Tyler

8.3K posts

Tyler

Tyler

@Tylerkaerr

Inscrit le Ağustos 2017
11 Abonnements80 Abonnés
Tyler
Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@BellikOzan Landing a Starship-class rocket multiple times per day so close to densely populated urban areas seems unlikely. People are willing to accept being wakened at 3:00 AM by what sounds like gunfire once every month or so. Weekly is probably too much. Daily or multi-daily won’t work.
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Tyler
Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@allTheYud @dylanmatt Comments like these are akin to feeding inciteful statements to a deranged mob which has already lynched a half dozen people. Do you have a right to say such things? Sure. Is doing so responsible? Absolutely not.
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Eliezer Yudkowsky
Eliezer Yudkowsky@allTheYud·
@dylanmatt I'm glad you've updated! I don't suggest believing that economic growth will hit 30%/year before we're all dead. I think you are unaware of the degree to which these amazing correct predictions were watered-down, palatable versions of more correct, more disturbing predictions.
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Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@1_2_fizz_4_buzz @jd_pressman The thing is, there’s no evidence that such a technology will ever exist! I strongly believe AI will be able to do many things very well, because it already does! But that’s entirely different from claiming AI will be able to do everything (better than a human, much less)!
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FizzBuzz
FizzBuzz@1_2_fizz_4_buzz·
@jd_pressman What gets me are the "AI will create new jobs we cannot even fathom!" people. Like AI couldn't do those jobs too.
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John David Pressman
John David Pressman@jd_pressman·
This would be a start but I'll be blunter: In a country like America where there's no safety net and the default attitude towards anyone who can't economically contribute is they should literally die, it is in almost nobody's interest for AGI to exist. You'd have to change that.
psychosomatica@Xenoimpulse

Let me put this bluntly: either stop continually being edgelords who view and talk about the death, despair and disempowerment of significant portions of humanity into a permanent underclass as worth it in exchange for a hypothetical future AGI utopia, or perish.

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Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@jd_pressman @veaulans Why is grift such a problem here? Why does BART operate an order of magnitude less efficiently and reliably than the Tokyo metro?
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John David Pressman
John David Pressman@jd_pressman·
@veaulans That is in fact a fantastic question. Without looking it up my guess would be some combination of NGO/Government grift, Republican sabotage, and America's underclass being genuinely less functional than the underclass in other countries.
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John David Pressman
John David Pressman@jd_pressman·
Alright alright you folks win I will not use the phrase "no safety net" again, you're right that is not an accurate description of America it's just the desire of the current ruling coalition that Silicon Valley VCs and CEOs have made a big show of supporting and donating to.
Roy@royllovians

❔❔❔

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Tyler
Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@chrisontesla @DavidSacks You must not interact with anyone under age 40. Try consuming the media they consume. Spend a week sourcing your information solely from Re*ddit. Read popular subreddits with neutral-sounding names such as /r/politics or /r/technology.
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CAJ
CAJ@chrisontesla·
@DavidSacks Lunatics. It has to be some kind of glitch in the matrix. I just don’t get it. I don’t know anyone in my real life that supports this kind of stuff. Who is out there voting for this?
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David Sacks
David Sacks@DavidSacks·
Good luck California it was nice knowing you
Bill Melugin@BillMelugin_

NEW: CA gubernatorial candidate Tom Steyer (D) releases an immigration platform that is radically left of Gov. Newsom. It includes: - Abolish ICE - Put ICE agents in jail & “treat them like the mob”. - Bring those “kidnapped & detained by ICE back home.” - Give CA AG power to imprison ICE agents & their leadership. - Taxpayer funded legal representation & support for illegal aliens. - Ignore a SCOTUS ruling that allows ICE to utilize to use race, language, job, and location to contribute to “reasonable suspicion” for immigration arrests, and instead, “California should take matters into our own hands and extend legal protections to its residents, despite the federal governments failure.” “This is about our right as a state to protect our residents,” Steyer says.

