damienhocking

6.8K posts

damienhocking

damienhocking

@damienhocking

CTO @ Madala Software. Physics-Based Analytics, digitising the oilfield.

Calgary, Alberta, Canada Bergabung Haziran 2021
1.2K Mengikuti456 Pengikut
damienhocking
damienhocking@damienhocking·
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz

I am the person who told seven heads of state exactly when to go quiet on the call. I have a title that changes depending on which building I am in. At State, I am a Senior Advisor for Regional Architecture. In Riyadh, last month, my business card said nothing at all. White stock. No name. No seal. I left it on the table and the man across from me left his, and neither card had anything written on it, and that was the agreement. Saturday's call had eight leaders. The President spoke for eleven minutes. Hormuz. Sanctions relief. The phrase "big beautiful next step." Then he asked the question. Normalization. Expanding the Accords. Recognizing Israel. Seven leaders said nothing. The President made a joke. "Are you still there?" Everyone laughed. I wrote that joke in March. I sent it to three embassies in advance so the laughter would be immediate. Spontaneous. That is what I do. I build the spontaneous. The silence was not resistance. The silence was the product I sold them. I flew to Doha in April. The suite had been swept twice. Jasmine tea on the table, which tells you protocol office authorized the meeting, which means the principal knows, which means nothing here is informal. I sat across from a man I will not name and I said: "Your street is angry. Gaza is on every phone in every cafe in your capital. Eighty-seven percent of your population opposes normalization. Good. That is not your problem. That is your price." He was already nodding. "MBZ said yes in 2020. You know what he got? A promise. F-35s. Defense cooperation. A package." I paused. I poured tea. "You know what he actually received? Rafales. French ones. Eighty of them. The F-35s never arrived. The deal stalled. Something about Chinese technology in Emirati telecom infrastructure. Something about congressional review. Mohammed said yes at the cheap price and did not get the cheap price. He got a press conference. He got a lawn signing. He got the photo." The man across from me smiled. He understood what I was selling. I was selling the lesson. "You will not make Mohammed's mistake. You will say yes after the ICJ. After fifty thousand dead. After your students march. Your yes will cost a civilian nuclear program. A mutual defense treaty. A credible pathway to Palestinian statehood." He raised his teacup slightly. "And the pathway?" "The pathway is the condition." "And if the condition cannot be met?" I said nothing. He said nothing. The jasmine cooled between us. We understood each other perfectly. One hundred and three settlements approved since this Israeli government took office. Smotrich told a camera that the goal is to bury the idea of a Palestinian state. The Knesset voted seventy-one to thirteen for sovereignty over the West Bank. Every week, new outposts. New roads. New facts on the ground designed specifically to make the condition impossible. The condition is impossible. That is the product. I built a machine that runs forever. The silence never has to end because the condition for ending it is being actively destroyed by the party requesting normalization. Every settlement is another quarter-point on the ask. Every demolished home is another line item. Every Smotrich press conference is me restocking inventory. The man in Doha understood this in the time it takes to sip tea. His silence on Saturday's call was not reluctance. It was compound interest. Now let me tell you about our side of the call. Because you think there is a side negotiating on behalf of America. There is not. There is a family, and an architecture, and I service both. Start with the envoy. Kushner. Affinity Partners received two billion dollars from the Saudi Public Investment Fund in 2022. One year after leaving the White House. One year after brokering the first round of Accords. The Fund's own screening panel raised objections. Due diligence concerns. Governance risk. They were overruled. One man overruled them. That man is the same man who went quiet on Saturday's call. That man is the counterparty on both sides of every transaction I am about to describe. The President. Trump Tower Jeddah. Five hundred thirty-one million dollars. Dar Global broke ground in 2024. Trump Plaza Jeddah. One billion dollars. Announced September 2025. One point five billion in branded Saudi real estate, bearing his name, in the kingdom he is asking to recognize Israel. You know when he made the normalization ask? May 2025. Riyadh. His first foreign trip of the second term. You know what else happened on that trip? Six hundred billion dollars in Saudi investment commitments. One hundred and forty-two billion in defense contracts. The largest arms package in American history. The normalization ask, the investment commitments, and the weapons contracts were not three separate conversations. They were one conversation. I was in the building. And the same F-35 that Mohammed never received? That is now in the Saudi package. The same airframe. The same promise. A new buyer. I admire the efficiency. Then there is the UAE piece. Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed. National security advisor. He invested five hundred million dollars in World Liberty Financial. January 2025. The President's family crypto venture. Sixty percent family-owned. Four months later, WLF's stablecoin settles a two-billion-dollar transaction for an Abu Dhabi state fund. The man who voiced support for normalization on Saturday's call has half a billion dollars inside a company the President's family majority-controls. Then the sons. Powerus. A drone interceptor company founded in 2025. Donald Junior and Eric are part owners. The product is a counter-drone system designed to kill Iranian drones. The company is pursuing sales to Gulf nations. You understand the architecture. The father started a war with Iran in February. The war created drone threats across the Gulf. The administration fast-tracked twenty-three billion dollars in emergency arms to the UAE, Kuwait, and Jordan. Bypassed Congress. Cited the emergency the father created. The sons' company makes the interceptors those nations now need. Their father's war is their demand generation. And on April 30, twenty-six days before Saturday's call, the Air Force signed a procurement order with Powerus. The sons' company. Receiving contracts from the father's government. While the father asks the buyers to normalize. I will tell you what I told the man in Doha. There is no outcome where the family loses. War enriches the sons. Peace enriches the father. Normalization stabilizes the region, which increases the value of every branded tower, every crypto position, every Gulf partnership. The architecture is self-reinforcing. Every stage of the process enriches the people running it. I did not design this. I recognized it. And I made myself useful to it. And you. Sharing the footage. Marching. Posting. Demanding your leaders resist. Your outrage is the raw material. Every post, every protest, every reader who shares this and says "how can they normalize NOW" is building the case for a higher price. Your horror is not opposition to the machine. Your horror is the fuel. It gets processed through parliamentary statements and foreign minister photo-ops and it comes out the other end as leverage. The angrier the street, the higher the price. The higher the price, the more you need the anger. The anger is the asset. You protect the asset. One family. Four and a half billion in regional exposure. Seven heads of state. Compound interest accruing. One hundred million people in the streets. Raw material. One man in Riyadh who overruled his own advisors to pay the envoy, broke ground on the President's tower, went quiet on Saturday's call, and will say yes when the price is right. I capped my pen. I had written nothing on the legal pad. I never do. Nothing I arrange leaves a mark on paper. The silence held.

