Daniel Arenson

New author website! And I'm giving out THREE free books to all visitors. Take a look. What do you think? DanielArenson.com

@PeterSchiff The whole thing is stupid.

The claim that Bitcoin only has to rise by 2% per year to cover the 11.5% yield on $STRC indefinitely assumes $MSTR stops issuing STRC. But Saylor is actually increasing issuance. The more STRC MSTR sells, the more BTC must rise to cover the yield. Also, if the price of STRC falls, MSTR will have to raise the yield to get the price back to 100. Of course, to cover the yield with Bitcoin, MSTR must sell BTC. But the more BTC @Saylor sells to pay the yield, the lower the price of BTC. The only way to stop the death spiral is for MSTR to cancel the dividend. Then STRC crashes, taking MSTR and BTC with it.

@Jvnior @nikitabier So you don't give a shit about Palestinians, and you were just lying for money. Got it.

I’m going to say the truth. I’m a Muslim Palestinian on X. Yesterday my X payouts went from $8,000 every 2 weeks to $1,000. I complained about it to @nikitabier. Many Zionist accounts targeted me. Told him to remove my monetization. 3 hours later, my monetization is gone. Look… if it’s temporary, I get it. I deserve it. But if it’s a permanent ban, then hear me out: The rollout of creator payouts on X initially transformed the platform into a place where time invested actually paid off for many users. Engagement translated into real revenue, encouraging consistent posting, community building, and honest discourse. It rewarded creators who showed up daily, fostering an ecosystem that felt merit-based and alive. But now, the signals from the platform point in the opposite direction: reduced visibility for certain content, algorithmic tweaks that favor “original” or “high-quality” posts while punishing others, and reports of sudden drops in impressions for accounts that step outside approved lanes. We’re essentially being told we shouldn’t spend as much time here anymore, at least not in the ways that built the payout culture in the first place. That shift undermines the very incentive structure that kept users hooked and contributing. This creates a deeper problem. People won’t simply stop engaging because the algorithm or moderation policies discourage it; they’ll adapt in messy ways. Some will chase whatever metrics still reward visibility, leading to more performative, low-effort content or echo chambers. Others will grow frustrated, posting less or migrating frustrations elsewhere. The result is more division & chaos, not less. When the promise of open participation collides with opaque restrictions, whether labeled as anti-spam, anti-manipulation, or “freedom of speech, not reach”, trust erodes. Users feel gaslit: the platform profited from our time and attention when it suited growth and revenue goals, only to dial back the oxygen once that foundation was laid. We all know the trajectory this follows. It starts with throttled reach for posts that don’t align with evolving internal priorities. Then come temporary restrictions, demonetization, or “temporary labels.” Eventually, for too many, it escalates to full suspension or permanent silencing. Elon Musk positioned X as the free speech platform, a digital town square where ideas could compete without legacy gatekeepers. Yet persistent complaints about shadowbanning, especially for critics of the platform or its owner, alongside massive account suspensions (hundreds of millions cited for manipulation in recent years) and selective deboosting reveal the gap between rhetoric and reality. “Freedom of speech, not reach” sounds principled until reach becomes the quiet enforcer of conformity. Payout incentives pulled creators in; visibility controls risk pushing them out or forcing self-censorship to stay viable. That’s why I’m dropping all my links here: link.me/jvnior. I’m stepping back to focus on streaming. I will post a YouTube video that lays out everything that’s unfolded on X since January. The threats on my life, the defamation, the doxxing, the false reports, the bans. Everything. I truly appreciate every bit of support from everyone along the way. I love you all. I’m going take a break unless @nikitabier responds to me. This break is necessary for my mental health as this is weighing heavier than it should. I never did this for money. But if X genuinely wants to retain the creators who built its energy, it needs to confront whether it’s truly delivering on the free speech promise or just managing a more sophisticated version of a dictatorship. The chaos ahead won’t fix itself.

@JoeLowson @PeterSchiff How is Schiff's business a ponzi scheme, if he's selling real products with real value (gold and silver)?

@PeterSchiff so peter schiff warning people about a ponzi while running a gold brokerage that needs a constant stream of new buyers to sustain itself is... something

The main difference between a typical Ponzi scheme and $STRC is that with the former the promoter doesn't tell you it's a Ponzi or that your payments will stop when the pool of new buyers dries up. But the financial dynamics remain the same, despite the warning in the fine print.

@RealRickRule There was a country called Persia until 1979, when it died, and was replaced with a jihadist state called Iran. Similarly, there was a country called Canada until 2015, when it died, and replaced with a failed state of morons too stupid to even change the old country's name.

So insolvency is principled, and pragmatic?

@MayloneVal @VerminusM The Irish overwhelmingly supported Hitler throughout his career. Throughout WW2, Irish ministers would regularly deliver fiery pro-Nazi speeches. Ireland was the only country to send official condolences on the death of Hitler and declared a day of mourning. So yeah, that too.

@VerminusM Irish people are a lot like Jews. They like to argue and have big hearts. They always stand up for an underdog against an oppressor. However, they can be very wrong about which party is the underdog. They might pick the crybully by mistake.

I love fighting with the Irish on Twitter. We come up with colorful insults, learn a bit of each other's history, let out some steam, then everyone goes on with their lives with all their limbs attached. I wish all wars were like that.

@VerminusM Well, fun aside from the fact that they sincerely wish you dead. Which could be amusing to some, I suppose.