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alabjörkma
alabjörkma@alabjorkma·
@KenKirtland17 @ratpuncher4011 it’s also my understanding that if we find ice at the poles during the artemis missions, the goal is to be able to turn the moon into a liquid h/o gas station, so i’m assuming that would require the building of quite a bit of surface infrastructure?
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Tyler
Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@AndyMasley @ActualSeeren He spent years producing interesting electronic music, but apparently being a conspiracy theorist YouTuber is far more lucrative. Shame
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Andy Masley
Andy Masley@AndyMasley·
Two takeaways from an initial read of the data center noise pollution situation. Will have a longer blog post on this next week: -General issues with noise pollution are very real, but fixable with basic policy, and are the fault of both the data centers and local regulatory agencies. There are clear places where massive facilities like data centers should absolutely not have been built so close to homes. When and where governments swoop in to fix this, the problem goes away. It involves pretty commonsense rules about setbacks. It completely makes sense that locals are really mad about this where it happens. I would be. -"Infrasound poisoning" seems to be more or less completely fake. There are all these claims about data center infrasound (sound that's too low to hear but still shakes your body) that come from one specific popular YouTuber who has other really popular content on infrasound effects specifically. There are wild claims made about infrasound, that it can cause spikes in cortisol, heart strain, blood-vessel thickening, reduced blood flow to the brain, major physiological damage, and the video calls data centers 'acoustic weapons.'" The actual literature on this doesn't support this at all. All effects of infrasound seem to be effects of the wavelengths of the part of the sound that people can actually hear, and are the same effects as normal noise pollution. But this video has over a million views and now everyone's freaking out about data center infrasound, and this is being reinforced by people mixing it up with very real issues with normal noise pollution.
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Alex Kehr
Alex Kehr@alexkehr·
the american mind (me) cannot comprehend european airline flight prices can i just book all 190 seats for $3400 and have a private 737 flight?
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Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@Lurkingposter @kpomerleau I mean this is probably true, but today, anybody with even 6 figures of wealth can borrow money at the fed funds rate plus ~1-2%, using their brokerage as collateral.
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nonPasteur
nonPasteur@Lurkingposter·
@kpomerleau I thought the implication of buy borrow die was that it was mostly something people starting doing at like 8 to 9 figures of net worth not necessarily top 1% income
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Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@notafinger42 @kpomerleau @MarcGoldwein Leaving the loophole open, however, allows people to make a plausible-sounding argument in favor of wealth taxes, which buys constituents to their side. Just close the loophole.
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Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@notafinger42 @kpomerleau @MarcGoldwein It doesn’t really justify wealth taxes given that the issue would be solved even more effectively and directly by simply closing the loophole.
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Tyler
Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
There are potential x-risk events everywhere one might look. Industrial power generation may very well create biosignatures detectable from distant galaxies, drawing the attention of hostile civilizations which mean to enslave or destroy humanity. But like with AI x-risk, we have no meaningful ability to assign any statistical likelihood to such an eventuality. And it seems entirely irresponsible to propose policy or collective action based on some hypothetical risk that we cannot remotely hope to quantify.
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Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@gmiller @alexsholtz @tenobrus You doomers have a way of reading everything written on the subject of AI and turning it into “ruination and extinction” Nobody is suggesting we accelerate into ruin Nobody is suggesting we passively accept extinction as our fate This is a straw man, intentional or otherwise
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Tenobrus
Tenobrus@tenobrus·
what are the best writings (books, blog posts, essays, anything) that take the idea of mass permanent AGI-induced unemployment seriously and propose real plausible near-term policies and transition plans? is there anything??
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Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
On the other hand, every day we delay, a hundred thousand people die from some disease or other preventable cause of death. If the average life is cut short by 30 years, this is millions of years of human life that we lose each day. Does this mean we shouldn’t work to reduce whatever pain is caused by the transition? Of course not. But we should absolutely try to accelerate this progress by all means available to us.
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Tyler
Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@HoyaNation @postmetrogirl @WashProbs Hardly. The county voted 42/48 in 2024. Can you name a single other Republican activist protest that has taken place in the past 5 years? The only thing Republicans protest is other protests.
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Tyler
Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
The implication here is that the people making death threats against tech executives aren't far left radicals, which is just abjectly untrue. Additionally, the 1% already pay half of all income tax, and the super-wealthy typically pay an effective tax rate exceeding 50%. Yet the government runs a 30% deficit. You could raise the marginal tax rate on billionaires to 90% and you might increase government revenue by 25%. Within a year or two, the government will be running a deficit again, and the same leftists will demand more wealth extraction. There is no level of taxation which will satisfy them.
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Andy Jung
Andy Jung@AndyJungTech·
UBI proposals wouldn't be inflammatory for median left-leaning Westerners, the group you mention in the post. The super wealthy paying more in taxes to fund more welfare would appeal to and appease plenty of regular left wingers. It'd prob be inflammatory for some far-left radicals, but not net.
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yung macro 宏观年少传奇
yung macro 宏观年少传奇@apralky·
“UBI” is obviously nowhere near the panacea many of you seem to think it is. The median left-leaning Westerner isn’t angry at Elon Musk because he can buy a million times more groceries than them. They aren’t upset with Palantir because Peter Thiel can afford to eat a thousand burgers to their one. This whole thing is in large part post-material. It’s the hierarchy & subordination they’re uncomfortable with. They feel their dignity is being trampled and their autonomy progressively diminished – rightly or wrongly they feel politically disenfranchised and stripped of a say over the future. Offering a guaranteed food budget and a pod to spend the night in return for further disempowerment is incredibly tone-deaf and should be expected to provoke more, not less, outrage.
keysmashbandit@keysmashbandit

