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⚡️Iran is trying to surrender without calling it surrender, and Washington is trying to win without paying for a full occupation. That is what is happening. The public contradiction is fake noise layered on top of a real convergence. Tehran denies talks because admitting talks under this level of pressure looks like humiliation. Washington talks like the deal is near because it wants to compress the regime psychologically and make resistance feel pointless. Both sides are shaping the theater while the real decision gets forced underneath. Iran already knows the direction of travel is against it. Its missile leverage is being cut down. Its buried capacity is being hunted. Its oil and Hormuz leverage are under explicit threat. Its regional isolation is deeper than the public language admits. Its internal system is being tested for someone who can carry a survivable climbdown. That is why the language coming out of them now sounds like this weird mix of denial, conditions, guarantees, and broader framing. They are searching for a way to stop without politically dying from the optics of stopping. Washington wants a smaller, weaker, less dangerous Iran. It wants the nuclear file neutralized enough that the revenge path is broken. It wants Hormuz functional again. It wants to stop short of inheriting the whole corpse unless it has no choice. That is why the threats are so extreme while the actual strategy still looks like pressure, backchanneling, limited escalation space held in reserve, and managed restoration of flow. The deepest truth is simple: They are probably going to stop this before the full destruction branch gets pulled, and both sides will lie about who forced whom.

@_The_Prophet__ Oddly reliable

⚡️Panicans always sell the bottom.

Terror simps in shambles

Trump is a badass dealer. He started war with Iran. Iran blocked Strait of Hormuz and stopped the sale of oil to Europe. UK is affected. And UK didn't join Trump when Trump asked for their help. Now, UK is suffering shortfall in oil supply. And Trump is telling them to buy from him or go and open the Strait of Hormuz by themselves. Either way, Trump wins.

All tankers are moving freely through the Strait of Hormuz. What happened lol

In 4 or 5 years, there will be a launch every hour

This could be the offramp the world needs. You can think of it as the best outcome for everyone, under the circumstances. (1) From MAGA’s perspective, if Trump declares victory here and moves on, the US won’t waste yet more blood and treasure in the Middle East. It won’t invade Iran. It also won’t take all the blame for the ongoing global supply chain crisis. It just pulls out and lets everyone work out the regional security equation for themselves. Trump can say he’s fulfilled both his campaign promises: stop Iran from getting a nuke, but also no endless Middle Eastern wars. (2) From Israel’s perspective, Iran has now been shown to be quite hostile to its neighbors, and its military has been substantially degraded. Stopping now is good. Otherwise there’s a danger of overreacting to Oct 7 as Americans overreacted to Sept 11. Israel can stand back and call it a win, because after a US pullout, Iran will have much less excuse for holding the Strait hostage. (3) From the Iranian diaspora’s perspective, it’s unfortunately clear that the current war isn’t going to result in liberalization. Further attacks would push Iran further into fundamentalism, making it even harder to eventually do a liberal reformation. (4) From the long-suffering Iranian people’s perspective, ending the war now would also save countless lives. Otherwise they’ll get hit by friendly fire and drafted by the regime to fight for fundamentalism. (5) Finally, from the world’s perspective, once the US declares victory and goes home, substantial diplomatic pressure will be applied to Iran to simply open the Strait of Hormuz and allow ships through. Iran’s leadership has shown, perhaps surprisingly, that they care about global public opinion…and they would be on the hook for the suffering of billions of people if the Strait remains blocked. TLDR: if Trump declares victory and leaves, Iran no longer has any excuse for blocking the Strait and holding the global economy hostage. Let the matter be worked out diplomatically with pressure from all the 100+ affected countries on Iran. America shouldn’t have to spend a single cent more, or send a single soldier more, to the Middle East.

@GuntherEagleman Who? As long as the olive oil flows we can make a deal

Spain fcked up not letting us use their airspace. Big mistake.

