Brett Erickson

Journalists/Media: Glad to chat economic warfare and sanctions. Just send me a message.

Trump’s endgame in Iran has become clear—as has his desire to slip away without Americans noticing the magnitude of this defeat, Robert Kagan argues. theatlantic.com/international/…

“That said, we saw multiple non-sanctioned, Iran-linked tankers enter the blockade perimeter because U.S. OFAC has not sanctioned them”. Is this Economic Fury, or Economic Slightly-Agitated?

@TankerTrackers @supbrow How many of dem bois empty…?

@TankerTrackers @supbrow Oh my god 49 inside the perimeter?!

The US Navy successfully blocked numerous sanctions violators off the east coast of Oman. In this visible example, the cargo‑empty Aframax tanker LEVIN (9293155), which normally transports a lot of Iranian oil, was pursued by a US Navy vessel after being redirected back into the Arabian Sea. That said, we saw multiple non‑sanctioned, Iran‑linked tankers enter the blockade perimeter because US OFAC still has not sanctioned them. There are currently 49 such tankers within the perimeter. #OOTT #IranWar #Tankers

@AlArabiya_Eng @EnergzdEconomy @JasonMBrodsky Oh it’s that easy?! Why didn’t we think of that!

“The US may have to reopen the Strait of Hormuz MILITARILY if negotiations fail.” Policy Director at United Against Nuclear Iran Jason Brodsky warns of possible US military action against Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz if diplomacy collapses. @JasonMBrodsky @Leighanngerrans

@hmajd The level of delusion is astounding

Yeah, that’ll never happen, and the proponents know it won’t. Seems they won’t be happy until the war starts up again. But a new war won’t deliver their demands, either. Unless that war is on the order of ten times what Iraq was, along with the resultant US casualties. Even then, not obvious that the demands will be met. And these “demands” have nothing to do with the security of the United States…,

@marctshort Oh Marc… we won’t get CLOSE to the JCPOA

Any new Iran deal risks becoming Obama 2.0. America shouldn’t settle for a weak deal that empowers Iran and hurts U.S. energy security.

@StrickerNonpro This is ridiculous. They’re not handing over the HEU, and strikes aren’t going to accomplish anything.

Folks, I feel like a broken record, but Iran won’t reach a sound nuclear deal after 30 days of so-called “confidence building” (i.e., bribery via unfrozen assets), nor after removal of U.S. forces. A credible nuclear deal must include Iran's commitment to the following, under full supervision and verification: ▶️Recovery and export of all 9,000+ kg of Iran’s UF6 stocks—including the 440 kg of 60% HEU—currently entombed in Esfahan, Natanz, and Fordow. This material could be returned as needed in the form of low-enriched uranium fuel rods for Iran’s research and power reactors. ▶️Full and permanent dismantlement, export, or in-place destruction of Iran’s uranium enrichment assets, including centrifuges, related components, and all centrifuge manufacturing capabilities. The same standard should apply to plutonium production assets, with the exception of non-proliferation-sensitive reactors. ▶️A permanent ban on uranium enrichment and reprocessing. ▶️Dismantlement or destruction of all nuclear facilities tied to the above programs, including underground sites such as the Esfahan tunnel enrichment plant and the Pickaxe Mountain facility. In addition: ▶️A complete, accurate, and comprehensive Iranian declaration of its entire nuclear program—including all past nuclear weapons-related work, sites, activities, and assets—along with verified termination of any weaponization efforts. ▶️Anywhere, anytime IAEA inspections—including at military sites when required—along with full access to equipment, personnel, and documentation. That is what a genuine deal looks like, and how a state behaves when it has verifiably abandoned the pursuit of nuclear weapons. Anything short of this is not worth sanctions relief, lifting the blockade, or ceasing the conflict. For more, see: fdd.org/analysis/2026/… wsj.com/opinion/iran-d…

@OSINT_Strong Which oil fields have shut in?

