuming you’re only saving the 5%. I get the company match and buy IBIT and MSTR
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Adam Livingston
Adam Livingston@AdamBLiv·
People don’t like hearing this, but putting money your 401(k) just to get the employer match is stupid. Most people don’t realize their 401(k) “match” is just a leash. “Free money” sounds nice until you realize it’s denominated in melting ice cubes and you can’t touch it for 30 years. They’ll say: “But you get a 100% match!” Okay. Let me give you an example. Assumptions: Salary: $80,000/year You contribute 5% ($4,000), employer matches $4,000 → total $8,000/year Match stays in S&P 500 earning 12%/yr Bitcoin compounds at 30% CAGR 10 years of consistent contributions 📊 401(k) Path (Fiat Match Route) Each year you gain a 100% match on $4,000 → $8,000 invested That $8,000 compounds at 12%/yr After 10 years = ≈ $139,000 total Bitcoin Path (Freedom Route) Instead of 401(k), you just buy $8,000 of Bitcoin per year Bitcoin compounds at 30%/yr After 10 years = ≈ $442,000 total 🧠 Perspective 401(k) Match “Free Money” → $139K Bitcoin Self-Match → $442K That’s a $303,000 difference… and you still have full custody and liquidity. The “free match” isn’t free when it costs you a 3x opportunity loss. You’re locking your money into fiat prison to earn a small pat on the head, while Bitcoin redefines compounding itself. 401(k) = SCAM
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BlackPyramids
BlackPyramids@NewGenWC·
@lindsaystamp3 I literally was debating on this last night. I’ve come to the conclusion to do 5k cash, and a little BTC stash on exchange.I consider my job very secure tho so I believe it is case by case. In extreme cases, LOC on my exchange BTC
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Lindsay
Lindsay@lindsay__stamp·
Bitcoin twitter, what’s your take on fiat emergency funds?
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BlackPyramids
BlackPyramids@NewGenWC·
@benjamincowen Idk Ben I think these alt coins haven’t learned their lesson just yet. Let the market continue to put belt to ass! Send it lower!
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Benjamin Cowen
Benjamin Cowen@benjamincowen·
Ethereum has now dropped 30% and is at its bull market support band. I think ETH can now rally to new all time highs.
Benjamin Cowen tweet media
Benjamin Cowen@benjamincowen

#ETH ran the highs in August, and the current pullback should bring ETH back to its 21W EMA. After ETH drops to the 21W EMA, it then should rally to new All Time Highs.

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_Checkmate 🟠🔑⚡☢️🛢️
@NewGenWC All depends on the reaction from here mate. V shape ok, languishing into a bear flag, not so great. Preparing a flash post for this afternoon.
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BlackPyramids
BlackPyramids@NewGenWC·
@_Checkmatey_ saw a video of you saying if BTC goes down to 110k the bull run is likely over. Huge wick down to 100k. Is it over matey?
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