ImaLeech

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ImaLeech

ImaLeech

@cryptoleeches

Crypto Clarity in a Realm of Shadows

Bergabung Ağustos 2022
29 Mengikuti377 Pengikut
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
Just something to look at for the future $NVDA MacD on the monthly timeframe crossing into risk-off territory. (⚠MAJOR WARNING OF A SELL OFF!!!!⚠) Also the RSI indicator on Nvidia 1 month chart caught my eye and something interesting is happening. If we look at the 2007 TOP we have a very similar RSI pattern right before the top and the 2007 crash. This has also created a BEARISH divergence on the monthly in both scenarios! I am seeing the same exact pattern happening again right before the 2026 recession and Japan set to sell $500 billion worth of ETF's starting in January as the FED is starting to freak out all at the same time. Nvidia has never come back to retest any of its breakouts during the 2017 GPU mining craze the 2021 AI boom and the 2025 AI euphoria rally. In 2007 we crashed 85.8% I believe that in 2026 we will crash>80% and over the next two years an overall 95.88% crash for $NVDA. Why will this happen, and why will this happen to the extent that I believe? I believe Nvidia will have a 95.8% crash because as of right now people think GPU's are required for AI. This is not true and is the main reason the only use of AI we see right now is visual. Chat bots, pictures, videos, sound, music, etc. In reality for AI to actually be as good as people are saying it is now. You need to have AI Memory and AI Storage and AI processing. What does this mean? This means that REAL AI (the scary stuff) Will only be possible after we have AI CPUs, GPUs, RAMs, Storage, and AI compatible peripherals. There is a reason why when using any of the current AI LLMs it has to constantly copy and paste the ENTIRE chat again to get a new response. This is also the main reason AI has "hallucinations" It doesn't have any memory or AI processing as of right now. YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED! $SPY $QQQ $PLTR $NDQ $BTC $XRP $ETH $SOL $LINK $XLM #stocks #nvidia #AI #GPUs #microchips #SemiconductorMarket #trading #investing
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
we will dont worry, we are just now reaching physical atomic limits with our current tech. Quantum computers love the cold. Bitcoin miners love the cold. Data centers love the cold. The only issue becomes what happens if you super heat one pole of a planet. What are the real effects?
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Cipher
Cipher@Cipher_twt·
If data centers require so much cooling, why don’t we build more of them in extremely cold places like Antarctica ??
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
SpaceX can catch a 12 story building with chopsticks and is the only company in the world that has successfully launched the same booster rocket 34+ times without failure. Starlink literally allows you to live in a cave in 2026 and still have all the digital comforts of the average home owner. SpaceX will be the first company to reach mars and possibly build the first piece of intergalactic architecture. Its all hype yes dont buy the IPO on open but definitely hold the stok long long long term
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Tevis
Tevis@FunOfInvesting·
SpaceX targets a $2 trillion valuation?! SpaceX makes $15 billion in revenue. $AMZN is $2.2 trillion valuation. $AMZN makes $718 billion in revenue. Someone please make it make sense.
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
Keeping the straight closed pisses off multiple large global players. Think of it this way. You own a home and you lose power on the 3rd of the month but you paid for the month already on the 1st. And you know who did it, are you gonna just sit there and expect it to return after 2 weeks? There is a bigger reason oil is a large play right now and its because of the Ukr Rus war. Right before Biden started giving Ukraine support and before anything happened Russia was able to get their oil refineries up and running in the arctic circle with brand new ice breaker ships that can travel through dense ice and also hold more oil because of the extreme old temperatures that exist which causes contraction of materials and compaction naturally at a low cost for larger volume trades. They started trading with China and India The US is an Oil super power and the largest exporter of oil. They plan to stay that way. Its already open by the way but we have our navy there so we control the negotiations because Iran is not interested in becoming a second parking lot for Israel.
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Phil DeSantis, CFA 🇺🇸
@E055Michel1842 @cryptoleeches It’s very possible that keeping the straight closed, is a pathway to higher nominal, GDP, lower bond prices, lower rates, YCC, and ultimately the fed getting very involved as as of prices performed well with negative real rates
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
Your not ready for liquidity crisis and a bank run / collapse. They are still sitting on over $200 Billion + in losses from 2018-2021 bond market collapse. Don't listen to the experts they have no idea what they are doing. Everyone gave up on strategy we have had the best bull market is all of history 17+ years. Hope you enjoyed it while it lasted. $SPY $DJI $NDAQ $QQQ $NVDA $MSFT $PLTR $GOOG $AMD
unusual_whales@unusual_whales