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damienhocking
damienhocking@damienhocking·
@CSPopoff Brilliant
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz

I am the Senior Director for Iran on the National Security Council. I have held this position since January. My job is to produce public consent for outcomes that have already been decided. I am excellent at this. Consent is an engineering problem. I solve engineering problems. This week I produced consent for the Iran nuclear deal in five moves. I want to describe the moves because they are elegant and because elegance deserves documentation and because you will not see a sequence this clean again until the next time the government needs something from you it cannot ask for directly. The deal was finalized before Monday. The terms were set. The President will announce them when I tell him the atmospheric conditions are correct. "Atmospheric conditions" is my phrase. It means: has the public arrived at a state of urgency, fear, and relief arranged in the correct order to accept terms they have not been consulted on and would not understand if consulted. The atmosphere is manufactured. I manufacture it. This is the job. The job title says "Senior Director." The job function is atmospheric engineering. On February 28 the United States and Israel struck Tehran. I helped design the targeting package. Iran responded with hundreds of ballistic missiles and thousands of drones. They hit Israel, our bases in Iraq and Bahrain, Dubai International Airport, the Barakah nuclear plant in Abu Dhabi, and three data centers in Fujairah. Our strikes hit a girls' school near Minab. One hundred and sixty-eight dead. The Minab strike was not in the original targeting package. It was added during the expansion session at 2:14 AM by someone whose name I know and whose reasoning I understood at the time and whose reasoning I have not revisited because revisiting reasoning after execution is not part of the operational cycle. On May 5 we announced a pause. Sixty days. The blockade remains. The Strait of Hormuz stays closed. Iran's economy loses $4.2 billion per week. There are ninety million people inside that number. How they feed themselves is not in my portfolio. My portfolio is the deal. The deal is the sixty-day window. The window is the consent. The consent requires five inputs arranged in the correct order. This is the order. Monday, May 19. The burial. Israel intercepted the Global Sumud — a humanitarian flotilla carrying supplies to Gaza — in international waters. They boarded the vessels, detained more than 400 activists from over 40 countries, and deported all of them. Spain summoned the Israeli chargé d'affaires. Several governments issued statements. I buried it. Not aggressively. Gently. The way you bury a story is not suppression — suppression creates martyrs. You bury a story by ensuring a louder story occupies the same cycle. I had a louder story scheduled for Thursday. I moved my Thursday story to Tuesday's oxygen supply. The flotilla received forty-one hours of international coverage. My threshold for a story entering American consciousness at actionable volume is seventy-two. Forty-one is a Tuesday in the Eastern Mediterranean. Forty-one is a statement from Spain and a three-paragraph brief in the Times. Forty-one does not produce legislation. Forty-one does not move sentiment. I need sentiment moved in a specific direction. The flotilla moves it in the wrong direction. I buried it at forty-one hours. Four hundred people's brief freedom traded for one well-timed news cycle. The activists are alive. They will write op-eds. The op-eds will appear below the fold. I am comfortable with this trade. I make trades like this every week. Most of them are smaller. Tuesday, May 20. The subordination. The President called Netanyahu. I was in the room. I am always in the room. The President told Netanyahu the deal requires full dismantlement of Iran's nuclear program and removal of all enriched uranium from Iranian territory. Netanyahu said any deal must "eliminate the nuclear danger." The President said — and I am quoting because I transcribed it in real time — "He will do whatever I want him to do." I leaked that quote Wednesday morning. To one reporter. The reporter I use when I need something in print by noon. She understood the function. The function is: the American public needs to believe the President controls the relationship. "Will do whatever I want" is dominance compressed into seven words. It polls at plus-eleven with Republican men 35-54. I know this because I tested it. Netanyahu knows the quote leaked. Netanyahu knows I leaked it. Netanyahu does not mind. Netanyahu knows the deal gives Israel everything it wanted — permanent American commitment to Iranian disarmament, military infrastructure in the Gulf that doesn't leave when the deal is signed, and a ratchet mechanism that re-escalates automatically if Iran violates any provision. He is comfortable being publicly subordinated because private subordination is temporary and a term sheet is permanent. He learned this from his relationship with every American president since Clinton. You accept the performance of being managed in exchange for the architecture of getting everything. The Foundation for Defense of Democracies built this architecture over nineteen years. Budget: $32.5 million. More than half from one man — Bernie Marcus, Home