@BrettErickson28 Get real, they are down multiple hundreds of millions a DAY. They are definitely hurting, their oil fields are being shut in. Sooner or later things break, and good things come to those who wait.

If the blockade is causing so much pain on Iran, how come they have zero interest whatsoever in negotiating? Oh that’s right, because a regime that has been under severe economic pressure for 47 years was NEVER going to fold in the face of slightly more pressure for a couple of months when they hold once in a lifetime leverage with their control over the Strait. It’s time for the White House to get new advisors.

@BrettErickson28 The current advisors

@sunmaster14 @JoeCool_SC “How about making 1,000,000 drones”. Hey if we’re living in fantasy land, let’s just make it a billion!

How about allowing Israel to attack Hezbollah north of the Litani? That's a pretty important card. How about continuing the blockade of Iranian ports? That's a pretty important card too. How about building 1,000,000 Ukrainian style drones to attack the missile batteries, swift boats and IRGC personnel stationed along the coast of the Strait? That's a pretty important card too. If you can't step back and see how utterly weak Iran is, then your ability to reason clearly is compromised. Sure, Trump could decide for political reasons (or boredom) to refrain from upping the ante or just cutting a not-so-good deal, but to suggest that Iran holds all the cards, or even any important card other than a much higher tolerance for economic pain is absurd.

Iran is not budging. Why would they? They have all the cards.

@brad_D6 @PhilGarber5 Oop, hold on guys, he’s crashing out

@PhilGarber5 @BrettErickson28 Sure this radical theological terror cult is smart and the US Admin, CIA, DOD, a STate Dept etc. are stupid. Do you guys really believe this BS or, my guess, you just wanna believe. Incredible!

It appears that most everyone has moved on from the “oil well shut-ins” debate. Why? Because Iran is not going to need to shut-in, they have plenty of remaining storage, and it is clear that their oil infrastructure would not “explode” if they even did need to shut-in. One of THE primary reasons we imposed the blockade has proven to be nothing but a farce. It’s time to admit failure and shift strategies, or better yet, negotiate an end to the conflict. No more sunk-cost fallacy.

@BrettErickson28 Once again your analysis is spot on. Because of their history, we can’t trust the current regime. The one in Washington DC.

If their history is cheating, how can we trust the current regime at all? And if we can’t trust the regime at all, then how is anything but regime change adequate? And if that’s the case, how has this been anything other than a complete failure?

@BrettErickson28 Great to see one person view the world the same way as I do. I feel like I’ve been taking crazy pills with all the non-sense everywhere! Keep up the good work!

@JonSnow50616798 Exactly. The timelines are ridiculous

@BrettErickson28 A couple weeks ago my buddy was like "We'll just run the blockade for a month and they'll give up." A couple days ago, he says "We just have to keep it up for 4-5 months and they'll give up."

We are now 38 days into the blockade. How much longer will we stand by this failed strategy?

@brad_D6 @MartynWW @jacobotweetsnow Devolving into TDS is lazy argumentation.

@BrettErickson28 @MartynWW @jacobotweetsnow You are smart I’ll give you that. But quoted by NYT and aligned with woke universities does not help dispute fact that you appear to be suffering from TDS.

@sapive619324838 Bruh I’m not agreeing with him

@BrettErickson28 Why are you retweeting this known f*ggot? Go look into the history of his depraved acts. He hires male prostitutes.

@brad_D6 @PhilGarber5 Anddddd there it is

@BrettErickson28 @PhilGarber5 Cheerleading for Iran is not becoming even for someone who is proud to be quoted by the anti-Semitic NYT.

@ChaoLiu24399552 I don’t think Lindsey is that bright…

@BrettErickson28 "we can not trust Iran, they have been cheating for 47 years" "Iran is begging for a deal and we are talking to them, this time they are serious" "the deal is so close" "we are dealing with different people now" I am confused.