Hector Moreno
8.8K posts

Hector Moreno
@AH2MOR
PhD in Economics, École d'économie de Paris (PSE) | Academic interest in public policies & development | Métrica & evaluación | Paris



We completed the most comprehensive study of how economists and AI experts think AI will affect the U.S. economy. They predict major AI progress—but no dramatic break from economic trends: GDP growth rates similar to today's and a moderate decline in labor force participation. However, when asked to consider what would happen in a world with extremely rapid progress in AI capabilities by 2030, they predict significant economic impacts by 2050: • Annualized GDP growth of 3.5% (compared to 2.4% in 2025) • A labor force participation rate of 55% (roughly 10 million fewer jobs) • 80% of wealth held by the top 10% (highest since 1939) 🧵 Here's what we found:


Forthcoming in AER: Insights: "The Missing Poor" by Torsten Figueiredo Walter, Niclas Moneke, and Ana Radu. aeaweb.org/articles?id=10…



!!! HUMANITARIAN EMERGENCY CALL !!! As of yesterday, German authorities seized the bank accounts of my wife. She is not sanctioned and has committed no crime. As of now we have only ca. 104 euros left — with two newborn babies and one 7-year-old child!!! @yanisvaroufakis @ClareDalyIRL @wallacemick @kennardmatt @Stella_Assange @PLottaz @Miquel_R @irezugasti @RSF_inter @amnesty_de @amnesty @_ZachFoster @CasparShaller @AliAbunimah @MaryKostakidis @der_neukoellner @SevimDagdelen @mkhalili @LaBase_TV @PabloIglesias @falasteen47 @EyeonPalestine @newscord_org @FWarweg @jungewelt @FuocoSavinelli @AlanRMacLeod @MintPressNews @wallacemick @_jneumann @amnesty_de @ChrisLynnHedges @IJFMedia @Fidias0 @johnnyjmils @goldi @CPJ_Eurasia @fehimtastekin @georgegalloway @euobs @AssalRad @OrenZiv_




URGENT: UN experts @FranceskAlbs and @profbensaul deplore #Israel’s adoption of the death penalty law which violates international law and risks discriminatory application against #Palestinians and call for its immediate repeal.