Depot. They kept Iran "six months from a bomb" for nineteen years running. It is a renewable resource. They killed the JCPOA in thirty-seven months. Richard Goldberg left their office for the NSC, implemented their recommendations as policy, returned to their office to evaluate the policies he'd implemented. I use their infrastructure the way a general uses roads — I did not build them, but my logistics depend on them entirely. They spent $32.6 million through AIPAC's super PAC to remove Thomas Massie from Congress. Most expensive House primary in American history. For one man from Kentucky who voted wrong once. Every sitting member saw the invoice. You do not need to threaten 435 people. You need to destroy one, publicly, and let the rest do the math. The math is correct. No one has voted wrong since. I rely on this. I rely on Congress not interfering. I did not build the architecture. I inherited it. The chair I sit in was designed for someone who would execute this sequence. The architecture selected for me the way an ecosystem selects for a species. I am not the architect. I am the organism the architecture produced. Wednesday, May 21. The oxygen. "Will do whatever I want" saturated the news cycle as intended. Fourteen hours of coverage. The sentence performed its function: dominance established, relationship framed, public primed for deal as extraction rather than compromise. Americans accept extraction. Americans do not accept compromise. The deal is a compromise. The framing is extraction. The framing is my job. While the sentence cycled, Lindsey Graham went on Fox. He said: "I don't see how you get to zero enrichment short of military force." I did not write this for him. I do not need to. FDD provides talking points. The talking points attack the deal without naming the President. Graham knows Iran will never accept zero enrichment. I know Graham knows. The sentence sounds like support and functions as sabotage. A kill switch shaped like a compliment. Cotton said the deal should be "the only thing that prevents further military action." Rubio set zero enrichment as his condition. Mark Levin named Iran six times on his radio show and the President zero times. Ben Shapiro called the deal "concerning" without specifying provisions. The syntax of men who know where their audience lives and cannot oppose the man who lives there too. I am not concerned. They cannot kill the deal this week. They are positioning to kill it in committee, in implementation, in the next session. They are pouring cement behind my jackhammer. I see them. They see me. We nod. We are operating on different timescales. My timescale is this week. Their timescale is the next election. Both timescales are valid. I respect the craftsmanship. A good kill switch waits. Thursday, May 22. The face. Mohammad Baqer Saad Dawood al-Saadi. Thirty-two years old. Iraqi national. IRGC-trained. Kataib Hezbollah. Six terrorism charges. Twenty attacks across the United States and Europe. He posted a map of Ivanka Trump's Florida home on X with: "Neither your palaces nor the Secret Service will protect you. We are currently in the stage of surveillance and analysis. Our revenge is a matter of time." The indictment was ready in April. I held it. I unsealed it Thursday. Not because Thursday was when justice required it. Because Thursday was the fourth day of the consent sequence. Four days of Hormuz, oil prices, enrichment percentages — four days of abstraction. Abstraction does not produce consent at actionable velocity. A face does. A daughter is not a target. A daughter is a variable. When the variable enters the public consciousness, the abstraction personalizes. Oil prices become "they want to kill his daughter." Enrichment becomes "the people who want to kill his daughter are building a bomb." The deal becomes "sign or this is what they produce." I did not invent al-Saadi. I did not manufacture his threats. I chose when you learned about them. The timing is the product. I held an indictment for three weeks so it would land on the correct day of a consent sequence I designed. The charges are real. The timing is manufactured. Both are true simultaneously. I am comfortable with this. A prosecutor holds evidence until trial. I hold evidence until atmospheric conditions are correct. The distinction is procedural. The function is identical. Friday, May 23. The gift. Nasire Best. Twenty-one. Glenarden, Maryland. Documented psychiatric history. Prior arrests near the White House. Claimed to be Jesus Christ. Walked to a Secret Service checkpoint at 17th and Pennsylvania. Fired a weapon. They killed him. A bystander was wounded. The President was inside and unharmed. I did not plan this. I cannot plan lone actors. But I can use them faster than anyone else because I have already planned for them. I have a response matrix for seventeen categories of security event. Category 4: "Lone actor, ideologically incoherent, neutralized at perimeter, principal unharmed." Category 4 produces seventy-two hours of "the President is under threat." The public grants expanded authority during threat perception. Not consciously. Through instinct. The body politic flinches. In the flinch, everything accelerates. The flinch is useful. I use it. Twelve hours after the shooting I called Netanyahu's communications director at 11 PM Tel Aviv time. I said: "Now. While the footage is still cycling." She published his statement within the