Handicapital

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Handicapital

Handicapital

@Hand1cap1tal

$VPG 🐋

Trenches 参加日 Mart 2022
516 フォロー中1.1K フォロワー
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Handicapital
Handicapital@Hand1cap1tal·
My highest conviction play at this very moment is $VPG, a stock that will have a huge repricing as we see the humanoid robot industry become built out. It’s important to be here before that moment.
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9 Ventures
9 Ventures@ThematicTrader·
A $VPG napkin math post: - Figure at 3k annual robot run rate going from 1 robot/day to 1 robot/hour‼️ - Tesla Optimus $TSLA estimated to be at "hundreds per week" by end of year (Let's assume 300-500) Exit velocity for Figure likely is close to 10k annual production and Tesla we can assume exit velocity to be between 15k - 25k. 25k - 35k robots at $850 revenue per robot midpoint (prototyping revenue and extrapolating the Optimus revenue to be the same for Figure, which Figure should be higher from my channel checks) = $21M - $29M revenue run rate for $VPG humanoid business. We can reasonably expect as more Optimus and Figure capacity comes online and they achieve volume production in 2027, that the run rate will be 100k+ robots at some time in 2027. That implies a $85M + business for $VPG. Apply a 20-40x sales multiple (Very fair for hyper growth revenue that has potential to scale to 10M + units by 2030) to the $21M - $29M values $VPG humanoid business between $400M - $1.2B on 2026 exit velocity. Apply same multiple to the likely $85M + exit velocity revenue for 2027, that values $VPG humanoid business at $1.7B - $3.4B next year (The forward sales multiple will be applied as visibility becomes clearer). $VPG sits at $750M MC today. Their humanoid business alone should be valued more than the entire company today and I would not be shocked if the humanoid business alone is valued at $4B+ by the end of next year. The hockey stick ramp is beginning, as evidenced by Figure's volume ramp.
9 Ventures@ThematicTrader

$VPG at today's investor conference gave some great clarity and is successfully advancing its position within the humanoid robotics market by transitioning key partnerships from the engineering phase to early production. The company is currently focused on two primary customers that represent distinct high-growth opportunities. Customer 1: Industrial Production Customer 1 has transitioned from initial engineering collaboration to the final system setup stage. This partner is currently executing early alpha builds and has placed orders for dozens of robots. Each unit incorporates 20 to 30 VPG sensors to ensure precision and safety. VPG anticipates a significant order for hundreds of units in the second quarter of 2026. If the customer maintains its current timeline, production could scale to hundreds of robots per week by the end of the year. This represents a major milestone in moving from specialized prototypes to repeatable manufacturing. Customer 2: Advanced Tactile Sensing The partnership with Customer 2 highlights the specialized technical capabilities of VPG sensor technology. The company recently secured 1.5 million in orders specifically for tactile sensing applications. These sensors are integrated into the robotic fingers to provide a human-like sense of touch and feel. This capability is essential for robots performing delicate or complex manipulation tasks. VPG expect to establish clear volume projections once the customer finishes its current round of prototype evaluations. $VPG just confirmed they're actively working with both of their customers seeing orders and visibility, which I have known. This should dispel any concerns around being designed out via Chinese suppliers. @aleabitoreddit

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Handicapital
Handicapital@Hand1cap1tal·
If you're an Uber driver, please don’t offer me hard candy. End of thread.
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Moore Roger
Moore Roger@MooreRoger_10·
$POET the friends i advised sold 20% of their POET stake at 12-13$. I sold 0. This is just the beginning. The marvel connection were the obvious dot, the real connections have yet to be revealed to the mainstream public Wait and see, POET is the millionaire maker. I will retire young from this
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Handicapital
Handicapital@Hand1cap1tal·
Biggest $VPG takeaway regarding humanoid industry. Future constraint is robot sense (=consumer trust). Power is easy; trust is hard (breaking glasses, falling, harming consumers). Bid the nervous system!
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Midas
Midas@midascabal·
I found the next 10x stock like how I called $ONDS at $1: Just like I called $NBIS at $20, $RKLB at $16, $ASTS at $20, and many more. It’s under $1B market cap… Guess what stock I’m talking about.
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Handicapital
Handicapital@Hand1cap1tal·
@chamath Chamath, we know you're an Iren holder. Don’t be afraid, you can tell us.
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Chamath Palihapitiya
Chamath Palihapitiya@chamath·
The Billionaire Tax is actually an Everyone Tax. The Billionaire Tax is a new tax proposal written by four professors who don't believe in the American dream. Some of them aren’t even American…go figure. Despite its name, it applies to every California resident who currently has assets or ever will. The creators named it the Billionaire Tax so you would get into a froth andwouldn't look closely at what it actually does to you. On page twenty-six, it explains how the government can convert to an Everyone Tax without voter approval. They can also adjust the tax to be a yearly tax, not just one time…again, without your approval. Here's how the tax would work: As a voter, you're being asked to approve a tax that would require you to: 1. list all your assets and the value of each, then submit them to the California Franchise Tax Board. 2. authorize the tax board to appraise your assets and confirm the value of each. 3. pay a penalty of up to forty percent of your tax bill if the board determines your reported value was too low in their opinion. 4. allow the tax board to subpoena your financial records from every one of your financial institutions for auditing. This Everyone Tax runs 34 pages of shifty language describing how the government plans to take your assets. Read the fine print and decide for yourself. If this were truly a billionaire tax, it would be 3 pages. It’s 34 pages so that it can create the mechanisms to steal from all of you.
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MH
MH@mholz315·
@Hand1cap1tal They are giving updated LT financial targets (incl. growth) at their earnings in early May
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Handicapital
Handicapital@Hand1cap1tal·
My highest conviction play at this very moment is $VPG, a stock that will have a huge repricing as we see the humanoid robot industry become built out. It’s important to be here before that moment.
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Handicapital
Handicapital@Hand1cap1tal·
Most people here have more money than @JamesWynnReal now. Let that sink in. We made it!
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Handicapital
Handicapital@Hand1cap1tal·
It may be time to move everything into $Tao
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Jayroo
Jayroo@jayroo69·
@pepsi Coke and hookers
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Pepsi
Pepsi@pepsi·
name a better combo than Pepsi + pizza. we’ll wait.
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House Democrats
House Democrats@HouseDemocrats·
Average gas prices have increased to $3.98. A month ago, gas prices were $2.95. You can thank Donald Trump.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
Pfizer says its experimental Lyme disease vaccine was 73% effective against the tick-borne illness
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Handicapital
Handicapital@Hand1cap1tal·
@MoneylineMafia_ My net worth was deployed at St. Johns thank you for all of you terrific fades your doing gods work 🫡
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Don
Don@MoneylineMafia_·
All I have left in my account Kansas or homeless
Don tweet media
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸 NYPD reportedly discovered 3 improvised explosive devices, including one containing TATP, a highly unstable explosive used in several major terrorist attacks. The devices were safely removed and the suspects are now in federal custody, but the exact location and motive haven’t been publicly confirmed yet. Regardless, finding TATP anywhere in NYC is alarming. Source: @EricLDaugh, Fox News
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Handicapital
Handicapital@Hand1cap1tal·
@nypost The fuck is the problem with that, they simply are going to where the demand is
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New York Post
New York Post@nypost·
NJ Girl Scouts troop in hot water for selling cookies outside pot shop to meet high demand trib.al/jtWYjIU
New York Post tweet media
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Handicapital
Handicapital@Hand1cap1tal·
Who tf from R&D thought this sandygast Plush was rated E for everyone 🤣🤣🤣?
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