The United States is almost unique in choosing to believe in a bunch of anti-EV nonsense. Anti-EV B.S. is a luxury belief. And it's a luxury the rest of the world is deciding it can no longer afford. noahpinion.blog/p/maybe-you-sh…

@Jason @26ers_bp115 Humanities rise is based on memetic cultural appropriation

@26ers_bp115 We think it's flattering! Keep dancing!! Cultural appropriation is what lazy people without jobs spend their time complaining about. Culture is best when it's a melting pot of ideas and creativity.

アメリカ人はこれを文化の盗用だと思うのだろうか？ 彼らは古き良き時代のアメリカに生まれた音楽とダンスを愛してるだけだよ。

@JTLonsdale @BehizyTweets L3 - works

@BehizyTweets yep. Leftist losers lose.

This is an insane perspective. And it's all because Europe deviated from the free-market and entrepreneurial-freedom ideals that made them rich in the first place.

@GadSaad Dude lost it

This guy is so unhinged.

@_The_Prophet__ Energy is everything

⚡️The real game is energy empire. That is what this points to. The U.S. does not just want Iran contained. It wants the whole world less able to function without American protection, American finance, American shipping tolerance, and American hydrocarbons. A world that fears Hormuz more is a world that pays more for U.S. energy, leans harder on U.S. naval power, and feels more exposed if it drifts away from Washington. China is the hidden center of gravity in that logic. The Gulf matters because China still needs those flows. If Hormuz becomes a permanently politicized artery and the insurance, shipping, and sanctions stack stay under Western control, then Beijing’s energy vulnerability becomes a strategic lever instead of just an economic fact. That is huge. So what is really going on? A new hierarchy is being built around energy dependence. Break Iran’s ability to blackmail the artery. Keep the artery governable only through systems the U.S. and its partners dominate. Raise the value of U.S. oil and LNG. Force Europe and Asia to price security and energy together again. Make China live closer to a pressure point it cannot fully remove. That is the deeper plan. The reason it feels blurry is because it is being executed through converging incentives, not one tidy official doctrine. Military planners want less Hormuz risk. Energy interests want more U.S. export relevance. China hawks want more strategic leverage over Beijing. Financial enforcers want the insurance and payments chokepoints to keep ruling the real world. All of those lines bend toward the same destination. The Russian oil versus Russian LNG asymmetry fits that kind of world perfectly. The system is not moral. It is selective. It allows what it needs, blocks what it can weaponize, and calls the result policy. That is how power actually works. So here is what I really think: They are trying to turn a dangerous chokepoint into a managed dependency system. Not to free the world from energy coercion. To make sure the coercion sits inside a structure they control. The deepest truth is this: The future they want is a world where dependence runs upward into American power.

@DrunkRepub Hippie mentality never left them - they just keep finding new causes to champion as it’s tied directly to their identity. The dying off of th gemeeeriom will be so good for humanity - see: Bernie sanders

The lefty Boomers packing these No Kings rallies have been wrong about everything. Literally everything. - nuclear power - overpopulation - recreational drug use - the Sexual Revolution - free trade - socialism You name it, they f’d it up. They are a huge reason we are $40 trillion in debt and the major driver behind blue states going belly-up. So the fact they are protesting Trump makes me certain he’s more or less on the right track. Truly the most poisonous demographic of the last century, and maybe in all of American history. Their scorn is the ultimate badge of honor.

💯

⚡️This means Trump wants Cuba on life support, not in free fall. That is what I think is going on. The apparent contradiction is fake. “Cuba is next” was never a promise of immediate total suffocation no matter the consequences. It was a signal that Cuba was entering the pressure sequence. Letting one Russian tanker through after eight nights of blackouts fits that logic perfectly. A totally dark, desperate Cuba is not automatically useful to Washington. It creates migration risk, humanitarian optics, regional instability, and the possibility of uncontrolled collapse ninety miles from Florida. So what is really goin on? U.S. is calibrating pressure, not maximizing it. They want Havana weak, dependent, humiliated, and negotiable. They do not want a total systems failure that creates chaos they then have to manage. A regime with just enough fuel to keep the island from detonating is easier to squeeze than an island falling into pure emergency. That is the same deeper pattern we have already been seeing elsewhere. Washington keeps showing that it is willing to relieve pressure at the margin when full deprivation would create a worse strategic outcome. It does not mean the pressure campaign is fake. It means the objective is managed coercion, not blind collapse. There is another layer too. Letting the tanker through tells Cuba and Russia that the U.S. still controls the ceiling. It can choke harder or relax slightly whenever it wants. That kind of discretionary permission is power. It turns relief itself into leverage. So here is the real take: Trump does not want Cuba healthy. He does not want Cuba dead overnight either. He wants Cuba weak enough to bend and stable enough to keep bending. The deepest truth is this: He is not trying to destroy Cuba cleanly. He is trying to own the rhythm of its survival.