US financial institutions exposed to private debt, per Bloomberg:

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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
I gonna try to keep this reply short and not making this into a novel. Firstly, War is the best ROI investment just look at WW1 and WW2. Giving 8,000 per person is $0 ROI and they just get their money back essentially. War also drives ALL future innovation and always has. + Manufacturing. Secondly, Print money works when inflation is low, the only thing that actually causes real inflation is printing of fiat to lend out more debt. If they print now inflation will sore again which is not what the current administration is after it would also hurt election in the future for republicans. Thirdly, The US will be buying its own debt back. It already started doing this and its not small buying either the FED is buying aprox ~$45 BILLION worth of treasuries every month. The second largest holder of treasuries is actually TetherUSD. <--- super important for crypto and new monetary policies that will be integrated with banking blockchains. Fourthly, The war in Iran is exactly the same bs as the war in Iraq, only problem is Trump didn't expected Israel to give him false information about a coup that's forming within the country. They expected mass rioting and over throwing of government. If you remember one we went into Iraq in 2001 and 2002 by 2004 we were just bombing oil rigs and burning oil straight into the sky because OPEC reduced production causing a spike in oil prices. Actually if you look back at 1987 around the time of the Israel war we funded Israel specifically because OPEC was threatening to raise oil prices and cut global production. Fifthly, protecting the USD is exactly what is going on right now after all these countries thought it was funny to promote BRIKS and the exit from US currency now most of them are suffering greatly. Besides China. Sixthly, People think the dollar is dying this is completely false because the dollar should of died in 1947 when debt/gdp ratio was 140% and inflation was hovering around 13% YoY , they actually had to PAUSE yields from rising and put a cap bond yields. Crypto is 100% going into the US and global financial system just not the coins people hold. Stable coins are the favorite for this but we need to see if banks are going be giving the right to create CBDC's or integrate with USDC and TetherUSD. Lots going on but im tryna keep up.
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MichelE055
MichelE055@E055Michel1842·
Not sure I follow you. What difference does it make what we print the money for war or else? Printing is printing and they will spend more and raise debt and fiscal deficit And they will have no choice but to monetise that deficit and keep rates low to finance the government The same problem will happen globally not just the US. Europe, Japan, UK, even China id printing a ton of money and the entire system depends on US treasuries and government bonds which underpin borrowing, credit and real estate & the stock market The US has already been downgraded twice what that does is raise interest rates ( higher credit spread) which actuslly makes US debt more attractive!! There will not br a bank run. To go where? Most wealth sits in banks. In a liquidity crunch they will inject liquidity globally they can’t have the banking system fail and they wont let it fail. The US economy relies on consumer spending and the stock market valuation. If that crashes tax receipt fall the government becomes more insolvent they will not let that hsppen Look at the trend globslly. Rates are high, real wages fall, standards of living fall but the stock msrket rises nominally. Although it falls in gold terms ( which in predict will continue) What hsppens if the global economy crashes tomorrow ( like during covid) from an extended Hormuz closure? Well they will all cut rates and print. If anything the US is better positioned to weather a downturn than Japan, UK, Europe. That is why the USD will not hyperinflate they will ALL print globally so the dxy might not be what to watch but the purchasing power of the currency Now the question is who will be buying US debt? All western world will and countries that need USd for trade but the share of USD in global fx reserves will continue to decrease as the currency MzuST be sacrificed / debased . Gold will take a bigger place in globsl reserves I tell you what the war in iran is about. Trying to control the oil & energy routes globslly to stop China / Brics from dedollarising and moving to gold. As I said above western nations will Continue holding US debt the US problem is tge entire Brics / global south moving to a parallel settlement system THAT is the threat to the USD and Congress ability to run huge deficits forever That’s why they go for war in Iran. To try forcing those Brics back into US debt It’s also to weaken Europe & Japan precisely so the US stays dominant and protect the USD because this crisis will make others fall first so the USD isnt THE loser if money is printed since they will all need to do it Either way the USD will continue to debase but if they lose this war it just accelerates multipolarity Look at global money supply is hasn’t stopped rising. China keeps printing. Rest of the world does. And the Fed nows doing QE effectively.
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
