
Adam Chuck
1.1K posts





Trump: I've heard that today Blinken made a statement that he should have done it. Thanks a lot, I appreciate it. Blinken is Biden’s guy I guess. Who the hell knows who he is. But he came out with the statement that they should have done it, they made a mistake

@UKikaski Look, you aren’t OSINT if you’re just quoting the WSJ.. FFS. What a joke.


Signs Iran may be holding its best missiles in reserve. FT: Highest-tech missiles not yet used, “possibly because they have been destroyed, possibly because they are not yet operational, or possibly because they will only be used when adversaries run short of interceptors.”👇









🚨 BREAKING: 🇶🇦 QatarEnergy declared force majeure for LNG shipments through May. That could amount to up to 90 cargo shipments. Source: @zerohedge


JUST IN: Chinese satellites guided an Iranian missile onto a residential street in Kfar Qasim in Israel this morning. Five Israeli civilians are in hospital. China has not fired a single shot in this war. China does not need to. The missile was Iranian. The BeiDou-3 military navigation system that guided it to its dispersal coordinates was Chinese. The sodium perchlorate fuel that propelled it was shipped from Gaolan Port in southern China. The interceptor that destroyed the parent warhead was American. The bomblets that survived the interception and flipped a white SUV on a residential street were designed to overwhelm defences built by Rafael, whose IPO valuation just doubled to $23 billion during the war. Four nations in one detonation. One street. One flipped car. Five people bleeding from blast waves produced by a weapon that was simultaneously destroyed and delivered. And the country that provided the fuel and the coordinates is not in the headlines. Iran completed its full military transition from American GPS to Chinese BeiDou-3 in June 2025 after GPS jamming during the 12-day war rendered its missiles inaccurate. The B3A encrypted signal provides sub-5-metre precision, frequency hopping against jamming, and mid-course corrections to 2,000 kilometres. Seventy percent of Iranian ballistic missiles now carry cluster warheads. Each disperses 20 to 24 submunitions at 7 to 10 kilometres altitude, above Iron Dome’s engagement ceiling. The parent missile is destroyed. The children scatter. The six-second gap between interception and ground impact is the window the bomblets exploit. Iron Dome was not designed to track 24 falling objects across an 8-kilometre radius. The cluster warhead does not need to penetrate the shield. It needs to outlive it by six seconds. China supplies the navigation. China supplies the fuel. Approximately 1,000 tons of sodium perchlorate from Gaolan Port in early 2025, enough for 260 to 500 missiles. And the bombs that America drops on Iran to destroy these launchers contain Chinese rare earth magnets. The interceptors that engage these missiles cannot be manufactured without Chinese minerals. The $200 billion supplemental that Congress is funding cannot replenish the munitions without Chinese supply chains. And the $650 billion that Big Tech is spending on AI infrastructure depends on semiconductors fabricated with helium from a Qatari facility that this same war shut down for three to five years. Every node in this conflict routes through Beijing. Every side depends on Beijing. Beijing profits from every side. The bomblets create de facto minefields in residential areas. EOD teams in Kfar Qasim clear them one by one. The next wave arrives before clearance is complete. Petah Tikva reported impacts in the same salvo. The satellites guiding the next missile to its dispersal coordinates are the same satellites guiding Pakistani cruise missiles and Belt and Road freight across Central Asia. The SUV on the street was flipped by a 3-kilogram bomblet that separated at 7 kilometres, fell for 40 seconds, and detonated on asphalt navigated to within 5 metres of its target by 40 satellites owned by a country that sells fuel to the nation that launched it, minerals to the nation that intercepted it, and helium infrastructure to the nation that fabricates the chips both sides need to fight. That is not a war. That is a supply chain with a body count. And the supply chain has one backbone. It is not in Tehran. It is not in Washington. It is not in Jerusalem. It is in Beijing. And Beijing has not fired a single shot. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…





Nikita Bier says Creator Payouts will now be affected by the user’s location. But told me personally I wouldn’t get paid at all: “We won’t send you money overseas.” Why is a regular user being targeted like this? I just think this change raises many issues: - What about US citizens living abroad? (many are full time X creators) - What about legitimate international creators? - Users from countries with little user base? (Vatican, 800 people; Andorra, 80k, etc.) - International full time X creators? Why should an account like mine not be paid at all while delivering over 100M impressions a month? Because the Head of Product doesn’t like me? I think @elonmusk should look into this. There are smarter ways to deal with ‘foreign interference’ from 3rd world countries. I was suspended within minutes of respectfully commenting about Nikita, then unbanned by Elon Musk himself. Hope it doesn’t happen again. Just my opinion, respectfully.



Trump on Iran: We really had regime change. This is a change in the regime because the leaders are all different. I think we can say this is regime change.



Will note, appears that the Iranians are using FPV swarming tactics, with multiple drones operating together.


🇮🇷🇮🇱 Why Iran chose cluster bombs over conventional warheads Simple math. Israel's Arrow system is built to kill one big warhead. So Iran sends one missile that splits into 80 bomblets at 23,000 feet. That single radar track suddenly becomes dozens of small falling objects scattering across six miles, and no air defense system on earth can chase them all. Over 100 countries banned these weapons because of what they do to civilians. Iran, the U.S., and Israel never signed. Now Israeli neighborhoods are learning why. Source: AI Telly






Details of the 15 point proposal, included full removal of international sanctions on Iran and U.S. assistance for civilian nuclear program. The point on ‘snapback’ is strange since those sanctions have already been triggered/would fall under point 12 (full lifting of sanctions)

⚡️Jake Sullivan on Iran: You can strike Iran’s nuclear program. But at the end of the day, they still have a stockpile of enriched uranium. They still have centrifuges lying around various facilities we may not even know about. And they still have scientists who know how to put all that together.