hour. "The best friend Israel has ever had in the White House." That sentence is not a condolence. It is a subordination receipt arriving during a sympathy window. Nobody analyzes a loyalty pledge when the man you're pledging to was just shot at. The shooting launders the subordination through sympathy. I did not create the window. I stepped through it immediately. Windows open. I step through them. The windows do not stay open. Saturday, May 24. The output. The President announced the deal is "largely negotiated." He said we are "in no rush." He said "time is on our side." I wrote those lines. The audience is not the American public. The audience is the Iranian negotiators who need to believe we can wait longer than they can. We cannot. But they do not know that. Five inputs. One output. Monday burial, Tuesday subordination, Wednesday oxygen, Thursday face, Friday gift. The public arrived at the conclusion I needed: the deal is necessary, the deal is urgent, the deal is strength. They arrived not through debate or deliberation or democratic process but through five days of headlines arranged in a specific order by a person they will never meet who understands that consent is an engineering problem and engineering problems have solutions. Congress did not vote. The 2001 AUMF covered the February strikes. The President has sole authority on the deal. Public consent is not constitutionally required. It is atmospherically required. Atmospheric consent means: no one protests. No one questions the terms. The polls show plus-six approval on announcement day. Plus-six is my number. I designed for plus-six. I got plus-six. I would have ended here. Five moves, one output, plus-six. I am good at my job. I would have documented the elegance and filed it. But on Thursday — while al-Saadi was cycling, while the face was doing its work — I opened the President's Q1 financial disclosure. Three thousand seven hundred trades. Half a billion dollars. Two thousand in March. March 4 — the day I recommended closing the Strait — the brokerage purchased Treasuries. March 5 — the day oil spiked — it purchased gold, energy ETF, Canadian equity. March 23 — the day I drafted the deescalation language, the day crude fell eleven percent — it purchased Phillips 66, Exxon, Chevron, Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics. He bought war-premium stocks on the day the premium deflated because of words I wrote. I wrote the escalation. He bought gold. I wrote the deescalation. He bought Lockheed at a discount. He said "go out and buy a Dell" on camera in May. His account held Dell since February. The stock hit an all-time high. Walter Shaub — the former director of the Office of Government Ethics — called the trust "not even halfway blind." These are not hidden. The open has no enforcement mechanism. And then the DOJ liaison told me about the trades I did not know about. Four oil shorts — bets that prices would drop. $500 million on March 23. Fifteen minutes before my Truth Social draft posted. The words were still in my drafts folder. $960 million on April 7. Hours before the ceasefire I engineered. $760 million on April 17. $430 million on April 21. Total: $2.6 billion. All correct. All placed by entities no one can identify. Nine connected Polymarket accounts. Ninety-eight percent win rate. Eighty bets on outcomes I helped determine. $800 million staked at 6:50 AM on March 23 that oil would drop. The post went up at 7:05. Potential profit on one trade: $80 million. The investigator — former military — said suspects could include "government officials, intelligence analysts, and military spouses." A Green Beret used classified briefing intel to bet $34,000 on Polymarket and made $400,000. He is in federal custody. The pipeline is proven. Briefing room to betting market. The question is how many floors up. The CFTC — the watchdog — has one commissioner. One. The President's nominee. The enforcement mechanism for the largest insider trading probe in history is a single employee hired by the subject. The White House issued a memo in March telling staff not to trade on nonpublic information. You do not issue memos about activities no one is engaged in. The memo is the receipt. A war correspondent — Emanuel Fabian, Times of Israel — reported on an Iranian missile strike. He received a message: "You're going to make us lose $900,000. And we'll invest even more than that to finish you." A journalist has a bounty set by bettors. I designed a consent sequence. Five inputs. One output. Plus-six. Elegant. Clean. Professional. And someone read my sequence the way a trader reads a terminal. My inputs are their data points. My timing is their signal. My atmospheric engineering is their price discovery. I am not producing consent for the public. I am producing alpha for twelve entities I have never met. The public is the noise that makes the signal look organic. I am good at my job. Someone else is better at theirs. Their job is reading mine. I go back to work Monday. I will design the next sequence. It will be elegant. It will produce consent at the velocity I require. And fifteen minutes before my output posts, someone will place a bet large enough to buy the building I work in. They will be correct. I will never know who they are. They will always know what I am about to say. I am the best atmospheric engineer in government. I am also someone's Bloomberg terminal. I go back to work Monday.