@PeterSchiff @saylor Imagine your stock tanking SO BADLY that you dividend skyrockets to 12% and BRAGGING about it like it's a good thing.

@saylor It's so misleading to constitute fraud. Get ready for the lawsuits when the dividends are cancelled and the stock craters.

If this makes you uncomfortable, it’s working. $STRC

@MarioNawfal I noticed you left out the Jews. Just a 5,000-year-old community in Lebanon, no big deal, amirite? @GadSaad could teach you more.

The complexity of the Lebanon issue in 1 map

@Kasparov63 Kamala being the only alternative might have something to do with it.

Americans elected the vile Trump twice, a bad sign if you believe this is true in a democracy. "A state is nothing more than a reflection of its citizens; the more decent the citizens, the more decent the state."--Ronald Reagan, Prayer Breakfast in Dallas, Texas. Aug 23, 1984

@PeterSchiff Taxation is mob protection money. Period. People have tried to explain the difference to me. Nobody so far has convinced me there's any meaningful difference. Al Capone ran soup kitchens with his protection money. He also used the money to wage wars and kill. Same as governments.

There was a lot of controversy in reaction to my post on Tax Day about my father’s views on the income tax and how it’s illegally enforced. Watch this video and listen to my father explain his views in his own words. Decide for yourself if they have merit.youtube.com/watch?v=BNy5el…

@PeterSchiff I wish I saw this kind of anger from you when Iran-Hamas carried out Oct 7. All the rapes, the babies beheaded, the children tortured... crickets. But God forbid anyone should stand up to Iran--then all the outrage comes out.

Trump using the U.S. Navy to blockade the Strait of Hormuz could easily be considered an act of war by other nations impacted by the action. What right does the U.S. have to use military force to prevent China from buying oil? However, China’s right to retaliate would seem clear.

@cenkuygur If Papau New Guinea were full of Jews, you'd be thinking about them 24/7 and calling for their destruction too.

You know what’s the closest country to Israel in population? Papua New Guinea. Not joking. Nearly identical number of people. Imagine if our entire foreign policy was structured around Papua New Guinea. If there were people who were Papua New Guinea First all over Congress and media. And we had given Papua New Guinea over $300 billion and people were saying it wasn’t enough! That we had spent $8 trillion on wars supporting Papua New Guinea and people said we needed one more war for them! And if you ever criticized our ludicrous support for Papua New Guinea, everyone in media would call you an anti-Papua New Guineaist and said no one should ever talk to you again. Now, you’re beginning to see how absurd our support for Israel is.

@PeterSchiff Your dad was a hero. <3

Today is April 15th, tax day. My father Irwin Schiff referred to it as the real April Fool's Day, as on this day millions of Americans volunteer to pay a tax that no law actually requires them to pay. For years my father asked the IRS to show him the law, but they never did.

@RealRickRule As a Canadian, I can confirm: our government is moronic. But it's a reflection of the people. Canadians who work for resource companies are intelligent and hardworking. They're the exception. The vast majority of Canadians are moronic. It's why they kept voting for Trudeau.

Canadians, can you personally afford Ottawa, and Brussels?

@LMaranoid @PeterSchiff I agree. When finance guys talk about geopolitics, they sound, well... the way it sounds to THEM when laymen talk about finance.

@PeterSchiff Jesus, Peter, give it a rest. Stick to finance. Your geopolitical commentary is alienating. No different than actors telling us their opinions: we are not interested in hearing them.

So starting a war in the Middle East turned out to be a big mistake. Well, it's not like anyone could have seen that coming.

@PeterSchiff @RELLIKREN Gold will shoot up at some point. But it's not acting like the safe haven asset it's often marketed as. I think it's just late. For years during covid, gold refused to move with inflation (another advertised feature of gold). Then suddenly, a few years late, it did. All at once.

@RELLIKREN Yes, that's how gold has been trading war news. But I think traders have it wrong. At some point gold will break this pattern.

The collapse of peace talks and a U.S. embargo of the Strait of Hormuz should've resulted in more than a 1.2% drop in S&P futures and an 8% pop in oil. It's likely that traders are pricing in the possibility that Trump posts something reassuring on Truth Social tomorrow morning.

@PeterSchiff @NoOneCaresYah Peter, you can disbelieve Netanyahu and Trump (most of us do), but Israeli intelligence services are damn reliable when it comes to information--they have to be--and they were saying Iran was just a couple weeks away. I believe them.

@NoOneCaresYah What proof was there that Iran was close to having nuclear bombs? Plus, if that was the case, what proof do we have that this war did anything to neutralize that threat?

@PeterSchiff Pretty sure Iran started it on Oct 7, Peter.

"I'm blockading you!" "I'm gonna blockade your blockade!" "Oh yEaH? Well I'm gonna blockade your blockade of my blockade!"

@Kasparov63 I would like to see more cooperation between Ukraine and Israel. Both are facing a common enemy in the Iran-Russia axis. But there is still deep mistrust between them, and a big problem with antisemitism in Ukraine.

This "Ukraine can’t win, so stop supporting them now" tack has been well represented by Russian bots and sycophants, from foreign leaders to the usual trolls. It works well on Trump, who always sides with strength, not the victim, and must always feel like a winner.

Putin gets falsified intel from his commanders because they’re scared of delivering bad news. Trump gets an even more manipulated version of that info from Putin, who always portrays Russian victory as close and inevitable. Trump doesn’t even listen to US intel.