Michael Fiddle

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Michael Fiddle

Michael Fiddle

@FiddlesPicks

My content helps you beat the books in sports betting. NBA/NFL/WNBA sharp bettor and +CLV getter. Contributor @YahooSports & @ActionNetworkHQ

参加日 Mart 2022
17.9K フォロー中19.7K フォロワー
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
The betting market reacts about 2.5 points on Lebron's injury news on games he is out vs in. There are millions of dollars traded on each and every Lakers game. If the Lakers are priced 2.5 points better with him in and 2.5 points worse with him out, hes worth about 2.5 points ATS and clearly makes the Lakers better.
Dave McMenamin@mcten

"It sells papers a lot easier -- and clippings and podcasts -- if you say, 'LeBron, the team is better off without him.' A lot of people will try to like view it. So, I get it. ... They're absolutely wrong." - LeBron after 49 pts on 21-for-26 FGs and going 2-0 in last 24 hours

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SadillacDeprescalade
SadillacDeprescalade@BonjaminJehnson·
@FiddlesPicks I feel like the pistons without Cade are primed to rip off a handful of unders, seeing some movement from 218.5 down to 217.5 and 216.5 at fanduel
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
TALK TO ME! What do you like on the Friday 6 game NBA slate? I only have 1 bet placed for main markets, 2 props in. Instead of the usual hinting where my action is, tell me where I should get down on it! I'm in a downswing week and think most of these numbers are well priced, so not gonna force anything & probably keep it light tomorrow. If you see a likely +CLV spot, give me the bet and the handicap, convince me to tail you.
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
@viera_jeff2716 nope, 6.5s now, dont think it gets much higher than that but dont think we see +5.5 either
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
@SharpPantsBob too small a sample to matter, prefer relying on the wisdom of tens of millions of dollars
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
The betting market reacts about 2.5 points on Lebron's injury news on games he is out vs in. There are millions of dollars traded on each and every Lakers game. If the Lakers are priced 2.5 points better with him in and 2.5 points worse with him out, hes worth about 2.5 points ATS and clearly makes the Lakers better.
Dave McMenamin@mcten

"It sells papers a lot easier -- and clippings and podcasts -- if you say, 'LeBron, the team is better off without him.' A lot of people will try to like view it. So, I get it. ... They're absolutely wrong." - LeBron after 49 pts on 21-for-26 FGs and going 2-0 in last 24 hours

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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
@JohnsonMcnabb27 Agreed I have nuggets -5.7 and rockets -3.9. Both were skips for me. Considering raptors +7 but see the initial nuggets market direction so not rushing to it
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Johnson
Johnson@JohnsonMcnabb27·
@FiddlesPicks played nuggets -6 on open would like rockets but price is no good👎
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
@knottree666 its moved up a little already, i think theres little wiggle room on either side currently, so im leaving it be.
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Thane of Cawdor
Thane of Cawdor@knottree666·
@FiddlesPicks Knicks BK under 216.5-112 on dk ? I just think it might go up a little more by the AM but I’m not sure why, just the market. Thoughts ?
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
@Fluffenuff123 its very easy to use hindsight and results to judge bets, but its probably irrelevant in real time. LA shot 53% from field, 44% from 3 and got to the line 45 times. sometimes its simple shot variance.
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Eric T
Eric T@Fluffenuff123·
@FiddlesPicks I was on Mia ml for two units too, and was gonna play TTO122,5 too , because I felt it was the best bet, but waited too long. Mia HT was totally obvious too. LAL saved their energy.
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
911, I'd like to report a robbery. The lakers keep stealing my money. The ring leader of the operation is Luka Doncic. Arrest everybody besides Lebron and Bronny.
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
I give a free month to the entire group if there’s ever a losing month, or a full refund for previous month if people don’t get value from group and want to exit. Happened 4x in 19 months (now in 20th month). 4 day losing streak- people get sappy in comments 4 day winning streak- people telling me I’m the goat. Reality- neither matter I just care about consistently betting into good prices.
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
@rxpert2 i had -130 and the devigged closing line was -148 and i had a 5.6% edge on my bet that didnt win. shit happens
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rxpert
rxpert@rxpert2·
@FiddlesPicks You can joke about it . You get 50% like the public. You talk a good game but no results. GL
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
Luka 60 ball Lebron triple double Wemby game winner ... and people complain about the NBA
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
Lebron has 15-9-9 in the 4th quarter and hasnt missed a shot yet....
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Jacob
Jacob@Jacobtheclipper·
@FiddlesPicks I have no idea who you are how could I answer this lol
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Jacob
Jacob@Jacobtheclipper·
I told yall shooting isn’t hard, I scored more points than Bron ever has outside the key in a game 🤣 Our main scoring guard was missing. So I went away from being pass first and decided to be more score first this game. Ended up with 43 points and 7 made 3s. Now I know how Kobe felt, I had more points than the whole other team 🔥 This team is actually the 5th seed in our league and could be a playoff team but they were in a zone so I made them pay. We are now 9-0 Next week is the last game before playoffs we play a team that is 8-1 and only lost to us.
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KOBE
KOBE@itspikaaa·
Why men be acting like they payin these WNBA players outta pocket 😭
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Riley ❄️
Riley ❄️@rileysbetter·
genuinely top 3 handles in the league
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Jacob
Jacob@Jacobtheclipper·
@FiddlesPicks yes hurt my left quad been wearing it for years keeps it warm
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