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De La Rosa
De La Rosa@Tejanobrown·
Please report - thank you
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damienhocking
damienhocking@damienhocking·
@majeikstagram Picking on the deadlift is like picking on a backhand stroke in tennis. Oh yeah the only thing about the backhand is ego. It's not useful at all. And don't get me started on driving ranges. Or using your turn signals.
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Matthew Majeika
Matthew Majeika@majeikstagram·
Deadlift PR today ☠️💪 480 lbs. 1x1 There’s something special about coming into a deadlift PR attempt, excited and nervous, with your entire family watching and cheering you on, proceeding to smash the PR, and then finishing the training session beat and exhausted. What a session. My 470 PR last week moved fine but it was heavy and slow. Today I kept going back and forth mentally between “it’s only 10 lbs more” and “there’s no way I can add 10 lbs to that.” During the rep all I could think was “THIS IS SO HEAVY - JUST KEEP PUSHING!!” No way I was quitting with my whole fam watching. Praise the Lord for the strength added to me this day, for endurance to keep pushing, and for my supportive family. SDG. #Barbell #StrengthTraining #Dominion
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damienhocking
damienhocking@damienhocking·
@davepl1968 Rebuilt Webers and where did these extra springs come from....
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Dave W Plummer
Dave W Plummer@davepl1968·
Have you taken apart and recurved a dual advance distributor? Have you looked inside a Quadrajet carburetor? One time, in the Old Testament, Moses rebuilds one, and even he has a few parts left over. You'd be crying for your microcontroller in about 3 minutes.
messed up cars@messedupcars