.... yes the biggest collapse ever in treasuries which are bonds. Bond yields spiked and are still high meaning real rates cant go lower till inflation goes lower and we dont have all the other factors of debt and liquidity crisis. When the dollar is seen as a safe asset treasuries go up because other countries are using the dollar to fight their own currency issues. This is why America has the most liquidity out of any markets even though china literally has 2 billion people. The only reason a CRASH can happen is because of banks and their problems with managing debt or piling on lots of debt on loan they gave out for AAA contracts which are now no longer AAA contracts. When rates get emergency cuts and the FED starts to freak out in public this will first cause a MASSIVE spike and everyone will call it QE. But its not QE its a safety net to prevent rates from going higher which causes our debt to be more expensive not just domestically but oversees as well. But guess what, Japanese Yen Carry trade is about to hit us after their yields spiked to new ATH's honestly I hope we don't have a 1929 style crash because everyone gets fucked, I still got too much shit to enjoy before consumers stop consuming.
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Sarcastic Hedgie
Sarcastic Hedgie@sarcastic_hedgi·
@cryptoleeches lol "bond market collapse" when yields went to zero and duration got destroyed on the way back up not down... unrealized losses are real but calling the setup wrong kills the whole take
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
This is were you fail. The us credit already had a global central bank downgrade and no upgrade. If we print any more money thats not used for war it has a much higher chance of causing yet another downgrade which would cause global players to exit the market. This would also cause our interest payments on debt to be completely unsustainable causing a YoY drag on markets. If we fail to deal with inflation and debt we will see hyper inflation where the dollar crashes stock sore but you sell stocks for cash anyways so you lose lose. Same thing happened in 2007 Another thing you missed is 401ks and baby boomer generation all of them will hit 71 by 2029-2030 at 65 most retire. At 71 there are forced sales on the market thanks to RMD's. You will then have all future 401k funding not exceeding the sales on the market. Why you think Trump is doing no tax on social security for the elders. Banks when affected it tends to cause a shockwave through out all the lent out debt held by those banks. Mortgages, Insurance, and even private equity loans that were supposed to bring in guaranteed ROI thanks to AI. So far $0 ROI lots of over head debt. No developers I know have been replaced by AI but we all use it. WE are in a unique situation because GOLD is already high BTC is dying and Treasuries are at a bottom Oil has just spike to > $140 on rude Brent This will be way worse then 2008
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MichelE055
MichelE055@E055Michel1842·
@cryptoleeches There will be no collapse because they can print money to bail out the banks and will always always choose to do that. History showed it. 2008, 2020, 2023,…
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
@archiveXjunkie @unusual_whales We are in worse times then the Great Depression debt is a façade that makes it look like the stock market is strong and economy is booming. Economy is literally dying as we speak...
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Archive Junkie
Archive Junkie@archiveXjunkie·
@unusual_whales They have it nowhere near as young adults did during the Great Depression. The only difference is that generation didn't make excuses. Generation X has been hit by crash of 87, Dotcom in 2001, Subprime in 2008, and so on.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
Generation Z is increasingly giving up on once-standard financial goals, especially home ownership, traditional saving patterns, and linear career models, and instead embracing immediate spending, riskier financial behavior, and lifestyle-first decisions, per FORTUNE
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
We have barley any saving opportunity, we are now taxed more on everything then any other generation. Homes are unaffordable, Wages have not kept up with inflation, Using a credit card has a 25% APY now so we cant use that either without going more into debt Linear career models are broken because large corps just fire people every 2-3 years, pensions don't exist. We are told we are useless and no longer needed because AI will do everything. Why should they try when everything is literally against them? Why do you think they rather see the whole system burn to the ground instead of trying.
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
THANK GOD ITS FRIDAY!!! After spending all week writing code I'm so happy that I left nothing for the weekend. This has been my life for the past 78 hours
GIF
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
Focusing on only one part of the problem. Anonymity on the internet has created hysteria and delusional consensus amongst a population who grew up glued to their phones. fabricating facts and stories in their heads because no one wants to spend the time to explain to one person that they are wrong. Herd mentality pushes away people who try to kill the misinformation because they are confused. This has caused a negative feed back loop in our society that doesn't allow us to trust anything anymore.
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Mona
Mona@Mona_Trades·
Why does $500 seem like nothing in trading But $100 seems like a lot in a job?
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