Actually this is correct and I'd go further. Beyond PR, the moral move is for big labs to start heavily investing in UBI lobbyists, thinktanks, whatever, to mitigate the risk of economic upheaval. A better world is possible!

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Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@girlpowertbh @shannonrwatts You believe men should do what? Change their stance on an issue when there is social pressure to do so? This increasingly seems like the defining difference between men and women: for men, truth is hard and objective; for women, truth is subject to the opinions of others.
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Shannon Watts
Shannon Watts@shannonrwatts·
Jon Favreau: "When you say Hamas is a thousand times better, do you mean that?" Hasan Piker: "I do mean it … I would vote for Hamas over Israel every single time.”
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Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@alexolegimas Not saying you’re wrong, but why would we expect to hear disappointment? If Anthropic had secretly swapped out Mythos for Opus 4.6, who would complain about $100M in free API credits? LLMs clearly work for coding and the primary issue today is token cost.
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Alex Imas
Alex Imas@alexolegimas·
I never understood the flurry of posts that Mythos worries were overblown and just marketing. Anthropic released the model to 50 major companies; if this was true, we'd hear chatters of disappointment pretty quickly. Instead we heard crickets. Past view days we've seen data trickling in confirming the worries---here is another data point. I understand the views of those who'd like to live in a world where models would be open and released to the public first. But I don't agree with it: we are in uncharted waters. The more time we have to prepare, the more time we have to build infrastructure that exploits the positives while defending against the negatives of the technology, the better.
AI Security Institute@AISecurityInst

We conducted cyber evaluations of Claude Mythos Preview and found that it is the first model to complete an AISI cyber range end-to-end. 🧵

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Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@alanhoward @vad3rt3sla If someone is on the fence about buying a Tesla, and CarPlay to them represents a key component of usability, it can absolutely push them one way or the other.
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Alan 🇦🇺
Alan 🇦🇺@alanhoward·
@vad3rt3sla People who don't own a Tesla want CarPlay. But CarPlay alone won't actually make them buy one. And if they were already buying one, they don't need CarPlay. So what exactly would Tesla be solving for? Nothing.
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Vad3r
Vad3r@vad3rt3sla·
Nobody wants Apple CarPlay in a Tesla
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Tyler
Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
@dirtman Well, only if we don’t lose the ability to advance technologically. If we deindustrialize, there is a moderate chance that the resources won’t be available for a second attempt. This may be our only opportunity.
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@BellikOzan @allTheYud @dylanmatt @1_2_fizz_4_buzz @jd_pressman @veaulans @chrisontesla @DavidSacks