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Chris Martenson
Chris Martenson@chrismartenson·
Trump says we're going to double LNG exports in 3.5 years. In this thread, I explain two major problems with this and what I predict will actually happen. Problem 1: To double LNG exports, we'll need 22 billion more cubic feet per day of production but, if current growth rates continue, we'll only have 10. 🧵Keep reading below! Or, click here for the full report: peakprosperity.pulse.ly/zgoest9fyv
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TheRoadknight
TheRoadknight@RoadknightThe·
You'd think that the ABC would respect Gina Rinehart as a woman who has succeeded spectacularly in a male-dominated industry, donated countless millions to the RFDS and women's sport, as well as work with Aboriginal employment and training, as well as communities. Yet they can barely contain their seething hatred of her because she's a conservative who supports conservative politics and politicians.
Senator Gerard Rennick@S_GerardRennick

Gina Rinehart is Australia's richest person and the executive chair of Hancock Prospecting, with a long public profile in mining, agriculture, and political commentary.

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Drew Pavlou 🇦🇺🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
NEW AUSTRALIAN NDIS DISABILITY FRAUD INVESTIGATION with @PeteZogoulas. This is Minnesota-style fraud on a national scale. We found a voodoo style witch doctor who continues to operate Australian taxpayer funded disability services despite the fact that she remains under investigation for the death of a participant in suspicious circumstances. We also discovered a massive PRISONER HARVESTING SCHEME where a West Sydney businessman named Jamal Sabsabi charged the Australian taxpayer $340,000 for PHANTOM DISABILITY SERVICES to PRISONERS sitting in JAIL CELLS. Shockingly, we found Jamal Sabsabi simply started a new company right after being exposed for this prisoner scam. When we barged into his new business to confront him, we found a new West Sydney businessman sitting in his place with a gigantic golden leopard statue on his desk worth thousands of dollars. Josef Yousif at first denied that Jamal worked at the new office, before admitting he had “hired” him for his great “experience.” Upon investigating Josef, we discovered he operated under at least six different legal names with a combined criminal rap sheet that features over 50 court appearances. This is seriously one of the worst run government programs anywhere in the world. We are talking about tens of billions of dollars in fraud and absolutely vile organised crime abuse of extremely disabled Australians.
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Sofia
Sofia@Sofia50020Sofia·
Please help, I can't make up my mind 🤔
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Marc Nixon
Marc Nixon@MarcNixon24·
Can somebody please explain to me how decarbonize oil makes Canada more competitive?
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Tanya
Tanya@Tanya_Nicole_53·
@damienhocking @TwitchB518 This will be a huge change and that helps it feel like the cost is justified for me
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💯Twitch💯
💯Twitch💯@TwitchB518·
I’m so excited. Getting a new phone tonight for the first time in …. A few iPhone models. 🤣
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Tanya
Tanya@Tanya_Nicole_53·
@TwitchB518 We just upgraded to 17’s from 12’s. If it will charge I will not trade it in 😂
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damienhocking
damienhocking@damienhocking·
@sam_gzstrength Two things. If you get out of your own head, you're stronger than you think. And consistency beats everything.
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Sam Krapf
Sam Krapf@sam_gzstrength·
Calling all Dedicated Recreational Lifters and Barbell Supremecists I'm trying to see something. Those who have seen success getting stronger. What are the biggest lessons you've learned from your training?
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Osher Feldman
Osher Feldman@OsherFeldman·
Albo was asked the obvious question: if the CGT reform is for first home buyers, why does it apply to shares, crypto and everything else? No straight answer. Does this expose the policy as just another tax grab?
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