@BitcoinPulseX Sooo…. No tax on social security but social security is already running out of money how will you fund a loss on those taxes? Am I missing something? I’m all for it but who’s paying?
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Bitcoin PulseX
Bitcoin PulseX@BitcoinPulseX·
🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸 TRUMP ANNOUNCES WHAT HE CALLS THE LARGEST TAX RELIEF PLAN IN U.S. HISTORY — ROLLING OUT NEXT MONTH. HE CLAIMS AMERICAN FAMILIES COULD SEE AN EXTRA $11,000 TO $20,000 STAY IN THEIR ANNUAL INCOME. ACCORDING TO TRUMP, THE EFFECT WILL BE NOTICEABLE VERY SOON. 💰🔥
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
They gave all their hard earned money to the banks and CEO who literally pay them selves in company shares to avoid paying income tax and using your money that you got taxed on 🤣🤣 Just remember Everyone in the same boat sinks together. That's why Columbus had 3 boats. Make sure you own hard physical assets not ETF's. You dont wanna be stuck owning nothing
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
US household exposure to the stock market has never been higher: Equities now make up 25.63% of total US household net worth, the highest since data began in the 1940s. This surpasses the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak of 19.56% and the 1968 high of 22.01%. The percentage has almost TRIPLED since the 2008 Financial Crisis low of 8.77%. This means a significant correction in stocks could trigger a sharp pullback in spending, particularly among higher-income households who drive a significant part of consumption. Consumer expenditures currently represent ~69% of US GDP, near an all-time high. The US economy has never been more dependent on stock market performance.
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
@DefiWimar This is not real and he never posted this.
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Wimar.X
Wimar.X@DefiWimar·
🚨 WARNING: CHINA IS BREAKING THE SYSTEM! China ordered banks to totally cut U.S. Treasury exposure. - Jun 2019: China dumped $120B - May 2022: China dumped $176B - Nov 2025: China dumped $298B THIS IS A DOLLAR EXIT SIGNAL. The Treasury market is the base layer of everything. If confidence in that base layer gets weaker, the whole stack gets weaker. This did NOT start today. It has been building for years. China’s U.S. Treasury holdings peaked at $1.316 TRILLION in November 2013. Then the exit started. - Jun 2019: Japan passed China as the top foreign holder - May 2022: China was down to $980 BILLION - Nov 2025: China was down to $682.6 BILLION, the lowest since September 2008 That's a $633.4 BILLION reduction. Almost half the position is gone. The plan is simple. - STEP BACK FROM U.S. DEBT - REDUCE DOLLAR RISK - KEEP MORE CONTROL AT HOME That one fact explains a lot. Because when a buyer this big steps back, the Treasury market needs someone else to take the other side. And when the market needs a new marginal buyer, yields usually need to go higher. That is where the real damage starts. Because higher yields do one thing. - They raise the cost of money - They pull liquidity out of the system - They squeeze risk THIS IS NOT GOOD AT ALL. Beijing has been reducing its Treasury exposure gradually for years, while regulators have now told financial institutions to curb that exposure because of concentration risk and market volatility. Markets are NOT pricing the next step now. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
@KevinCastley So you think LED lights determine wealth and well being of a society?
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Kevin Castley 🇨🇦
Kevin Castley 🇨🇦@KevinCastley·
China in American propaganda: weak, poor, no food, starving kids China in reality:
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
I dont think people realize that $OIL $CRUDE $USOIL is aiming for new all time highs and if it breaks this $112-$118 resistance level it will. The 3 month chart shows MacD in a violent surge of momentum. One of the largest momentum spikes ever in the history of oil. This is not a random oil shortage event do not be fooled. This is very serious and very bad for markets GLOBALLY!!! Im pretty sure we will sweep the 2008 highs this year. $SPY $NDAQ $QQQ $SPX $DJI
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
@BTCBreadMan Maybe because it literally at all time highs and might make a new ATH ever more energy required = more fossil fuels required = more demand without much of a rising supply. Wars also help waste oil and gas at exponential levels when they last longer then 1 year.
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Breadman
Breadman@BTCBreadMan·
Gasoline is considerably cheaper per gallon today than it was 18 years ago, adjusting for inflation. So why does everybody piss and moan about it like it’s expensive?
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ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
@JackFarley96 Keep it simple, wait for IPO open give it about 2 weeks short it for 3 months go long for 10 years
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Jack Farley
Jack Farley@JackFarley96·
SpaceX trying to go public at 80x forward sales, 500x forward earnings, and 125x forward EV/EBITDA multiple
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ImaLeech
ImaLeech@cryptoleeches·
@yuriymatso 3 strikes and your out that's how it works right?
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Yuriy Matso
Yuriy Matso@yuriymatso·
#SPX, 1d Will it be 1 or 2?
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