
justasking
11.2K posts

justasking
@amoreperfect
I don’t know the answer but the crowd does. I have biases. Comment if a question is unfair. Non-sectarian. If I claim 100% certainty, I am probably wrong.
United States Se unió Şubat 2013
3.7K Siguiendo557 Seguidores
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@Emmyfromcbus What if he had called Obama and just talked about Iran with him? Is it possible Obama may have had even one good idea about what Iran would do when we attacked them?
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justasking retuiteado

justasking retuiteado

@amoreperfect @Emmyfromcbus Trump ended the JCPOA because Obama was the architect, not because Trump had anything better. He’d never seek counsel from BO or any former president. Trump doesn’t know what he doesn’t know and, worse, he thinks he knows everything. That’s stupidity on steroids.
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@ratlpolicy Would JD Vance ever support a democrat proposal based on nothing more than “Why not try?”
Now that republicans have to solve problems the rational for “trying” anything at all becomes very weak.
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JD Vance simply doesn't understand who he's dealing with. The Islamic Republic of Iran is not a normal country that responds to normal incentives. It never has been. Dealing with it as such is a category error that leads to very bad policy decisions.
Open Source Intel@Osint613
VP VANCE: "I've seen skeptics of the deal, people say, 'the Iranians will never change their behavior!' Well, maybe that's true, and if so, they don't get any of the benefits of the bargain, but isn't it worth trying? Isn't it worth seeing whether this incredibly weakened position that the President of the United States has put the Iranians under... motivates them to change their behavior?"
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@LevittNicole7 @MaxAbrahms @koshercockney Why would Vance have any power at all? Vice President’s are famously powerless.
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@MaxAbrahms @koshercockney I knew he would, but I never imagined it to be on such a grand scale
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Democrats are now claiming Iran is better off now than before the war? Really?
No Air Force
No navy
No anti-air
No submarines
severely degraded missile capability degraded communications
Top-tier leaders, dead
Second tier leaders, dead,
Third tier leaders in place
Democrats as usual are full of crap ! If this is winning, I hope we never win ?
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@Holden114 It does seem possible that business negotiation in the US is meaningfully different than multi-national peace negotiations.
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Negotiation is purportedly Trump's forte and he's getting played by a tin-pot dictatorship.
The problem is Trump was never good at negotiating, he was good at bullying because the US has the power. He just finally met an opponent that isn't scared.
Pradheep J. Shanker, M.D.@neoavatara
Trump gave Iran the ultimate leverage. And they are, unsurprisingly, using it.
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@justimportant2 @Pro__Trading What do you want Israel to do about Hezzbolah attacking them?
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@Pro__Trading This is the only reason Democrats wanted the Iran war to continue. It was hurting the economy, and money is a big motivation for voters. They're not actually outraged about any conditions of the deal, they're outraged there was a deal.
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🚨🚨Democrats are panicking as a new viral trend has emerged on Twitter of people posting pictures showing plummeting gas prices.
Americans optimism at the pump translates to a Republican over performance in the midterms.
Experts are now forecasting SUB $3 gas come November.
President Trump's Iran deal has changed everything.

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@lakecountydem @DrJgps @EWErickson Were there tactical reasons not to focus on the Strait at the start of the war? I mean why wasn’t the Strait Job One?
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@DrJgps @EWErickson Forget the Israel plan to use Kurdish forces like a Northern Alliance (which had little chance of succeeding)- we know for certain that the Navy was able to escort ships through the strait of Hormuz bc they started to do it towards the end of the dithering period he mentioned.
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justasking retuiteado

The pressure campaign is on. If you are on the right and you decline to salute the President’s deal with Iran, you are to be otherized — branded a warmonger, a neocon fossil, a man itching to put other people’s sons in the sand. The choice, we’re assured, is binary: boots on the ground or the President’s memorandum. That is a lie, and the people repeating it loudest know it is a lie.
Start with the alternative they pretend never existed. Israel had a plan to destabilize the regime from within — and the President personally refused to allow it, at the behest of the Turks. Erdogan picked up the phone, and the option that wasn’t a land war and wasn’t surrender quietly disappeared. So spare me the two doors. There was a third, and Washington bricked it up to keep Ankara comfortable.
Now look at what we took instead. The memorandum reopens the Strait of Hormuz “for 60 days only,” after which Iran and Oman decide who passes and what they pay. It dangles a $300 billion reconstruction fund, with Gulf money — Qatar’s prominently — already moving toward Tehran. Iran now says Israel must leave Lebanon or the deal is breached. And the grandson of the regime’s founder has called the war the “lesser jihad,” declared that the “greater jihad” begins now, and hailed the agreement as a victory for Tehran. When your adversary calls the deal a victory, believe him.
Then there is the Strait itself — the tell. The entire point of the campaign was to take that chokepoint out of Iran’s hand. Instead, the memorandum leaves the regime holding the switch, free to flip it whenever a strike in Lebanon gives it a pretext, as it has done again and again. A waterway we can reopen by permission of the Ayatollah’s heirs was never reopened. It was rented.
And consider the clock. We bombed Iran for roughly thirty-nine days. Then we let nearly seventy days bleed away between the last bomb and the signature — almost twice the length of the war itself — while panic over oil did Tehran’s negotiating for it. Momentum is perishable. The President took a campaign that was working, put it in suspended animation, and is now selling the thaw as a triumph.
ewerickson.substack.com/p/the-two-choi…
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@GordonGChang israel kept striking lebanon, and part of the deal was that they would stop. So israel violated the deal not iran.
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@Frio_river @GordonGChang I don’t think so. I think they have a waiver now to sell there oil without being sanctioned.
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Frontload? Existing sanctions remain in place until a final deal is reached.
No frozen assets are released automatically; must comply first
The $300 billion fund does NOT exist yet; And will only be created after a final agreement is signed.
No U.S. Funds. NONE.
IRAN has to actually DO IT, to get the funds. Words and promises won’t get them a dime.
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@TheCCShowcast The predictions were made before the President changed the goals, just like with tariffs.
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