@_The_Prophet__ After 130 + years we are almost to the real meaning of automobiles @akosjfeher @stevefambro @naval

⚡️Autonomous vehicles will become common because the system wants control, cost compression, and liability reduction more than it wants human freedom behind the wheel. That is the real answer. The path will start where human driving is easiest to politically and economically replace. Freight corridors. Depot-to-depot trucking. Delivery fleets. Robotaxis in mapped zones. Ports. warehouses. industrial parks. suburban loops with clean weather and clean roads. The machine does not need to master all of reality. It only needs to conquer enough profitable territory that the rest of the system starts reorganizing around it. Once that happens, the argument shifts fast. Every drunk-driving death. Every distracted-driving crash. Every labor shortage. Every insurance claim. Every logistics bottleneck becomes fuel for the same conclusion: put the software in charge. The public debate will look like safety. The deeper engine will be capital plus state capacity. Firms want fewer workers. Insurers want predictability. governments want legible transport systems. militaries want unmanned logistics. Those forces are stronger than cultural attachment to driving. I think the end state is a patchwork that slowly hardens into infrastructure. Some places stay human-driven longer. Some roads stay messy longer. Some edge cases keep humiliating the software. None of that stops the arc. The arc survives because the machine keeps winning enough territory to keep moving the boundary outward. Once autonomy becomes normal enough, human driving starts being reframed as irresponsible legacy behavior. First inconvenient. Then expensive to insure. Then increasingly restricted. Then culturally suspect. People imagine the battle as human versus machine. The real battle is whether humans still get to choose once institutions decide the machine is good enough. So here is the deepest truth: Autonomous vehicles are coming because they fit the deepest incentives of the age. Not freedom. Not wonder. Not elegance. Control. Efficiency. optimization. Removal of human variance. That is why they win.

⚡️This means they are closing the door on Iran’s future, not just punishing its present. That is the real meaning. A heavy water plant sits inside the architecture of long-run strategic capability. Once you hit that and leave it nonoperational, you are saying the war aim is no longer limited to deterrence or retaliation. The war aim is to make sure Iran comes out of this smaller, weaker, and less able to rebuild the kind of deterrent it thought it was moving toward. So here is what’s really going on: The campaign has moved fully into forced rollback. They are not just trying to make Tehran stop. They are trying to decide what Tehran is allowed to become after it stops. That is a much harsher thing. It means every negotiation from here is happening under a new reality. Iran is no longer bargaining only over current pain. It is bargaining while pieces of its future strategic ceiling are being cut away in real time. That changes the psychology of the whole conflict. The regime can still fire missiles, still posture, still create ugly headlines. But underneath that, it knows the board is being rewritten against it. This also tells me the side doing the striking thinks it has escalation dominance. States do not hit this layer of the target set unless they believe they can absorb the consequences and control the pace better than the other side can. That is why this feels like late-phase coercion, not early-phase warning. For the regime, this is deeply humiliating. It says the issue is no longer whether they can preserve the full revolutionary project. The issue is how much of that project survives at all. Once the future deterrent architecture starts getting carved up, the old illusion of strategic patience starts dying with it. The deepest truth is this: They are no longer fighting only to hurt Iran. They are fighting to decide what kind of state Iran is allowed to be after the war.